Innocent-Opponent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

140

Trades

4,878

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 17% $-37

Other

15% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	54	$657	5,662	5,662	+0	open	—	03-01 08:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	61	$456	26,723	100	+26,623	open	—	02-28 08:49
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 140 164	16	$412	410	410	+0	open	—	01-19 14:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	46	$346	4,864	4,864	+0	open	—	03-01 18:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	16	$256	170	170	+0	open	—	03-02 23:40
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 115 139	14	$253	350	350	+0	open	—	01-19 12:59
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	7	$199	450	450	+0	open	—	01-19 13:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	30	$197	209	208	+0	open	—	03-03 00:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	20	$196	165	165	+0	open	—	03-03 07:12
will iran strike cyprus in march	20	$185	155	155	+0	open	—	03-02 23:56
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 140 164	16	$175	400	396	+4	open	—	01-20 21:53
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	25	$165	400	400	+0	open	—	01-20 07:49
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$157	126	126	+0	open	—	03-03 07:11
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	5	$149	40	120	-80	open	—	01-10 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	6	$126	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 22:51
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	7	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	03-02 20:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$101	70	70	+0	open	—	03-02 20:17
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	03-03 07:11
btc updown 15m 1772633700	12	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 14:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 23:46
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	8	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	01-13 17:13
sea pis bol 2026 03 02 bol	15	$91	95	65	+30	open	—	03-02 20:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	49	$86	221	221	-0	open	—	04-01 20:28
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	3	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	01-05 09:24
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	6	$73	100	0	+100	open	—	01-05 15:24
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	5	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	02-02 14:37
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	4	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	01-06 19:05
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	6	$69	75	71	+4	open	—	03-03 00:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	11	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 21:05
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	5	$55	300	0	+300	open	—	01-15 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 06:39:37	sol updown 15m 1784183400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x396dc1…
07-16 06:38:38	sol updown 15m 1784183400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x450915…
07-16 06:38:14	doge updown 5m 1784183700	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xde2cfe…
07-16 06:38:14	doge updown 5m 1784183700	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x364be2…
07-16 06:31:55	eth updown 5m 1784183400	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd3eaff…
07-16 06:30:02	xrp updown 5m 1784183100	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0d537…
07-16 06:29:52	hype updown 5m 1784183100	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1d3179…
07-16 01:28:13	btc updown 5m 1784165100	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43d82e…
07-16 00:56:07	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc91a8e…
07-16 00:55:02	hype updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x84667f…
07-16 00:54:59	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfea613…
07-16 00:53:28	doge updown 5m 1784163000	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b0d37…
07-16 00:14:41	doge updown 5m 1784160600	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xea277b…
07-16 00:14:35	doge updown 5m 1784160600	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xba2dcd…
07-15 15:43:16	xrp updown 15m 1784129400	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x5a7afb…
07-14 14:18:25	xrp updown 5m 1784038500	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x8359fa…
07-14 14:14:17	eth updown 5m 1784038200	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3cae09…
07-14 08:55:44	btc updown 15m 1784018700	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x61b92e…
07-14 08:11:13	bnb updown 15m 1784016000	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf5ae6a…
07-14 07:49:29	hype updown 5m 1784015100	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x1bbcc6…
07-14 07:49:29	hype updown 5m 1784015100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0ee5dc…
07-13 15:27:11	xrp updown 5m 1783956300	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb987d5…
07-13 15:23:05	sol updown 5m 1783956000	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x9fb881…
07-13 15:19:07	bnb updown 5m 1783955700	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x353b3b…
07-13 12:43:31	sol updown 15m 1783945800	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x146cef…
07-13 12:30:13	btc updown 5m 1783945500	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa429b2…
07-13 12:11:04	sol updown 15m 1783944000	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd05ce2…
07-13 11:58:29	hype updown 5m 1783943700	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xfd3180…
07-13 11:56:13	hype updown 5m 1783943700	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xda29d5…
07-13 11:22:22	bnb updown 5m 1783941600	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc794a2…
07-12 06:39:29	bnb updown 5m 1783838100	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa18312…
07-12 06:39:13	bnb updown 5m 1783838100	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x73bca1…
07-10 10:55:25	hype updown 15m 1783680300	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x37e6f8…
07-10 10:40:04	doge updown 15m 1783679400	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb5de21…
07-10 10:40:01	bnb updown 15m 1783679400	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdbe455…
07-10 09:12:02	hype updown 15m 1783674000	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x168eac…
07-10 09:03:22	xrp updown 5m 1783674000	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x6a2fd2…
07-10 08:17:20	btc updown 15m 1783671300	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x168234…
07-10 06:19:19	doge updown 15m 1783664100	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x8f2d14…
07-10 06:19:17	btc updown 5m 1783664100	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x426c1f…
07-10 06:11:22	btc updown 15m 1783663200	Down	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x821999…
07-10 06:11:22	btc updown 15m 1783663200	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0d7cbf…
07-10 05:57:17	sol updown 15m 1783662300	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x64534e…
07-10 05:49:17	sol updown 5m 1783662300	Down	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xa80497…
07-10 05:40:26	doge updown 15m 1783661400	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x6f06a9…
07-10 05:40:26	doge updown 15m 1783661400	Up	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x62da5b…
07-10 05:27:17	sol updown 15m 1783660500	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb9915b…
07-10 04:49:16	btc updown 5m 1783658700	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8b2062…
07-10 04:39:32	xrp updown 15m 1783657800	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc28269…
07-10 04:39:25	btc updown 5m 1783658100	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xfcb95c…
07-10 04:39:25	btc updown 5m 1783658100	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf0585b…
07-10 04:39:25	btc updown 5m 1783658100	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x837e2c…
07-10 04:25:16	btc updown 15m 1783656900	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x839fda…
07-10 03:39:14	xrp updown 5m 1783654500	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xca0c34…
07-10 03:11:28	btc updown 15m 1783652400	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x6dd7cd…
07-10 02:55:14	btc updown 15m 1783651500	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x3d7828…
07-10 02:29:13	sol updown 5m 1783650300	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x30fb9d…
07-10 02:27:13	sol updown 15m 1783649700	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$27	0xbd5f00…
07-10 02:19:14	doge updown 5m 1783649700	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x5807c0…
07-10 02:11:13	sol updown 15m 1783648800	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4852cc…
07-10 01:43:13	xrp updown 15m 1783647000	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xbbc2e0…
07-10 01:39:44	doge updown 5m 1783647300	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x808d72…
07-10 01:39:16	doge updown 5m 1783647300	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xb6acd2…
07-10 01:23:13	doge updown 15m 1783646100	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x488ec2…
07-10 01:07:11	btc updown 15m 1783645200	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xc87f3e…
07-10 00:43:11	xrp updown 15m 1783643400	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9352fa…
07-10 00:13:11	sol updown 5m 1783642200	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xdc7f67…
07-09 23:27:10	xrp updown 15m 1783638900	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb8b30a…
07-09 23:23:10	doge updown 15m 1783638900	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf1d42c…
07-09 22:57:10	sol updown 15m 1783637100	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe7070c…
07-09 21:59:38	xrp updown 15m 1783633500	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa65a61…
07-09 21:59:37	xrp updown 15m 1783633500	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1b66b2…
07-09 21:59:34	xrp updown 15m 1783633500	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb5cbe6…
07-09 21:59:34	xrp updown 15m 1783633500	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x01411e…
07-09 21:09:07	sol updown 5m 1783631100	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x528fc6…
07-09 20:27:41	xrp updown 15m 1783628100	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf80c63…
07-09 20:27:41	xrp updown 15m 1783628100	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0x7fe1c8…
07-09 19:55:59	btc updown 15m 1783626300	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x402dc9…
07-09 19:43:07	sol updown 15m 1783625400	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa37523…
07-09 19:37:05	xrp updown 5m 1783625700	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1a973b…
07-09 19:09:52	doge updown 15m 1783623600	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x4ab2df…
07-09 18:56:50	doge updown 15m 1783622700	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x80869c…
07-09 18:56:50	doge updown 15m 1783622700	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x054fa8…
07-09 18:43:40	doge updown 15m 1783621800	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x146c85…
07-09 18:28:13	xrp updown 15m 1783620900	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x39226b…
07-09 18:28:10	xrp updown 15m 1783620900	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x6929e1…
07-09 18:28:10	xrp updown 15m 1783620900	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x34d403…
07-09 18:25:38	btc updown 15m 1783620900	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x19da2d…
07-09 18:21:40	xrp updown 5m 1783621200	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb4e7bb…
07-09 18:14:07	doge updown 15m 1783620000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97a576…
07-09 18:12:08	sol updown 15m 1783620000	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2fc4ba…
07-09 18:10:02	btc updown 15m 1783620000	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3e8414…
07-09 17:23:38	doge updown 15m 1783617300	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xfea0b9…
07-09 17:23:37	btc updown 15m 1783617300	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb4bb17…
07-09 17:21:38	xrp updown 15m 1783617300	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x569d30…
07-09 16:42:11	sol updown 15m 1783614600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfdd34a…
07-09 15:59:38	doge updown 15m 1783611900	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x2b4ddf…
07-09 15:57:35	xrp updown 15m 1783611900	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x84c138…
07-09 15:03:35	eth updown 5m 1783609200	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xcb4eb9…
07-09 14:49:40	eth updown 5m 1783608300	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7e2a7e…