(anonymous) 0xc3b482…7d6eb9 Create alert
cold new
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.66K
Hit rate
39.9%
Resolved
110
Trades
1,003
lifetime
Volume
$33.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$23.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-07 02:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
72% 22% -$2,810
Other
20% 44% -$64
Sports
5% 27% -$574
Crypto
2% 71% +$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +10,792 $3,881 95¢ $10.3K +$6,414 11-04 04:53
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +3,749 $406 99¢ $3.7K +$3,319 11-04 03:44
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +281,003 $2,313 1¢ $3.0K +$637 11-05 04:06
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +38,604 $1,028 4¢ $1.6K +$536 11-07 02:53
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,398 $349 99¢ $1.4K +$1,039 11-04 02:03
Will North Carolina win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +600 $589 98¢ $587 -$2 11-05 00:54
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +520 $473 92¢ $478 +$5 11-05 00:33
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +516 $464 90¢ $467 +$3 11-05 00:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +492 $61 90¢ $445 +$384 11-04 05:14
Nebraska vs. Illinois: 1Q Moneyline Illinois +1,038 $457 42¢ $431 -$26 11-05 01:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +714 $328 34¢ $246 -$82 11-05 00:34
Bengals vs. Falcons: 1Q Moneyline Falcons +525 $247 44¢ $231 -$16 11-05 01:27
Lions vs. Dolphins: 1Q Moneyline Dolphins +525 $210 36¢ $192 -$18 11-05 01:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +3,014 $1,608 5¢ $139 -$1,469 11-04 03:49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%? No +49 $42 98¢ $48 +$7 11-04 03:00
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? Yes +52 $42 84¢ $44 +$2 11-05 02:41
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +2,111 $169 2¢ $40 -$129 11-04 04:31
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +3,920 $664 1¢ $27 -$637 11-04 02:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +16 -$53 99¢ $16 +$69 11-04 04:47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 6%-9%? No +46 $45 26¢ $12 -$33 11-04 03:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more? No +11 $11 98¢ $11 +$0 11-04 05:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes +378 $201 3¢ $10 -$192 11-04 04:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more? No +96 $52 10¢ $9 -$43 11-04 04:53
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +114 $12 4¢ $5 -$7 11-04 02:41
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-04 04:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 15%-18%? No +5 $1 90¢ $5 +$3 11-04 03:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%? No +18 $16 22¢ $4 -$12 11-04 02:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%? No +5 $4 50¢ $2 -$2 11-04 03:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? No +85 $59 3¢ $2 -$57 11-04 02:59
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +238 $35 1¢ $2 -$33 11-04 04:31