Ambitious-Adoption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

714

Trades

2,696

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-30 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% $-24

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773128700	39	$76	100	99	+1	open	—	03-10 07:56
eth updown 5m 1773841200	33	$22	24	23	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 25	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-25 13:36
eth updown 5m 1773842700	14	$14	1,156	0	+1,156	open	—	03-18 14:10
highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	14	$12	216	206	+10	open	—	04-12 17:53
nba okc phi 2026 03 23	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-23 20:55
nvda close above 175 on march 23 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	8	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 16:20
btc updown 15m 1774289700	8	$9	11	10	+0	open	—	03-23 18:24
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$9	7	7	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 01:15
xrp updown 5m 1773842100	6	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 13:56
xrp updown 5m 1773841200	7	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 01:18
will less than 8000 us flights be delayed on march 25	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 12:42
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 25 2026 19c	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 11:34
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	8	$7	8	8	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 01:38
xrp updown 5m 1773842400	9	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 14:01
xrp updown 5m 1773843000	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 14:11
meta up or down on march 25 2026	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 13:47
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	8	$7	7	7	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 00:44
eth updown 5m 1773842100	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 13:55
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	open	—	05-14 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:15
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$5	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 17:52
btc updown 15m 1774291500	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$5	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x44ef2c…
05-28 04:02:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92b98c…
05-27 11:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe5ef4d…
05-27 09:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0eda96…
05-26 20:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e9809…
05-26 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x77d573…
05-26 20:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2aeefe…
05-26 20:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8f9be6…
05-26 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xbf853d…
05-26 20:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xf3f3f0…
05-26 20:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x25eed1…
05-26 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf51218…
05-26 19:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe01d3c…
05-26 19:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc44174…
05-26 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdc9cf5…
05-26 19:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xccdb8b…
05-26 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0x3ee722…
05-26 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9278aa…
05-26 19:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x31d4a1…
05-26 19:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaea328…
05-26 19:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x570a49…
05-26 19:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf56e8a…
05-26 19:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xc16be1…
05-26 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1de0c4…
05-26 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xee49ad…
05-26 19:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x779034…
05-26 19:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda6fa7…
05-26 19:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf47ae1…
05-26 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f7184…
05-26 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x26adcc…
05-26 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9404e9…
05-26 18:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd46424…
05-26 18:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a6be6…
05-26 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x271564…
05-26 18:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5bf5f…
05-26 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x3d3273…
05-26 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd5056…
05-26 18:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x9cf126…
05-26 18:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee71d7…
05-26 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdb4e11…
05-26 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf1c054…
05-26 18:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7fc2d4…
05-26 18:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3b660a…
05-26 18:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x042ee1…
05-26 18:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa07314…
05-26 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe82e21…
05-26 17:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x42e2fa…
05-26 17:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6010dd…
05-26 17:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f9b3d…
05-26 17:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfb71d…
05-26 17:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x373487…
05-26 17:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcd7cb8…
05-26 14:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4b9eff…
05-26 13:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x807ab0…
05-26 13:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4f448d…
05-26 13:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb7ea27…
05-26 13:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeac02e…
05-26 13:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe07c07…
05-26 12:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x533c61…
05-26 12:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x514360…
05-26 10:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6766ec…
05-26 08:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdda41d…
05-26 08:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc34e54…
05-26 07:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x04bb6a…
05-26 06:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x278cb8…
05-26 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x33ffcf…
05-26 06:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf1da0e…
05-26 06:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb7d61f…
05-26 06:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x76cdb1…
05-26 05:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x80b893…
05-26 05:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc1306b…
05-26 05:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x174efb…
05-26 05:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcee6cd…
05-26 05:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8c115d…
05-26 05:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x26fd43…
05-26 05:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xca52aa…
05-26 05:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x353831…
05-26 04:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x25130d…
05-26 04:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1c75eb…
05-26 04:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x99f411…
05-26 04:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x70e187…
05-26 04:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9d2a0a…
05-26 04:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x98703a…
05-26 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9320d9…
05-26 04:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5a5c6e…
05-26 04:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x782f75…
05-26 03:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x38fd2c…
05-26 03:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2f0e5c…
05-26 03:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x392915…
05-26 03:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5bf4e4…
05-26 03:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x18ef1f…
05-26 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x80370e…
05-26 03:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x778365…
05-26 03:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x148d66…
05-26 03:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xff930d…
05-26 02:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x4ed922…
05-26 02:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x086b61…
05-26 02:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x363ebb…
05-26 02:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x27ed6b…
05-26 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc2c763…