Timely-Detector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$513

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-25 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

61% 64% +$265

Other

39% 63% +$248

Crypto

0% 75% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$39	05-23 05:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	4	$1.8K	996	996	+0	No	-$10	05-25 06:29
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$1.6K	798	798	+0	No	+$32	05-20 14:42
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$1.4K	799	799	+0	No	+$101	05-19 17:07
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	3	$1.2K	672	672	+0	No	-$14	05-25 06:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$1.1K	605	605	+0	No	+$29	05-25 04:17
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$998	622	622	+0	Yes	-$2	05-25 06:29
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$694	415	415	+0	No	-$13	05-23 02:53
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$649	340	340	+0	No	+$27	05-19 15:23
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	4	$646	726	0	+726	No	+$79	05-17 04:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$612	319	319	+0	No	+$12	05-17 15:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	2	$594	299	299	+0	Yes	+$4	05-21 01:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	1	$580	702	0	+702	No	+$121	04-12 06:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	2	$461	246	246	+0	No	+$2	05-17 04:18
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	3	$431	702	702	+0	open	—	05-25 06:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$406	212	212	+0	Yes	+$16	05-25 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$338	184	184	+0	No	+$29	04-26 14:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	3	$327	170	170	+0	Yes	+$6	05-21 04:40
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	7	$324	363	0	+363	Yes	+$39	05-15 21:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$300	165	165	+0	No	+$0	05-25 06:30
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	3	$261	275	0	+275	No	+$14	04-26 14:56
Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	2	$212	235	0	+235	No	+$24	04-24 06:32
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	2	$204	175	175	+0	open	—	05-04 08:51
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$190	132	132	+0	Nothing	-$10	05-07 07:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$175	137	137	+0	No	-$25	05-07 07:38
Will Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?	3	$168	198	0	+198	Yes	+$30	05-23 18:52
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$143	76	76	+0	No	+$7	05-15 05:06
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$131	389	389	+0	Yes	-$9	05-23 18:52
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$114	60	60	+0	No	+$7	05-20 14:39
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	2	$84	50	50	+0	No	+$15	02-24 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:31:02	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	41¢	$17	0x5f9fb4…
05-25 06:30:50	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xf07bb7…
05-25 06:30:48	Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by May 31?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x35fb5b…
05-25 06:30:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	165	91¢	$150	0x0413c4…
05-25 06:29:59	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	702	27¢	$192	0x6e9bce…
05-25 06:29:56	Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	622	80¢	$498	0xfdb063…
05-25 06:29:54	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	672	87¢	$586	0xe4b901…
05-25 06:29:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	996	92¢	$916	0xc39461…
05-25 04:17:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	634	93¢	$589	0xf6b676…
05-25 04:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	605	97¢	$589	0x4bad5d…
05-25 04:16:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	227	93¢	$211	0x208188…
05-25 04:15:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0xfbf256…
05-25 04:14:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	135	93¢	$126	0x8dafc5…
05-25 04:12:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	165	91¢	$150	0x2fa248…
05-25 03:33:39	Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by May 31?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x89e0a0…
05-25 03:22:32	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x49f7b8…
05-23 18:52:43	Will Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x22c93d…
05-23 18:52:06	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	389	16¢	$61	0x687b19…
05-23 18:49:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	212	92¢	$195	0xd88952…
05-23 16:10:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	605	93¢	$560	0x73e01a…
05-23 05:12:24	Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	622	80¢	$500	0x145ed4…
05-23 05:11:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0xfd03b9…
05-23 04:03:37	Will Bernie say "Middle Class" or "Working Class" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x31d0a9…
05-23 04:02:50	Will Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xd75342…
05-23 02:56:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x6662cb…
05-23 02:55:56	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	389	18¢	$70	0x9d08c2…
05-23 02:53:53	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	415	82¢	$340	0x8648f4…
05-22 18:38:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	723	97¢	$700	0x6f5297…
05-21 04:58:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0xb4e102…
05-21 04:46:00	Will Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	68	89¢	$60	0x19aefd…
05-21 04:43:14	Will Bernie say "Trump" 5+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x991881…
05-21 04:41:29	Will Bernie say "Middle Class" or "Working Class" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x646921…
05-21 04:40:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0x2cebba…
05-21 02:01:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	314	95¢	$298	0x22486f…
05-21 01:59:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	SELL	299	100¢	$299	0x573be8…
05-20 15:46:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	299	99¢	$295	0x34b7fa…
05-20 15:46:17	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	447	89¢	$400	0x054b1e…
05-20 15:44:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc3872d…
05-20 14:42:33	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	798	100¢	$797	0x891839…
05-20 14:41:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xfa8dea…
05-20 14:39:52	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x72c2b6…
05-20 07:43:07	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x960c01…
05-20 07:42:28	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3c17ed…
05-19 23:53:53	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8e5489…
05-19 23:24:51	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x18fc85…
05-19 17:17:27	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x52d232…
05-19 17:16:31	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0x19d008…
05-19 17:09:20	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	798	96¢	$765	0x4ef3cd…
05-19 17:07:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	799	96¢	$767	0xb720f8…
05-19 15:25:30	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	413	85¢	$352	0x3fcfea…
05-19 15:23:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$338	0x2ce7f2…
05-19 15:22:30	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	27¢	$16	0x821c9a…
05-17 15:42:37	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	340	91¢	$311	0x6a9db7…
05-17 15:42:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	319	98¢	$312	0xb87287…
05-17 04:19:32	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	243	95¢	$230	0x0c2dee…
05-17 04:18:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	246	94¢	$232	0x09acb0…
05-16 06:50:31	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x831032…
05-16 05:00:56	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0x24c587…
05-16 05:00:40	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x302c63…
05-15 21:41:46	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf532a9…
05-15 21:18:25	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x23da08…
05-15 20:49:11	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x7f7eac…
05-15 17:58:14	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x82ea2d…
05-15 17:57:29	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	196	92¢	$180	0x59589f…
05-15 17:45:21	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	63	86¢	$54	0xa9503f…
05-15 17:41:42	will trump say child during bret baier interview	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6bd751…
05-15 05:10:55	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x3a367e…
05-15 05:07:45	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xb57982…
05-15 05:06:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x2ddf8e…
05-14 15:22:23	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	67¢	$39	0x39920f…
05-13 07:29:54	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xef3fb7…
05-13 07:27:01	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x48fe50…
05-12 15:00:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	76	89¢	$68	0x9953ef…
05-11 14:49:14	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x2c5ff4…
05-10 19:21:41	Will "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xd62ed6…
05-09 22:36:22	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0xbf24c2…
05-09 19:18:02	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	SELL	39	74¢	$29	0xbf6a23…
05-09 19:07:21	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0xa31940…
05-08 12:15:29	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3355cb…
05-08 12:13:48	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x071dc7…
05-07 07:39:58	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	107	84¢	$90	0x61aea6…
05-07 07:39:14	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	132	68¢	$90	0xce3595…
05-07 07:38:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	90	84¢	$75	0xf9a915…
05-07 07:38:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	137	55¢	$75	0xaac731…
05-05 20:07:16	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	585	32¢	$189	0xb250bf…
05-04 09:04:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	246	93¢	$229	0xcbd9bb…
05-04 08:58:28	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x75bdcf…
05-04 08:57:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x2f8e23…
05-04 08:57:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x744ad0…
05-04 08:51:14	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	175	59¢	$104	0xf6fb4b…
05-04 08:50:16	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x831108…
05-01 06:20:46	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1a608e…
05-01 06:16:32	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x3331c7…
05-01 05:54:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x5a49f7…
04-27 00:32:38	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xd0599e…
04-26 14:56:10	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	190	97¢	$183	0x0aef33…
04-26 14:55:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0xe695d9…
04-25 17:31:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9e6741…
04-24 06:32:56	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	BUY	107	90¢	$96	0x59f0a2…
04-24 06:32:04	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	BUY	128	90¢	$115	0xb08f8a…