Well-To-Do-Password — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 07-14 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

34% 100% +$3

Crypto

25% 100% +$9

Other

23% — —

Sports

11% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on july 10 2026	17	$2.7K	2,683	2,683	+0	open	—	07-10 08:01
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	19	$2.7K	1,949	1,949	+0	open	—	02-17 11:41
spy up or down on july 14 2026	32	$2.5K	2,614	2,614	+0	open	—	07-14 11:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$1.6K	807	807	+0	open	—	05-27 16:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$1.5K	1,910	1,910	+0	open	—	05-27 16:09
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$1.3K	1,562	0	+1,562	open	—	06-29 12:37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1	1,300	-1,299	open	—	06-29 00:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,169	0	+1,169	open	—	06-01 18:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$897	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	05-28 14:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$773	782	0	+782	open	—	04-28 20:49
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$772	780	0	+780	open	—	04-14 18:48
ethereum above 2000 on april 8	1	$768	770	0	+770	open	—	04-08 04:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	2	$762	770	0	+770	No	+$8	05-06 08:01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$666	600	600	+0	open	—	03-27 11:33
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$489	490	0	+490	open	—	03-27 23:33
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	5	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	02-16 19:23
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	03-05 19:52
btc updown 5m 1771263600	28	$297	600	0	+600	open	—	02-16 17:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	03-05 22:04
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	5	$279	550	0	+550	open	—	02-16 20:28
btc updown 5m 1771175700	26	$259	529	0	+529	open	—	02-15 17:15
btc updown 5m 1772995200	16	$252	350	0	+350	open	—	03-08 18:42
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	9	$199	1,070	1,070	+0	Yes	+$1	03-28 13:03
btc updown 5m 1772994600	5	$195	300	0	+300	open	—	03-08 18:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 00:34
btc updown 5m 1771173900	20	$194	400	0	+400	open	—	02-15 16:45
bitcoin above 74k on march 12	1	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	03-11 19:40
btc updown 5m 1771180200	1	$178	500	0	+500	open	—	02-15 18:33
btc updown 5m 1772996700	6	$177	200	0	+200	open	—	03-08 19:09
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	5	$173	322	322	+0	open	—	03-27 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:01:11	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	41	50¢	$21	0xa6d531…
07-14 11:01:11	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x47f552…
07-14 11:01:10	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xc85d98…
07-14 11:01:10	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xbe33ed…
07-14 11:01:10	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x4c1c46…
07-14 11:01:10	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x33234e…
07-14 11:01:08	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x5a0883…
07-14 11:01:07	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xa20fc8…
07-14 11:01:02	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x2269aa…
07-14 11:01:01	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xa620f9…
07-14 11:01:01	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6cde69…
07-14 11:01:01	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x2671c6…
07-14 11:01:01	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x01d2c1…
07-14 11:00:59	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x0a3b15…
07-14 11:00:59	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x00b921…
07-14 11:00:53	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	502	50¢	$251	0x1b80c5…
07-14 08:47:17	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x5f5e15…
07-14 08:23:08	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	SELL	187	47¢	$88	0xe65945…
07-14 08:18:19	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x0a3d86…
07-14 08:17:40	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xed6ea4…
07-14 08:17:40	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xaadfbd…
07-14 08:17:38	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x1bae05…
07-14 08:17:37	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x7768cd…
07-14 08:17:22	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x80ba97…
07-14 08:17:22	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x12c5b2…
07-14 08:17:20	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x45261e…
07-14 08:17:02	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xe8ca62…
07-14 08:17:02	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xc73a1b…
07-14 08:17:02	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x5e2a6c…
07-14 08:16:56	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xbf97b9…
07-14 08:16:55	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xb74c4c…
07-14 08:16:46	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x217988…
07-10 08:01:41	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	430	63¢	$271	0xb5530e…
07-10 07:17:04	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	300	49¢	$147	0xfe425d…
07-10 06:20:25	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2c4ee4…
07-10 06:20:14	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x37f02e…
07-10 06:18:02	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	471	49¢	$231	0x718b48…
07-10 06:17:47	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	133	49¢	$65	0xf99771…
07-10 06:17:34	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	625	49¢	$306	0x0fdfa9…
07-10 04:04:16	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9213b8…
07-10 01:22:02	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xed1c0c…
07-10 01:16:35	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0xda394e…
07-10 01:16:32	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	90	48¢	$43	0xeb86f0…
07-10 01:16:08	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	90	48¢	$43	0x09edd0…
07-10 01:15:56	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0xcba9f9…
07-10 01:11:50	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0x78119c…
07-10 01:00:20	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0x320d84…
07-10 01:00:14	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	625	48¢	$300	0xdb0ece…
06-29 12:37:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	662	83¢	$550	0x317827…
06-29 12:32:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	900	83¢	$747	0xdb62fb…
06-29 00:10:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	814	99¢	$809	0xbaf3a3…
06-28 23:10:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x1f1544…
06-28 20:14:35	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9bb74b…
06-28 17:44:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0xee9063…
06-28 16:11:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe03f6d…
06-13 13:43:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed1375…
06-01 18:15:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,169	93¢	$1,087	0xe7bb7a…
05-28 14:14:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	260	80¢	$208	0x845d3f…
05-27 16:10:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	820	84¢	$689	0x184a0c…
05-27 16:09:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,864	36¢	$671	0xe197b9…
05-27 16:09:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	46	36¢	$17	0x328686…
05-27 16:04:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$20	0xff2dab…
05-27 16:04:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,865	43¢	$802	0x7208db…
05-27 16:01:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	807	100¢	$805	0x362774…
05-10 02:16:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	807	99¢	$800	0x63ae04…
05-07 18:50:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	275	7¢	$19	0xb97a72…
05-06 08:01:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x34385d…
05-06 07:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	415	99¢	$411	0xa16044…
05-06 07:38:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x07951a…
05-06 07:36:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	267	6¢	$16	0x056abc…
04-28 20:49:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	782	99¢	$773	0x06210a…
04-14 18:48:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	780	99¢	$772	0xc10adb…
04-08 04:16:51	ethereum above 2000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	770	100¢	$768	0x1b95c2…
03-29 00:18:52	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	2¢	$4	0xa847b5…
03-28 13:03:39	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	81	5¢	$4	0x3ed7c3…
03-28 11:43:29	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x87c16e…
03-28 11:42:57	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x6e50f9…
03-28 11:07:53	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	819	5¢	$41	0x1a4d70…
03-27 23:33:17	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	367	100¢	$366	0x93112d…
03-27 23:28:27	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe7935f…
03-27 23:05:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x4f8f50…
03-27 23:01:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	28¢	$61	0xb7d309…
03-27 20:24:53	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xe2d683…
03-27 20:10:37	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9a154a…
03-27 20:00:53	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xc2897a…
03-27 19:57:59	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xc4cb87…
03-27 19:47:49	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8c2d2e…
03-27 19:47:47	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7bc992…
03-27 19:44:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	322	26¢	$84	0x57f298…
03-27 19:36:25	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x36478a…
03-27 19:25:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x719c51…
03-27 19:23:45	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc608a0…
03-27 19:12:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x17de3f…
03-27 18:44:49	P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x5926cd…
03-27 11:33:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	600	56¢	$336	0x944c00…
03-27 11:21:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	600	55¢	$330	0x6c3a38…
03-23 00:34:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc25500…
03-11 19:40:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 12	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x58f290…
03-08 19:09:29	btc updown 5m 1772996700	Up	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xe873bf…
03-08 19:09:29	btc updown 5m 1772996700	Up	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xd8fc22…