Somber-Hardhat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$563

Unrealized P&L

+$157

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

518

Trades

651

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$902

14 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 11-07 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Sports

56% 48% +$399

Other

44% 42% +$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	+412	$100	41¢	$170	+$70	10-30 19:22
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+502	$40	31¢	$158	+$118	07-23 00:09
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,562	$80	6¢	$88	+$8	07-22 18:15
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+927	$65	9¢	$81	+$16	10-30 19:20
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	+242	$100	26¢	$64	-$36	10-05 00:49
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Panthers	+87	$50	56¢	$48	-$2	11-03 20:31
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Colts	+78	$40	56¢	$44	+$4	11-06 19:23
Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Buccaneers	+78	$40	52¢	$41	+$1	11-05 19:29
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)	Jets	+74	$40	55¢	$40	+$0	11-05 19:07
Spread: Lions (-7.5)	Dolphins	+69	$40	57¢	$40	$0	11-07 00:12
Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)	Seahawks	+78	$40	50¢	$40	$0	11-05 19:08
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+292	$50	13¢	$37	-$13	09-28 19:42
Spread: Saints (-3.5)	Browns	+74	$40	44¢	$33	-$7	11-06 19:23
Spread: Rams (-4.5)	Rams	+40	$20	48¢	$19	-$1	11-06 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Philadelphia Flyers advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	5	$500	649	0	+649	No	+$149	05-01 22:00
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	2	$435	253	253	+0	Yes	+$35	06-28 16:19
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	2	$350	541	0	+541	No	-$350	05-20 22:20
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$301	201	201	+0	Yes	+$101	03-16 02:51
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?	3	$200	436	192	+244	open	—	09-21 18:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$200	272	0	+272	Yes	+$72	07-27 22:23
Browns vs. Buccaneers	1	$200	256	0	+256	Browns	-$200	09-20 14:47
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$200	351	0	+351	Yes	+$151	05-29 20:30
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$196	231	231	+0	Yes	+$136	07-19 21:16
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)	2	$175	324	0	+324	Colts	+$149	09-20 22:58
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$165	588	588	+0	open	—	09-14 02:50
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$156	107	107	+0	Yes	+$56	06-24 19:43
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	3	$150	301	0	+301	Yes	+$151	05-04 01:01
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)	3	$145	189	94	+94	Jaguars	-$55	08-25 20:25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$125	236	0	+236	Yes	+$111	07-04 16:45
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	2	$113	105	105	+0	No	+$13	08-23 19:45
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$105	206	0	+206	Knicks	+$101	06-11 01:21
Spread: Packers (-1.5)	2	$100	185	0	+185	Packers	-$100	10-18 23:16
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	1	$100	412	0	+412	open	—	10-30 19:22
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	2	$100	180	0	+180	49ers	-$100	10-11 19:43
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	1	$100	242	0	+242	open	—	10-05 00:49
Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	1	$100	191	0	+191	No	-$100	10-07 21:22
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	1	$100	167	0	+167	Yes	+$67	06-30 00:11
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$100	270	0	+270	Yes	+$170	06-03 19:09
Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	1	$100	176	0	+176	Steelers	+$76	08-25 01:22
Cowboys vs. Eagles	1	$100	149	0	+149	Cowboys	+$49	10-26 22:04
Rams vs. Eagles	2	$100	171	0	+171	Rams	+$71	10-04 17:45
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	2	$100	189	0	+189	Knicks	+$89	06-03 19:09
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$100	143	0	+143	Hurricanes	+$43	05-28 21:54
will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	4	$100	213	0	+213	No	-$100	06-29 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 00:12:45	Spread: Lions (-7.5)	Dolphins	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x3c35b4…
11-06 20:24:01	Spread: Rams (-4.5)	Rams	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc27186…
11-06 19:23:19	Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)	Colts	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x12eac3…
11-06 19:23:09	Spread: Saints (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xb0d869…
11-05 19:29:56	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xbf1afb…
11-05 19:08:09	Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)	Seahawks	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xa3a887…
11-05 19:07:31	Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)	Jets	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xdcab52…
11-03 20:31:54	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x897056…
10-31 17:16:16	Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa5d46b…
10-30 19:22:03	Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	412	24¢	$100	0x497754…
10-30 19:20:04	Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x11f8c4…
10-30 18:23:28	Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x4fa020…
10-30 18:01:45	Raiders vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xb02b44…
10-30 18:01:28	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xb08031…
10-30 18:01:07	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x22b4b1…
10-30 18:00:46	Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)	Cardinals	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x2390cb…
10-30 17:59:07	Spread: Lions (-2.5)	Lions	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x8b6c1d…
10-30 17:58:45	Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0xd6d6a6…
10-30 17:58:01	Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x88da0f…
10-30 17:57:42	Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x1b8a09…
10-29 22:32:49	Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xc1534a…
10-29 19:12:52	Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Panthers	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x06047c…
10-26 22:04:29	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf7591e…
10-25 03:16:41	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	SELL	73	54¢	$39	0x58a927…
10-23 17:00:05	Spread: Panthers (-3.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa0abd5…
10-23 03:15:06	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Patriots	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x413e85…
10-22 15:55:41	Kings vs. Islanders	Kings	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x18ccf9…
10-22 15:55:32	Predators vs. Bruins	Predators	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4b91e2…
10-22 15:55:23	Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xecce19…
10-20 04:40:11	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x855cce…
10-19 23:04:21	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x2becaa…
10-18 23:16:48	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Cowboys	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x067b62…
10-18 22:13:30	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Cowboys	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x496b9d…
10-13 20:09:01	Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Raiders	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xe309fb…
10-13 17:40:04	cfb wake cah 2026 10 17 spread away 9pt5	Wake Forest	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x841b22…
10-13 17:39:39	Utah vs. Colorado: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x97f75c…
10-13 17:35:52	Spread: Houston (-4.5)	Houston	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe97180…
10-13 17:34:28	Oklahoma State vs. Houston: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x176601…
10-12 22:58:30	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf7ee7a…
10-12 16:22:23	Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x833b55…
10-12 16:21:50	Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xba2fe2…
10-12 16:21:11	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xbbee99…
10-12 08:00:42	Spread: Ravens (-4.5)	Browns	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6459b4…
10-12 08:00:09	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x57fd70…
10-11 19:43:36	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x75b040…
10-08 19:13:15	Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Broncos	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x3bb715…
10-08 19:12:27	Spread: Vikings (-2.5)	Saints	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xfcb817…
10-08 19:12:11	Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	Saints	SELL	94	46¢	$43	0x95a3f8…
10-08 19:10:00	Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	2,083	1¢	$19	0xdcbee4…
10-08 19:09:44	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1,220	3¢	$34	0x9f4385…
10-07 21:22:25	Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xbadfef…
10-06 18:34:56	Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x877af6…
10-06 18:34:20	Spread: Memphis (-13.5)	Memphis	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x544fa1…
10-06 18:33:32	Spread: Utah (-15.5)	Utah	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x4e2b2c…
10-06 18:32:29	Spread: Liberty (-13.5)	Liberty	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xc220b7…
10-06 18:31:12	Spread: North Dakota State (-2.5)	North Dakota State	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xc0f5c8…
10-06 18:30:24	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xc89f74…
10-05 20:45:20	Spread: Oregon State (-13.5)	Oregon State	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x48418d…
10-05 19:10:11	Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	308	8¢	$25	0x6c164b…
10-05 17:46:29	Spread: Tennessee (-13.5)	Tennessee	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x3649b5…
10-05 17:46:02	Spread: Louisville (-4.5)	Florida State	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x4648de…
10-05 17:45:28	Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x2df656…
10-05 17:44:32	South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xfd4bdd…
10-05 17:43:28	Browns vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x5105af…
10-05 00:49:08	Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0xac2d3e…
10-05 00:18:55	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x003c88…
10-05 00:18:34	Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x1738ad…
10-05 00:17:10	Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)	Jaguars	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xc5387c…
10-05 00:16:07	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xcb5342…
10-05 00:15:50	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x82ba72…
10-04 17:45:47	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x0ceb40…
10-04 17:41:56	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x167966…
10-03 20:28:58	Jets vs. Bears: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x3628ca…
10-03 17:59:42	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x6b2f67…
10-03 17:56:56	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee621a…
10-01 20:10:42	Spread: Vikings (-10.5)	Dolphins	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xdd28c3…
09-30 18:00:35	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd8ebf7…
09-30 18:00:26	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x35609b…
09-29 19:40:59	Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x86b6ff…
09-29 17:29:11	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Jets	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xccf36e…
09-29 03:55:12	Spread: Lions (-2.5)	Lions	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xa9f208…
09-29 03:54:50	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x10080f…
09-29 03:52:50	Spread: Bengals (-2.5)	Bengals	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xb9580b…
09-28 19:42:53	Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	398	6¢	$25	0x591f05…
09-28 19:42:39	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	292	17¢	$50	0x5bab9d…
09-28 18:58:08	Spread: Arizona (-7.5)	Cincinnati	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xf5c833…
09-28 18:57:09	Louisiana-Monroe vs. South Alabama: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x240ad3…
09-28 18:56:18	Spread: Texas State (-3.5)	Texas State	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x805d06…
09-28 18:54:54	UTSA vs. Rice: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xf090fc…
09-28 18:54:00	Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)	Ohio State	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1ffaf4…
09-25 18:51:12	Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	174	14¢	$25	0x5aae8d…
09-25 18:20:26	Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x9ec377…
09-25 18:13:20	Spread: Eagles (-6.5)	Bears	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x0ec79b…
09-24 18:55:32	Spread: Texans (-2.5)	Texans	SELL	77	47¢	$36	0x2d969e…
09-24 17:59:35	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Falcons	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x214ce2…
09-24 17:46:03	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Falcons	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xf8c784…
09-24 03:39:59	Spread: Vikings (-2.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xc5820c…
09-23 20:08:52	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27 total 42pt5	Under	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xcb98f2…
09-22 23:08:41	Jets vs. Lions: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x54c147…
09-22 23:07:50	Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Titans	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x71b8a0…