Definite-Penalty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

498

Trades

1,030

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

79% 59% -$174

Sports

18% 69% +$304

Crypto

2% 79% -$37

Politics

1% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Lions (-16.5)	2	$352	200	200	+0	Jets	+$36	09-27 19:28
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	3	$299	370	167	+203	Yes	-$101	02-02 07:18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B	12	$263	205	205	+0	3DMAX	+$57	09-18 11:35
Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	1	$261	300	0	+300	No	+$39	10-02 11:45
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	6	$258	485	485	+0	Yes	+$38	01-23 14:48
Jets vs. Lions	3	$248	170	170	+0	Lions	+$0	09-27 15:08
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	7	$247	370	370	+0	MIBR	+$86	09-18 15:13
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 90 114	2	$236	138	138	+0	No	+$38	01-31 15:48
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	6	$231	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$1	01-26 07:54
lol edg nip 2026 08 28 game3	3	$230	130	130	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$30	08-28 08:31
Vikings vs. Bears	8	$222	160	160	+0	Vikings	+$79	09-20 20:03
Texas State vs. San Diego State: O/U 63.5	2	$213	120	120	+0	Under	+$19	10-04 06:14
Will England win on 2026-09-26?	4	$193	130	130	+0	No	-$6	09-26 18:36
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua	8	$190	120	120	+0	Anna Bondar	+$49	09-22 06:33
mlb wsh det 2026 09 23	5	$189	140	140	+0	Washington Nationals	+$91	09-23 19:59
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-11?	2	$188	100	100	+0	No	+$12	10-11 12:56
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	2	$186	101	101	+0	No	+$15	10-12 17:29
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20?	2	$182	100	100	+0	No	+$18	09-20 14:55
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-10-06?	2	$182	100	100	+0	No	+$18	10-06 13:25
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-10-11?	2	$181	100	100	+0	No	+$17	10-11 17:16
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	2	$161	106	106	+0	Yes	+$21	01-24 08:43
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A	4	$161	130	130	+0	MIBR	+$99	09-08 09:31
Cincinnati vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5	6	$161	85	85	+0	Under	+$9	10-04 06:24
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	4	$155	162	162	+0	No	+$15	01-19 14:47
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	2	$154	80	80	+0	No	+$6	10-17 16:18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	17	$152	440	0	+440	New York Yankees	-$152	09-22 18:09
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	3	$151	90	90	+0	Under	+$27	09-19 15:55
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	3	$150	80	80	+0	No	+$9	10-14 17:44
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	5	$149	100	100	+0	B8	+$50	09-17 18:59
mlb nym tex 2026 09 24 total 9pt5	2	$146	200	0	+200	Under	+$54	09-24 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 16:18:51	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xbecc11…
10-17 07:26:59	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x33a737…
10-17 06:06:52	Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)	Hull City AFC	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xa6e893…
10-16 20:16:24	Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)	1. FC Köln	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x414118…
10-16 19:40:04	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xfe3ab3…
10-16 15:02:07	uzb1 kkd nef 2026 10 16 spread away 2pt5	FK Kokand 1912	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0xfd3ae2…
10-16 13:30:37	Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)	1. FC Köln	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x8ce149…
10-16 13:21:12	Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)	Hull City AFC	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x40276c…
10-16 07:25:39	Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xaae43a…
10-16 03:30:57	Spread: East Carolina (-20.5)	UAB	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x0c6fdb…
10-15 18:57:07	Spread: East Carolina (-20.5)	UAB	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x2c7f91…
10-15 18:48:43	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)	Cloud9	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xacb001…
10-15 18:46:59	Spread: Georgia Southern (-20.5)	Old Dominion	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x8f7afa…
10-15 18:39:19	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x635214…
10-15 18:36:47	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)	Cloud9	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x518572…
10-15 18:27:19	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xd0e94e…
10-15 17:32:59	Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x5334d4…
10-15 14:33:56	Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xe8213d…
10-15 12:52:34	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7d26d4…
10-15 12:52:02	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf6421d…
10-15 08:40:07	lol we bro2 2026 10 15	HANJIN BRION	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x167556…
10-14 19:08:06	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x94f56b…
10-14 18:47:18	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 spread away 2pt5	AS Roma	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x0d418a…
10-14 17:44:49	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x567a86…
10-14 16:48:55	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xa2ebba…
10-14 15:51:01	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x89e27e…
10-14 12:01:33	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game handicap home 1pt5	BNK FEARX	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x6e7d5c…
10-14 07:42:41	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14 game handicap home 1pt5	BNK FEARX	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x086693…
10-13 18:20:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x622103…
10-13 18:20:09	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x72cb15…
10-13 10:29:17	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x7ad16b…
10-13 10:28:02	Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)	FlyQuest	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xabc5f5…
10-13 08:04:20	LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x98b239…
10-13 06:43:38	Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)	FlyQuest	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xd015e0…
10-13 06:36:11	Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)	FlyQuest	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9a98cf…
10-12 19:10:24	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9a4e68…
10-12 19:07:21	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x290f50…
10-12 19:06:47	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x950b08…
10-12 19:05:42	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x43a090…
10-12 18:04:36	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x5d5563…
10-12 18:03:23	Spread: Rams (-16.5)	Bills	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xfda46f…
10-12 17:53:39	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xf31fb0…
10-12 17:29:18	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x821ded…
10-12 15:48:02	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	101	85¢	$86	0x500b5f…
10-12 15:06:32	Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	JD Gaming	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x94b86f…
10-12 10:46:06	Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	JD Gaming	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5bcf31…
10-12 07:56:21	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x81c9e8…
10-11 20:00:01	Spread: Broncos (-20.5)	Chargers	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x861d85…
10-11 19:23:25	Spread: Jets (-8.5)	Browns	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x38d4fd…
10-11 17:16:51	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xba9db0…
10-11 16:34:03	Spread: Vikings (-14.5)	Saints	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3aadec…
10-11 16:33:42	Spread: Saints (-13.5)	Vikings	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4a1a35…
10-11 14:53:09	cs2 vit mouz 2026 10 11 map handicap away 1pt5	MOUZ	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9eccc3…
10-11 12:57:01	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x901776…
10-11 12:56:16	Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc8b388…
10-11 12:31:18	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x82f512…
10-11 12:31:09	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x61cbe6…
10-11 12:26:37	Spread: Jaguars (-21.5)	Eagles	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0x03151e…
10-11 12:20:31	Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x6a42ff…
10-11 12:11:04	Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x6df8dd…
10-11 05:21:30	Spread: Boise State (-20.5)	Fresno State	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xe707f9…
10-10 19:16:04	Spread: Texas (-15.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x80a02a…
10-10 19:15:21	Spread: Texas (-15.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x52f12b…
10-10 19:15:21	Spread: Texas (-15.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x2400a5…
10-10 19:04:12	Spread: Kansas State (-14.5)	Houston	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x74c1e9…
10-10 19:01:28	Spread: Kansas State (-13.5)	Houston	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x10fd63…
10-10 18:51:21	Spread: Missouri (-20.5)	Texas A&M	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x7ac92f…
10-10 18:26:34	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x0b9eda…
10-10 16:57:24	Spread: Missouri (-20.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x0c58e5…
10-10 16:57:22	Spread: Missouri (-20.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xce6269…
10-10 16:05:52	Spread: North Dakota State (-16.5)	UNLV	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x42086f…
10-10 16:02:42	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x10517f…
10-10 15:49:37	Spread: South Carolina State (-14.5)	Charleston Southern	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x0f4b1c…
10-10 15:19:16	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x521f54…
10-10 11:43:37	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x20c063…
10-10 08:53:37	Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Playoffs	Nemiga	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x99a093…
10-10 08:53:06	Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5)	Iberian Soul	SELL	28	52¢	$15	0x3b4d22…
10-10 08:38:06	Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5)	Iberian Soul	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb13657…
10-10 08:37:06	Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa75322…
10-10 08:29:03	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)	Team Spirit	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0xe028b0…
10-10 08:28:06	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x07d0e1…
10-10 07:33:24	Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x9156c4…
10-10 07:22:33	Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x719483…
10-09 20:18:53	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Aurora	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x276d16…
10-09 13:56:30	cs2 furia mouz 2026 10 09 map handicap home 1pt5	FURIA	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x48e7bc…
10-09 10:51:36	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x2fa107…
10-09 07:05:36	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xcda1a0…
10-09 06:41:31	Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xb5c157…
10-08 18:53:44	Spread: Arkansas State (-20.5)	South Alabama	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x1a4b37…
10-08 18:52:06	Spread: UTSA (-20.5)	South Florida	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd4a698…
10-08 18:50:51	Spread: Liberty (-20.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x336dee…
10-08 18:39:35	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x72b0b5…
10-08 18:39:33	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x5a2463…
10-08 17:09:59	Spread: Cowboys (-21.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x6b90f4…
10-08 16:16:29	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	PRIVATE	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xab731d…
10-08 16:13:30	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	PRIVATE	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x688b10…
10-08 15:10:38	Spread: Cowboys (-21.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x3f5aad…
10-08 10:37:12	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	BET-M 33	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x725ec7…
10-08 07:34:16	Spread: Cowboys (-21.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc41af4…
10-08 07:27:22	Spread: Cowboys (-21.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xca2717…