Impure-Lode — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$756

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved (90d)

304

Trades (90d)

5,156

13,294 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$76.4K

$305.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$940

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 264 days

Categories

Other

82% 42% -$3,982

Crypto

17% 77% -$50

Sports

1% 31% -$94

Politics

0% 37% -$176

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,010	$123	70¢	$703	+$580	10-30 04:43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+901	$58	26¢	$235	+$177	10-28 01:21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+100	$3	2¢	$2	-$1	10-25 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	6	$5.9K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$6	02-24 14:07
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	4	$3.9K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Yes	-$71	02-28 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	54	$3.1K	4,465	4,465	+0	Yes	+$1,620	06-05 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	57	$2.7K	2,842	2,842	+0	Yes	+$1,745	06-19 15:12
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 400 419	8	$2.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	+$33	04-21 02:14
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	6	$2.6K	2,610	0	+2,610	No	+$29	04-11 08:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	101	$2.5K	5,166	5,166	+0	No	+$289	06-16 14:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	46	$2.5K	1,805	1,500	+305	Yes	+$105	09-01 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	111	$2.4K	5,128	5,128	+0	Yes	-$108	06-16 14:33
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	13	$2.2K	3,400	1,200	+2,200	No	+$25	04-15 00:45
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	6	$2.2K	3,200	0	+3,200	No	+$17	04-25 14:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	19	$2.1K	5,981	2,100	+3,881	No	+$9	03-29 09:05
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	02-23 14:24
ethereum above 1800 on february 26	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$4	02-26 13:34
bitcoin above 58k on february 25	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$4	02-25 12:16
bitcoin above 62k on february 20	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$4	02-20 11:26
bitcoin above 62k on february 27	5	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$6	02-27 10:28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	18	$2.0K	2,000	1,500	+500	No	+$5	06-28 20:16
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 160 179	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$10	03-28 02:57
bitcoin above 64k on february 22	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$14	02-22 13:46
bitcoin above 58k on april 6	2	$2.0K	4,200	0	+4,200	Yes	+$22	04-05 01:46
bitcoin above 66k on march 5	1	$1.9K	1,902	0	+1,902	Yes	+$2	03-05 12:57
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	Yes	+$2	02-19 13:43
ethereum above 1800 on february 28	6	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	Yes	+$4	02-28 16:44
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	Yes	+$6	03-06 03:01
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	25	$1.8K	3,700	1,100	+2,600	No	+$21	03-28 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	36	$1.8K	2,192	2,192	+0	Yes	+$869	06-12 14:16
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	+$2	03-07 03:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	71	$1.8K	4,507	4,307	+200	No	-$328	06-30 00:52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	48	$1.7K	3,221	1,621	+1,600	No	+$288	08-21 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x5af683…
10-30 07:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xb3a765…
10-30 07:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xab2d27…
10-30 07:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x20984e…
10-30 07:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$9	0x434e1d…
10-30 06:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x0390e2…
10-30 06:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	15¢	$24	0xda4fc9…
10-30 06:24:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x39e591…
10-30 06:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x55619c…
10-30 06:14:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xfe5955…
10-30 06:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6726c4…
10-30 06:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	25¢	$24	0x4098cd…
10-30 06:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x13777b…
10-30 06:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0x5467d2…
10-30 06:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	25¢	$16	0xcbd77a…
10-30 06:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xb3aed0…
10-30 06:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x4a0732…
10-30 06:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	35¢	$22	0x383e64…
10-30 04:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x5b53f8…
10-30 04:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x6e7fb6…
10-30 04:03:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xc4e0b9…
10-30 00:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$4	0xb6cc64…
10-30 00:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$4	0xaff1f6…
10-30 00:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$3	0x508334…
10-30 00:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$3	0x7c4a34…
10-30 00:38:27	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x7b6f51…
10-30 00:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xfd92fb…
10-30 00:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x05f9fa…
10-30 00:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0xb673bf…
10-30 00:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0x44ec0e…
10-30 00:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x898c6e…
10-30 00:37:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x037137…
10-30 00:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$592	0xe706b3…
10-29 22:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x3eae83…
10-29 22:22:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x8649ef…
10-29 22:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x763ca3…
10-29 22:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	14¢	$17	0x660542…
10-29 22:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0x2361c3…
10-29 20:15:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x2de5e8…
10-29 17:31:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	20¢	$13	0x93c2ed…
10-29 17:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x541842…
10-29 16:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x40f1a9…
10-29 14:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	16¢	$80	0x7e0d0f…
10-29 13:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x7f7857…
10-29 13:30:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x2cf6c0…
10-29 13:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	43¢	$44	0xa03c9a…
10-29 12:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xae090d…
10-29 12:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x359f52…
10-29 11:57:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa46d75…
10-29 11:05:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	42¢	$35	0xcb2a4c…
10-29 10:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$1	0xeb3326…
10-29 10:27:10	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$0	0x2908a5…
10-29 10:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$1	0x035a72…
10-29 10:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$1	0x3327a9…
10-29 10:26:49	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$2	0xa4993b…
10-29 10:26:34	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	1¢	$2	0xef1cb7…
10-29 10:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	1¢	$2	0x48b9f5…
10-29 10:26:16	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	1¢	$3	0x85ef6e…
10-29 10:25:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$1	0x92b7ba…
10-29 10:25:47	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$0	0x807853…
10-29 10:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	401	0¢	$0	0xd88c8f…
10-29 10:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x2beb73…
10-29 10:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x95607c…
10-29 10:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xcc6677…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	0¢	$1	0x2ef95e…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	464	3¢	$13	0x031286…
10-29 09:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x0df41d…
10-29 09:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x3cc7c5…
10-29 08:29:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x8ab4ef…
10-29 08:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	326	0¢	$1	0xc1cc11…
10-29 08:29:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	3¢	$4	0x1d5eec…
10-29 08:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	820	0¢	$3	0x67a0c5…
10-29 08:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	1¢	$1	0x88b7d8…
10-29 08:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xdadc19…
10-29 08:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xffbadf…
10-29 08:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x80f87d…
10-29 08:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	19¢	$37	0x4a78e1…
10-29 07:14:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa71872…
10-29 00:10:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x30260e…
10-28 18:45:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf308c5…
10-28 18:37:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x744ce3…
10-28 18:37:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x73d413…
10-28 18:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa9bab3…
10-28 16:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0xe98dc1…
10-28 16:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x407006…
10-28 16:09:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x5339b6…
10-28 15:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x38a997…
10-28 15:49:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xd2c39c…
10-28 15:48:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x25a5cb…
10-28 15:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xdcdd96…
10-28 09:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0x2869e2…
10-28 08:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	1¢	$1	0xaa3b95…
10-28 08:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	301	97¢	$293	0x92592d…
10-28 08:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0xcec367…
10-28 08:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x337bfa…
10-28 08:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	7¢	$13	0x390c4e…
10-28 07:59:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x560f32…
10-28 07:53:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xef02e6…
10-28 07:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa745de…
10-28 07:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x63c7b4…