Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

1,180

Trades

2,347

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$302

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 08-02 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

64% 85% +$31

Politics

15% 86% -$8

Crypto

14% 85% -$17

Sports

4% 90% -$4

Tech

2% 60% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 88% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	No	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$0	07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	$0	07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	+20	$20	98¢	$20	$0	07-30 21:26
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	+17	$15	100¢	$17	+$2	07-25 18:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	07-21 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	07-21 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	07-21 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	07-21 21:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	07-21 21:03
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	07-22 10:35
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+7	$2	84¢	$6	+$4	07-22 10:35
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	07-10 19:17
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	07-10 19:17
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	07-10 19:17
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	07-10 19:17
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$0	07-10 19:17
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	+5	$4	78¢	$4	+$0	07-31 14:56
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+5	$5	77¢	$4	-$1	07-09 18:16
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	+5	$5	66¢	$3	-$1	07-10 19:17
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+5	$5	64¢	$3	-$2	07-09 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$410	412	0	+412	No	+$2	07-30 21:00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	7	$345	347	0	+347	No	+$2	07-22 14:28
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	3	$188	189	0	+189	No	+$1	07-05 11:23
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	07-29 13:30
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$163	164	0	+164	No	+$0	07-29 13:30
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	10	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	07-08 14:18
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$144	147	17	+130	No	+$4	07-31 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 7?	7	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	07-07 01:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 7?	7	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	07-07 01:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?	7	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	07-07 01:10
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?	7	$135	198	0	+198	No	+$63	07-07 01:40
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	2	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	07-06 17:32
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$124	128	36	+92	No	+$6	07-31 14:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	07-23 14:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	07-23 14:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$1	07-23 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 7?	3	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	07-06 19:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?	6	$106	114	0	+114	No	+$7	07-07 01:10
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	5	$91	91	0	+91	No	+$0	07-07 18:23
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	07-20 18:32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 9?	4	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$0	07-08 23:46
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$85	113	51	+62	No	+$60	07-31 14:45
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?	7	$82	98	0	+98	No	+$16	07-07 01:29
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?	7	$79	79	268	-189	No	+$0	07-23 11:56
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	11	$76	154	10	+144	Yes	-$74	07-31 14:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	6	$70	72	0	+72	No	+$2	07-26 07:10
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on July 8?	3	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-07 21:55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on July 8?	3	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-07 21:55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 8?	4	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-07 21:57
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 8?	3	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$1	07-07 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 03:16:14	Will the Colorado Rockies have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1f112c…
07-31 15:23:27	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x5fa81c…
07-31 15:23:20	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4e6ad2…
07-31 15:15:38	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x5c0c5a…
07-31 15:15:15	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x9a7051…
07-31 15:15:12	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x48a327…
07-31 15:15:06	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x3d778b…
07-31 15:15:00	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xe6b57b…
07-31 15:13:11	Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4e595e…
07-31 15:11:26	Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa0f2de…
07-31 15:10:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe14b0c…
07-31 15:10:39	Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2d349b…
07-31 15:10:29	Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xcda453…
07-31 15:09:48	Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x93f40a…
07-31 15:01:00	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x84b5a3…
07-31 15:00:57	Will Connor Storrie – “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x243876…
07-31 15:00:33	Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xaba97a…
07-31 15:00:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xfcee28…
07-31 14:59:26	Will “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe9251d…
07-31 14:59:20	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x028235…
07-31 14:59:15	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x97ece2…
07-31 14:59:09	Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x161728…
07-31 14:59:06	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x8c0105…
07-31 14:56:48	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x19acdb…
07-31 14:56:45	Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8c7eda…
07-31 14:56:38	Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x56576f…
07-31 14:56:33	Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x0a5ea2…
07-31 14:56:24	Will “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x26ef8d…
07-31 14:56:20	Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x02261e…
07-31 14:56:17	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x7f2966…
07-31 14:54:50	Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x713c65…
07-31 14:54:47	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 31?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x28e6eb…
07-31 14:54:35	Will Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4f0de0…
07-31 14:53:54	Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfafafc…
07-31 14:53:51	Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xe1d16a…
07-31 14:53:44	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1ae8ff…
07-31 14:53:41	Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x91aecd…
07-31 14:53:38	Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x1128b1…
07-31 14:53:11	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x44c5e4…
07-31 14:53:06	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x23aaca…
07-31 14:53:02	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x67a705…
07-31 14:52:57	Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xe37559…
07-31 14:52:53	Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xc43ef9…
07-31 14:52:24	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x1f5c5f…
07-31 14:52:03	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x923939…
07-31 14:51:59	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9d2ece…
07-31 14:51:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x65a93e…
07-31 14:51:53	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x10cc64…
07-31 14:51:48	Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe138bf…
07-31 14:51:42	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xa428e9…
07-31 14:51:39	Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xff7d2f…
07-31 14:51:38	Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x9bd3b6…
07-31 14:51:21	Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xae34fb…
07-31 14:51:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xe9956f…
07-31 14:51:15	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x41e3f4…
07-31 14:51:12	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xbaeef7…
07-31 14:50:59	Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa66b75…
07-31 14:50:51	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x58c7f1…
07-31 14:50:42	Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb627b0…
07-31 14:50:39	Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	No	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xd1960a…
07-31 14:50:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xb2df25…
07-31 14:50:32	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xaf25b3…
07-31 14:50:27	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0x0185a0…
07-31 14:50:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa5c717…
07-31 14:50:14	Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x154a66…
07-31 14:50:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x726bf7…
07-31 14:50:06	Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb09a49…
07-31 14:49:57	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x820a4e…
07-31 14:49:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x680e64…
07-31 14:49:36	Will Juventude win Brazil Série B?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x40a55f…
07-31 14:49:35	Will Athletic win Brazil Série B?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcc4ae9…
07-31 14:49:30	Will Atlético Goianiense win Brazil Série B?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe371c5…
07-31 14:48:14	Will Goiás win Brazil Série B?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x608533…
07-31 14:47:57	Will Ceará win Brazil Série B?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa37923…
07-31 14:47:53	Will Fortaleza win Brazil Série B?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x412847…
07-31 14:47:44	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 1?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x688638…
07-31 14:47:39	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x765027…
07-31 14:47:38	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xea16e5…
07-31 14:47:35	Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x044c4f…
07-31 14:47:30	Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x220872…
07-31 14:47:15	Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1b2b04…
07-31 14:47:09	Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf9bec7…
07-31 14:47:03	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x87e98c…
07-31 14:46:59	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x0a0d0a…
07-31 14:46:45	Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x214d3d…
07-31 14:46:42	Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x678e91…
07-31 14:46:36	Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x41cf55…
07-31 14:46:32	Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xabe58c…
07-31 14:46:29	Will the season series between the Bills and Dolphins end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x4b6cf2…
07-31 14:46:26	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfaf3a6…
07-31 14:46:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xa5091b…
07-31 14:46:12	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe52c76…
07-31 14:46:09	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xbccd71…
07-31 14:46:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	34	28¢	$10	0x5763c6…
07-31 14:46:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x310308…
07-31 14:45:41	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0xa2a993…
07-31 14:45:36	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x93763e…
07-31 10:37:33	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdd60ab…
07-31 10:37:33	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb6752…
07-31 10:37:33	Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa8fac6…