Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$113

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-20

last 09-17 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

73% 45% -$18

Politics

19% 83% +$9

Tech

8% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+6	$2	15¢	$1	-$1	08-13 20:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	08-10 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-02 23:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-17 15:44
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-01 14:04
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-07 02:36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-17 07:35
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 09:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 15:31
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-07 10:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 06:53
spx up or down on september 3 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Up	-$2	09-03 08:50
will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-26 00:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-13 11:51
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-22 16:18
spy closes above 770 on august 13 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-13 03:49
spx opens up or down on september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	09-02 12:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-02 00:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-02 10:54
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-01 11:43
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-03 08:37
spx up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-05 01:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-08 06:40
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-07 12:08
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-05 17:39
will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 22:41
spx up or down on august 3 2026	1	$2	9	+9	Up	-$2	08-03 08:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-06 01:39
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	08-13 20:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-01 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-03 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 15:44:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7a5af4…
09-17 07:35:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0c9b84…
09-07 12:08:49	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x39a2a1…
09-03 08:50:09	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8d24b8…
09-03 08:37:24	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8c6518…
09-02 12:00:03	spx opens up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xca7d98…
09-02 10:54:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x242189…
09-02 00:54:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x80281c…
09-01 11:43:03	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x71a7cb…
09-01 03:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcc94cb…
08-22 16:18:19	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf1bbfb…
08-21 17:11:31	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x081c20…
08-14 04:46:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6dcdfa…
08-13 20:45:45	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb0739d…
08-13 11:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa91bbc…
08-13 03:49:48	spy closes above 770 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x49a421…
08-11 19:42:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x16e2e6…
08-10 11:39:00	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xea9d4e…
08-10 03:38:28	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9c6347…
08-08 06:40:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3028f8…
08-07 10:38:48	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5c67a7…
08-07 02:36:16	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x159736…
08-06 18:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x58a639…
08-06 10:34:12	will open dip to 3 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4de94d…
08-06 01:39:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xaf47e7…
08-05 17:39:17	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x10eb13…
08-05 09:38:54	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe09d6a…
08-05 01:38:03	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7412ad…
08-03 17:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2e981b…
08-03 09:35:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb9e1c6…
08-03 08:25:00	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5c4ee1…
08-02 23:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe51ab6…
08-02 15:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x459c03…
08-02 06:53:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x432a4b…
08-01 22:41:54	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x764db3…
08-01 22:39:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7f8f8f…
08-01 14:04:08	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdc0fd1…
08-01 03:37:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xebde52…
07-31 19:36:42	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe977a4…
07-31 11:36:23	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x820544…
07-31 01:45:05	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x926226…
07-30 00:54:12	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x14c9d0…
07-29 07:18:26	Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x76cfc2…
07-28 21:49:43	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd083d5…
07-28 10:41:04	will trump say putin during cabinet meeting 20260727172357449	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xfea2bd…
07-27 21:55:42	arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt47	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbf5895…
07-27 12:40:40	will trump say motor city during michigan remarks 20260724162420357	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x43fcea…
07-27 00:39:28	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x339623…
07-26 12:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdd6669…
07-26 00:36:48	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0e6703…
07-25 12:36:45	will warsh say task force 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109030	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xba3d8d…
07-25 00:36:34	nvts quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt04	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6cc254…
07-24 12:35:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3f94cb…
07-24 00:34:49	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe06efe…
07-23 12:33:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcaf4d1…
07-23 00:31:52	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6aee2b…
07-22 12:31:12	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x69a099…
07-22 00:30:52	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3d888b…
07-21 12:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xe74802…
07-21 00:30:30	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x089074…
07-20 12:30:27	will hood reach 112 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc07537…