Ambitious-Adoption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

714

Trades

2,765

lifetime

Volume

$3.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-04 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% $-24

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773128700	39	$76	100	99	+1	open	—	03-10 07:56
eth updown 5m 1773841200	33	$22	24	23	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 25	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-25 13:36
eth updown 5m 1773842700	14	$14	1,156	0	+1,156	open	—	03-18 14:10
highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	14	$12	216	206	+10	open	—	04-12 17:53
nba okc phi 2026 03 23	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-23 20:55
nvda close above 175 on march 23 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	8	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 16:20
btc updown 15m 1774289700	8	$9	11	10	+0	open	—	03-23 18:24
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$9	7	7	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 01:15
xrp updown 5m 1773842100	6	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 13:56
xrp updown 5m 1773841200	7	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 13:43
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 01:18
will less than 8000 us flights be delayed on march 25	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 12:42
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 25 2026 19c	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 11:34
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	8	$7	8	8	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 01:38
xrp updown 5m 1773842400	9	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 14:01
xrp updown 5m 1773843000	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 14:11
meta up or down on march 25 2026	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-25 13:47
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	8	$7	7	7	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 00:44
eth updown 5m 1773842100	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 13:55
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	open	—	05-14 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:15
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$5	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 17:52
btc updown 15m 1774291500	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$5	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 17:34:43	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x05577d…
07-04 17:32:25	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9191a3…
07-04 11:54:17	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xa3ec21…
07-04 11:35:02	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb952a3…
07-04 10:38:13	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc0bebe…
07-04 09:35:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1a39d1…
07-04 08:36:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x747853…
07-04 07:47:29	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x749e91…
07-04 06:48:35	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xab9b24…
07-04 04:35:04	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x210f3f…
07-04 03:35:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbcf314…
07-04 02:45:43	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x519fc2…
07-04 00:36:02	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc7fe8d…
07-03 23:35:04	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xde0eca…
07-03 22:35:11	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x76ee98…
07-03 21:59:44	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2a429…
07-03 21:46:58	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x369db9…
07-03 17:35:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x2317a9…
07-03 16:53:19	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x81f8fa…
07-03 16:35:02	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x78e8bb…
07-03 15:35:08	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xce9cbb…
07-03 14:37:52	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x46e794…
07-03 13:53:22	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x54cd27…
07-03 13:40:50	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2bc625…
07-03 12:37:53	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2c0563…
07-03 12:33:26	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3857e2…
07-03 11:49:49	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x237179…
07-03 11:48:22	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa674d4…
06-24 10:23:53	btc updown 5m 1782296400	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf5d611…
06-24 10:23:53	btc updown 5m 1782296400	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5d74f5…
06-24 10:18:53	btc updown 5m 1782296100	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xede045…
06-24 10:18:53	btc updown 5m 1782296100	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3aa6d8…
06-24 10:08:55	btc updown 5m 1782295500	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc9949e…
06-24 09:58:55	btc updown 5m 1782294900	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb8cac7…
06-24 09:53:59	btc updown 5m 1782294600	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfe5cfe…
06-24 09:49:16	btc updown 5m 1782294300	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x89fbdd…
06-24 09:34:19	btc updown 5m 1782293400	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x43abc3…
06-24 09:29:32	btc updown 5m 1782293100	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc5081d…
06-24 08:53:58	btc updown 5m 1782291000	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcaec2c…
06-24 08:48:53	btc updown 5m 1782290700	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xabb142…
06-24 08:29:13	btc updown 5m 1782289500	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x411b20…
06-24 08:14:34	btc updown 5m 1782288600	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcb4123…
06-24 08:08:53	btc updown 5m 1782288300	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7e3f26…
06-24 07:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782287700	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x793baf…
06-24 07:43:53	btc updown 5m 1782286800	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x33ccdc…
06-24 07:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782286200	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2a00d5…
06-24 07:29:05	btc updown 5m 1782285900	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9cc584…
06-24 07:23:55	btc updown 5m 1782285600	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x133609…
06-24 07:03:53	btc updown 5m 1782284400	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x799fed…
06-23 21:39:19	btc updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x844851…
06-23 14:19:02	btc updown 5m 1782224100	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3d656c…
06-23 14:08:55	btc updown 5m 1782223500	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x72b5fb…
06-23 13:59:02	btc updown 5m 1782222900	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb738b9…
06-23 13:54:25	btc updown 5m 1782222600	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xae66c0…
06-23 13:48:53	btc updown 5m 1782222300	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x620f14…
06-23 13:44:07	btc updown 5m 1782222000	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8e1468…
06-23 13:24:07	btc updown 5m 1782220800	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x23599c…
06-23 13:08:53	btc updown 5m 1782219900	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd21665…
06-23 12:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782219300	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0b3cc5…
06-23 12:54:05	btc updown 5m 1782219000	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1e86bb…
06-23 12:49:16	btc updown 5m 1782218700	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xeefbfc…
06-23 12:43:56	btc updown 5m 1782218400	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd0267c…
06-23 12:38:53	btc updown 5m 1782218100	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x64e87d…
06-23 12:33:55	btc updown 5m 1782217800	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x20bb27…
06-23 12:18:53	btc updown 5m 1782216900	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x087907…
06-23 12:04:02	btc updown 5m 1782216000	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x298ab7…
06-23 11:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782215700	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6838a5…
06-23 11:53:53	btc updown 5m 1782215400	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9e839f…
06-23 11:34:07	btc updown 5m 1782214200	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3b7454…
05-30 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x44ef2c…
05-28 04:02:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92b98c…
05-27 11:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe5ef4d…
05-27 09:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0eda96…
05-26 20:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e9809…
05-26 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x77d573…
05-26 20:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2aeefe…
05-26 20:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8f9be6…
05-26 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xbf853d…
05-26 20:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xf3f3f0…
05-26 20:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x25eed1…
05-26 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf51218…
05-26 19:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe01d3c…
05-26 19:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc44174…
05-26 19:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdc9cf5…
05-26 19:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xccdb8b…
05-26 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0x3ee722…
05-26 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9278aa…
05-26 19:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x31d4a1…
05-26 19:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaea328…
05-26 19:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x570a49…
05-26 19:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf56e8a…
05-26 19:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xc16be1…
05-26 19:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1de0c4…
05-26 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xee49ad…
05-26 19:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x779034…
05-26 19:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda6fa7…
05-26 19:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf47ae1…
05-26 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f7184…
05-26 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x26adcc…
05-26 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9404e9…