Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

128

Trades

468

lifetime

Volume

$92.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-15 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

85% 29% +$2,653

Other

13% 6% -$676

Tech

1% 67% +$577

Crypto

0% 0% -$329

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	57	$13.7K	7,965	7,965	+0	No	+$258	01-29 22:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$10.1K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	-$60	01-30 20:09
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	29	$8.7K	7,864	7,864	+0	Yes	+$377	01-25 01:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$8.4K	5,684	5,684	+0	No	-$82	01-29 10:56
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$8.0K	4,596	4,596	+0	No	+$416	01-17 11:34
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	4	$7.4K	4,055	4,055	+0	Yes	+$425	01-29 17:22
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	8	$7.3K	5,155	5,155	+0	No	+$392	01-15 02:26
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	48	$6.3K	3,759	3,759	+0	Yes	+$360	02-02 03:08
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	10	$4.4K	2,611	2,611	+0	No	-$22	01-25 00:13
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	3	$3.9K	1,997	1,997	+0	No	-$4	01-13 14:06
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	19	$2.8K	2,395	2,395	+0	No	+$168	01-14 20:48
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	3	$1.2K	3,000	1,333	+1,667	Yes	+$746	02-14 20:14
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	7	$1.0K	1,840	1,840	+0	No	+$583	02-06 12:37
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	2	$866	1,803	1,803	+0	No	+$266	03-20 20:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$640	1,521	1,034	+487	Yes	-$30	04-21 13:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$639	21,691	0	+21,691	Yes	-$639	03-01 12:39
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$578	332	332	+0	Yes	+$81	01-28 16:51
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	5	$530	4,251	3,036	+1,215	No	-$80	03-08 12:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$510	1,135	1,135	+0	No	+$10	04-12 17:59
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	16	$481	1,916	14	+1,902	No	-$470	02-01 19:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$472	4,097	4,097	+0	Yes	-$128	03-02 11:05
will israel strike gaza on february 5 2026	12	$397	1,257	390	+867	No	+$63	02-06 21:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$385	298	298	+0	No	+$185	04-15 23:12
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$325	500	500	+0	Yes	+$125	03-04 11:32
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	15	$325	480	13	+466	Yes	+$168	02-01 13:11
will israel strike gaza on february 12 2026	2	$312	300	300	+0	Yes	+$288	02-13 10:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$223	910	643	+267	No	-$17	04-15 14:40
bitcoin up or down on january 30	4	$214	715	715	+0	Down	-$201	01-30 14:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$204	1,640	1,370	+270	Yes	-$16	02-28 23:29
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	381	381	+0	No	-$100	05-15 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 09:52:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	381	13¢	$50	0x6c0e45…
05-12 12:06:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	381	39¢	$150	0x71a91e…
04-23 12:30:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x90b88f…
04-21 13:00:50	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xea5911…
04-21 13:00:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	327	5¢	$15	0x848437…
04-21 13:00:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	682	4¢	$30	0xab6217…
04-21 12:59:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	523	2¢	$10	0xc39f38…
04-21 12:58:20	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x48747d…
04-16 15:03:10	will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x695e57…
04-15 23:12:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	298	96¢	$285	0x8e6055…
04-15 14:43:46	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xc36493…
04-15 14:42:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	298	34¢	$100	0xdbf0f3…
04-15 14:40:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	159	13¢	$20	0x16a5e9…
04-15 14:40:16	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	267	4¢	$10	0x9987bd…
04-13 15:47:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	17¢	$82	0xf6c2f0…
04-12 17:59:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	714	15¢	$108	0x0f487d…
04-12 14:30:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	10¢	$50	0x66d101…
04-12 14:28:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xe1cdd9…
04-12 00:28:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,034	29¢	$305	0x9a6d42…
04-11 20:57:59	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	Yes	BUY	215	7¢	$15	0x7b35ce…
04-11 20:31:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xba1205…
04-11 20:28:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xeeb847…
04-11 17:33:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	643	16¢	$103	0x584706…
04-11 17:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	420	36¢	$152	0x0c35d3…
04-09 14:53:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2312be…
04-08 14:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	420	36¢	$150	0x3bca4e…
04-08 14:31:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x86d7d5…
04-08 11:48:09	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x242a25…
04-08 11:47:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x550124…
04-08 11:47:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xcdcae7…
04-08 11:44:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,750	0¢	$15	0x34bcec…
03-30 11:10:16	will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	No	BUY	768	1¢	$5	0x234966…
03-30 11:09:04	will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	No	BUY	3,765	0¢	$5	0xcf49ff…
03-27 23:02:09	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xa90cb8…
03-22 22:47:47	will israel take military action in gaza on march 22 2026	No	BUY	727	1¢	$10	0xc09143…
03-21 19:58:21	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9e1729…
03-20 20:38:45	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xec9807…
03-20 20:34:09	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	50¢	$47	0xafb915…
03-20 20:32:37	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	1,803	31¢	$566	0x8f1101…
03-19 09:29:23	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	1,803	17¢	$300	0xdca198…
03-12 12:21:17	will avatar fire and ash win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0xb21c36…
03-08 12:28:05	will the cash initiative or counter proposal be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	685	1¢	$5	0x293d4c…
03-08 12:27:55	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	188	3¢	$5	0x9e39dd…
03-08 12:27:41	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	1,215	0¢	$5	0x7495d8…
03-08 09:39:15	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	SELL	716	6¢	$40	0x137c15…
03-08 09:38:45	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	SELL	2,320	8¢	$184	0xb36897…
03-07 19:18:29	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	838	1¢	$10	0xe42c7c…
03-07 09:35:17	will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 50m and 54m	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$5	0x88236a…
03-07 09:35:09	will hoppers opening weekend box office be less than 38m	Yes	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0x5317dd…
03-07 09:07:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0x929114…
03-06 09:27:17	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	279	2¢	$5	0x594d31…
03-06 09:26:07	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	1,027	10¢	$100	0x497e61…
03-05 19:37:53	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	666	2¢	$10	0xb22bad…
03-05 19:36:37	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	Yes	BUY	258	8¢	$20	0x5cd81b…
03-05 19:21:31	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7cb09e…
03-04 14:43:47	will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	356	1¢	$5	0x977e76…
03-04 14:43:27	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	2,008	10¢	$200	0xbcee23…
03-04 11:32:01	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	500	45¢	$225	0x987047…
03-04 11:31:47	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	263	42¢	$111	0x36e5e9…
03-02 11:08:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x73e517…
03-02 11:08:27	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xc76866…
03-02 11:07:25	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x97062d…
03-02 11:07:15	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xcb41c3…
03-02 11:05:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	4,097	4¢	$172	0xd78350…
03-01 19:49:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x53570f…
03-01 19:49:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	741	3¢	$20	0x89abe8…
03-01 19:44:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,436	8¢	$200	0x041557…
03-01 19:39:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,661	6¢	$100	0x35209d…
03-01 12:39:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf6634e…
03-01 12:37:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xfff144…
03-01 01:44:29	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	Yes	BUY	635	1¢	$5	0x9d0f70…
03-01 01:44:21	khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	Yes	BUY	269	2¢	$5	0x81b7c5…
03-01 01:44:03	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	Yes	BUY	517	1¢	$5	0xa1f27a…
03-01 01:43:55	khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	Yes	BUY	256	2¢	$5	0xe39291…
03-01 01:43:45	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	Yes	BUY	649	1¢	$5	0x65b053…
03-01 01:43:39	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	Yes	BUY	825	1¢	$5	0x403a7a…
03-01 01:41:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x394495…
02-28 23:36:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,923	5¢	$100	0xca1c57…
02-28 23:36:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,846	5¢	$200	0x303b32…
02-28 23:29:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,693	4¢	$100	0x5fbc54…
02-28 23:29:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x4f7b9a…
02-28 23:28:51	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x65cbbf…
02-28 21:38:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0xe6a857…
02-28 21:06:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,370	7¢	$94	0x27e2c1…
02-28 21:01:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	543	9¢	$50	0x8b502b…
02-28 21:01:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,053	9¢	$100	0x3649ba…
02-28 21:00:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,370	7¢	$100	0x4f7857…
02-27 13:13:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x2c18b0…
02-25 16:38:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xa82541…
02-25 16:37:44	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xb28967…
02-25 16:37:24	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	527	2¢	$10	0xfa0da5…
02-25 16:29:16	aapl close above 255 on february 25 2026	No	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x3c923e…
02-24 12:14:18	will donald trumps tie be another color	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0049bc…
02-24 11:57:34	will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	374	1¢	$4	0x7eb13d…
02-22 12:29:48	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xada5fe…
02-22 12:19:42	will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$5	0xc2cf7f…
02-22 12:18:54	will artemis ii launch by march 31	Yes	BUY	765	3¢	$20	0x128448…
02-20 16:45:10	will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	Yes	BUY	512	2¢	$10	0x5d5bbd…
02-20 16:44:38	will israel strike lebanon on february 20 2026	No	BUY	438	2¢	$10	0xa50c3a…
02-19 13:46:52	will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc28695…