Candid-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

1,934

Trades

1,982

lifetime

Volume

$9.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 11-01 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$3

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-01 01:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 01:02
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-25 15:25
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:30
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:14
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:12
mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Miami Marlins	+$0	06-14 19:21
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:39:06	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83ecc8…
11-01 00:43:15	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x403f2e…
10-31 16:00:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85f57b…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90739e…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x008b1b…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe90357…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57e150…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x285563…
10-23 07:21:20	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e4a74…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc34d1d…
10-20 18:41:36	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb4165…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57850f…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6be96…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3807d4…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bcf83…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1ea89…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8ff5b…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51f49f…
10-12 09:04:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab917f…
10-11 20:17:03	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3760c2…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b4898…
10-10 11:09:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c7ae1…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49d765…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacb5e5…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa04802…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x246c7f…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa13051…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x251ebc…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa94abb…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5ce3c…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x780a65…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09106c…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51ba5f…
10-01 12:05:47	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f2c3…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f8b44…
09-30 23:54:56	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ccdf9…
09-30 08:51:35	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5daa4…
09-30 01:53:35	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x938bad…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadc8a9…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf7612…
09-27 20:41:56	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1418db…
09-27 20:12:27	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd6b73…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x800b6e…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca988c…
09-27 00:21:29	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc327fe…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7135c…
09-26 16:18:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50183a…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x300bb6…
09-25 23:33:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x326c38…
09-25 10:13:02	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x346c5d…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x120095…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64639d…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa22ee4…
09-21 15:15:04	Sao Paulo Open (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Rogers/Zamarripa	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec9061…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00518d…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa40847…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3c058…
09-20 20:53:01	KKS Lech Poznan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e5557…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb1a8…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca80da…
09-20 02:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe54f57…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bb58b…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f4a07…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ba9e…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9c7aa…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb37bf3…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe06cd…
09-17 00:30:40	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16c6b9…
09-16 21:21:06	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7a676…
09-16 13:47:28	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x397f68…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ac960…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ee782…
09-16 01:33:25	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8df990…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52c7cc…
09-15 12:58:36	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x201a47…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b5590…
09-14 18:04:51	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x155fc1…
09-14 09:24:13	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f815f…
09-14 04:41:45	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeaa86a…
09-14 01:22:55	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61f2bf…
09-13 20:06:00	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19a78e…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2780e6…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08a0cf…
09-12 14:19:52	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d3333…
09-12 09:53:12	Will Daegu FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x928929…
09-12 03:09:06	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd3938…
09-11 21:06:36	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f57a9…
09-11 20:35:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdb84e…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf86561…
09-11 10:52:03	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31f8e6…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7cd77…
09-10 18:48:15	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb6910…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x135f04…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29bf24…
09-10 12:07:15	M25 Plaisir + H: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Nikola Slavic	Nikola Slavic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca3ce8…
09-10 02:29:40	Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fac99…
09-10 01:26:55	Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0d66d…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x081b1b…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3167dd…
09-09 18:51:09	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d034f…