Wide-Eyed-Lesson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-12 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 89% -$5

Other

25% 100% +$1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	01-18 10:45
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-24 02:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-01 08:26
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-30 10:32
bitcoin above 84k on january 14	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	01-13 09:56
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 8	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-08 11:21
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	01-04 06:26
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	01-08 10:46
ethereum above 2300 on march 4	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-04 06:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-01 06:19
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-17 09:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	06-08 07:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-28 12:27
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-04 02:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-12 12:42
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	06-01 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-23 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 26	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-26 09:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 19	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-19 12:12
bitcoin above 72k on march 30	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-30 11:17
bitcoin above 66k on april 15	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	04-14 12:51
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-23 10:50
ethereum above 2400 on april 4	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-03 07:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-26 08:13
bitcoin above 72k on april 18	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
bitcoin above 72k on march 22	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-22 09:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 10	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-09 12:57
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 14	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	03-14 03:44
ethereum above 2000 on march 16	1	$83	83	+83	Yes	+$0	03-16 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 13:41:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaaa422…
09-12 13:38:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4efd56…
08-01 10:28:06	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x887162…
06-08 07:17:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa96517…
06-01 07:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xbcef46…
05-28 12:27:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa2d22f…
05-23 02:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb35b09…
05-17 09:05:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x08e47a…
05-12 12:42:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x13c02b…
05-07 11:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf8d83f…
05-04 02:08:20	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xc7000e…
04-26 08:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xdbfeb3…
04-23 10:50:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xb4f19e…
04-18 07:35:46	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xf8172d…
04-14 12:51:27	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xaa0bcc…
04-09 12:57:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 10	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x29fe89…
04-03 07:33:13	ethereum above 2400 on april 4	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x7c89c2…
03-30 11:17:38	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xeaa903…
03-26 09:19:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 26	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x41eb08…
03-22 09:07:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 22	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xc564dd…
03-19 12:12:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 19	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xed6d08…
03-16 11:43:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 16	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xcec0f0…
03-14 03:44:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 14	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x772f1f…
03-10 12:14:39	ethereum above 2500 on march 11	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9e0b40…
03-08 03:20:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xe85556…
03-08 03:20:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,030	0¢	$2	0x60be12…
03-08 03:19:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 8	Yes	BUY	980	0¢	$2	0xbbdbad…
03-04 06:23:41	ethereum above 2300 on march 4	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xb80883…
03-01 06:19:25	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 1	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xbf0a61…
03-01 06:19:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0x5311ae…
02-08 11:21:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa56bbf…
02-01 08:26:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbc3091…
01-30 10:32:28	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x76ec50…
01-24 02:13:04	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xdf4cd8…
01-18 10:45:22	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf55508…
01-13 09:56:41	bitcoin above 84k on january 14	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x574da9…
01-08 10:46:31	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x1f5738…
01-04 06:26:39	ethereum above 2900 on january 4	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa037df…