Selfish-Needle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$619

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-26 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	13	$65	85	85	+0	Up	+$9	05-10 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	7	$38	38	38	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	7	$25	105	105	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 01:58
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	5	$25	46	46	+0	Down	$-5	05-08 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 02:14
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	5	$20	152	152	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$17	39	28	+11	Down	$-7	05-10 09:14
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$15	35	17	+18	Up	$-0	05-08 03:54
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 04:10
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$15	27	27	+0	open	—	05-03 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$14	24	24	+0	Down	$-4	05-08 02:07
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 03:48
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$12	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-26 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$12	33	33	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$12	13	13	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$10	18	14	+4	Down	+$3	05-08 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 04:13
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$10	21	21	+0	Up	$-6	05-10 08:47
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$10	69	69	+0	Down	$-8	05-08 02:17
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$9	31	31	+0	Up	$-1	05-08 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	Down	+$10	05-10 08:36
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 02:11
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$8	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 01:40
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 11:09:20	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4aa7d0…
05-26 11:07:47	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe80157…
05-26 11:03:44	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfabdb1…
05-26 10:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x70cce4…
05-26 10:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc0f7f8…
05-26 10:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9cbf7e…
05-26 10:53:45	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x803c66…
05-26 10:52:18	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x54c23f…
05-26 10:49:56	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdc5c89…
05-10 09:29:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46d41c…
05-10 09:28:26	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xb95ebd…
05-10 09:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x46cb04…
05-10 09:23:20	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x2ec143…
05-10 09:22:49	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x9bf2e3…
05-10 09:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x0d0406…
05-10 09:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd691c5…
05-10 09:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x27f286…
05-10 09:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9182a9…
05-10 09:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1f017e…
05-10 09:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x3c09d6…
05-10 09:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x45f746…
05-10 09:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x2c8db1…
05-10 09:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x052252…
05-10 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb3cd3b…
05-10 09:04:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0x145c4b…
05-10 09:03:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x3c6424…
05-10 09:02:59	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	95	5¢	$5	0x156981…
05-10 09:02:22	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0xcac8ed…
05-10 09:01:38	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xda6f82…
05-10 08:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x349483…
05-10 08:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7ad007…
05-10 08:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x072e85…
05-10 08:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x37fe53…
05-10 08:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xa74999…
05-10 08:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xead1d4…
05-10 08:54:49	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xa7babc…
05-10 08:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xd80fd2…
05-10 08:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x32dad4…
05-10 08:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x1da9b6…
05-10 08:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x68a4d2…
05-10 08:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xc728e7…
05-10 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x49c4b9…
05-10 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x0d92bf…
05-10 08:50:42	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x4e7ea1…
05-10 08:47:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x7bd72c…
05-10 08:47:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd7dcf2…
05-10 08:46:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x74b615…
05-10 08:44:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xa90ec7…
05-10 08:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x5e2321…
05-10 08:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x754c73…
05-10 08:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x863dd9…
05-10 08:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb70a49…
05-10 08:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x103655…
05-10 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x249684…
05-10 08:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x16591d…
05-10 08:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xb2ed9d…
05-10 08:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x6b3b5d…
05-10 08:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x090cb9…
05-10 08:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x7062f2…
05-08 04:47:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xac9dc4…
05-08 04:44:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xd48576…
05-08 04:43:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x9671fe…
05-08 04:38:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0xb4a352…
05-08 04:38:23	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd54bf2…
05-08 04:37:41	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x6d33a6…
05-08 04:37:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x751ca0…
05-08 04:37:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfee393…
05-08 04:31:51	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xceb5fc…
05-08 04:27:15	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x9bdb62…
05-08 04:25:17	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3b0d95…
05-08 04:24:04	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1540b0…
05-08 04:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x3412c7…
05-08 04:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2e7a03…
05-08 04:10:25	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1beb3b…
05-08 04:06:23	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbc42a0…
05-08 04:03:46	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x6f7a19…
05-08 04:02:34	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9121a2…
05-08 04:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x9ed598…
05-08 04:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xceed2d…
05-08 03:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x99153c…
05-08 03:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x1cbe1f…
05-08 03:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$2	0x793397…
05-08 03:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x562515…
05-08 03:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x1869b4…
05-08 03:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xbaf453…
05-08 03:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x61d011…
05-08 03:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e3e31…
05-08 03:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x344109…
05-08 03:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x47a79b…
05-08 03:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x644e55…
05-08 02:43:56	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x42c6b1…
05-08 02:43:33	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x0dce61…
05-08 02:42:39	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x2bde99…
05-08 02:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x7dbebf…
05-08 02:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4129fd…
05-08 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xf784b8…
05-08 02:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x860749…
05-08 02:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x4d7812…
05-08 02:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xffe620…
05-08 02:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x48ff67…