Growing-Outfit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$937

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

2,003

Trades

18,393

lifetime

Volume

$39.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-29 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

97% 58% +$946

Politics

2% 70% +$32

Crypto

1% 38% -$41

Tech

0% 62% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+25	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	08-12 18:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+25	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	08-10 22:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+35	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	08-14 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 46 47f	19	$573	721	132	+588	No	+$4	02-28 01:25
dota2 pari flc 2026 02 26 game2	7	$542	540	40	+500	Team Falcons	+$5	02-27 00:02
highest temperature in ankara on february 27 2026 7corhigher	1	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	02-27 13:59
highest temperature in ankara on february 26 2026 5c	1	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	02-26 16:31
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 15c	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	02-25 11:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$399	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 22:23
highest temperature in nyc on february 19 2026 40 41f	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	02-20 01:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 7corhigher	7	$341	358	17	+341	No	+$1	02-19 10:02
highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 42 43f	11	$302	535	280	+255	No	-$2	03-18 23:32
highest temperature in paris on march 22 2026 11c	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-22 09:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 15 2026 30c	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	02-15 21:36
highest temperature in paris on march 19 2026 13c	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	03-19 09:25
highest temperature in ankara on february 25 2026 6c	4	$297	298	0	+298	Yes	+$1	02-25 18:14
highest temperature in london on february 16 2026 10c	12	$292	310	30	+280	Yes	+$9	02-16 17:39
highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 4c	2	$285	142	142	+0	No	+$0	03-01 14:20
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	4	$277	279	10	+269	No	+$3	02-22 17:22
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 24 2026 28corhigher	10	$274	282	10	+272	Yes	+$7	02-24 21:54
highest temperature in ankara on february 20 2026 8c	4	$264	268	0	+268	No	+$4	02-20 10:11
dota2 lynx yes 2026 02 27	17	$252	266	231	+34	Yellow Submarine	-$5	02-27 19:02
highest temperature in ankara on february 16 2026 13c	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	02-16 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$250	250	0	+250	Yes	+$0	05-02 11:44
highest temperature in ankara on february 17 2026 11c	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	02-17 08:53
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 16 2026 28corbelow	3	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	02-16 13:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on August 6?	3	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	08-06 10:27
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 17 2026 28c	2	$248	249	0	+249	No	+$1	02-17 12:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	46	$240	170	160	+10	Yes	+$8	02-15 14:51
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 10c	1	$226	227	0	+227	No	+$0	03-23 08:23
highest temperature in ankara on february 17 2026 14c	13	$226	320	119	+201	No	+$8	02-17 17:24
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	3	$222	229	0	+229	No	+$7	03-22 15:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3?	2	$216	216	0	+216	No	+$0	08-03 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 14:40:18	Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb8be6a…
08-28 23:12:28	Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x85b274…
08-24 20:20:00	Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa3c034…
08-16 03:44:04	cs2 nxs1 bw 2026 08 16	Nexus	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2ea0c2…
08-16 01:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x749240…
08-16 01:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x58c8db…
08-16 00:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x744eec…
08-16 00:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8d0c3e…
08-15 18:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x24325f…
08-15 18:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 15?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x8b67d9…
08-15 18:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x6b8db9…
08-15 18:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xf753d5…
08-15 18:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x99118e…
08-15 17:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4cbbf3…
08-15 17:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3e2aa7…
08-15 17:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x279ce0…
08-15 16:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0x7c571e…
08-15 16:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5657dd…
08-15 15:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x75025e…
08-15 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8333c4…
08-15 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x37ef71…
08-15 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x359351…
08-15 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x0d237b…
08-15 15:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xd849b1…
08-15 15:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfc4cf1…
08-15 15:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf17e80…
08-15 15:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e7bbb…
08-15 15:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc0cfdc…
08-15 15:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8290a7…
08-15 15:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x4d7fb1…
08-15 15:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x493d29…
08-15 15:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x84ed0c…
08-15 15:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x346470…
08-15 15:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x0d5e36…
08-15 15:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x8f02bd…
08-15 15:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3745a1…
08-15 15:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1b40a1…
08-15 15:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0ee469…
08-15 15:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x44b15a…
08-15 15:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4efb54…
08-15 15:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x94be8a…
08-15 15:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x7db07b…
08-15 15:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xbbdbaf…
08-15 15:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x3c6fde…
08-15 15:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xab4cbe…
08-15 15:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x49dba1…
08-15 14:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc303da…
08-15 14:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x4786bf…
08-15 14:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x08b7d6…
08-15 13:35:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6c8e5e…
08-15 13:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfaee40…
08-15 13:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9edc0e…
08-14 16:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xce0c0e…
08-14 16:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xfafcc0…
08-14 14:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xd6214d…
08-14 13:16:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa0258a…
08-13 15:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x622e7e…
08-12 18:08:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x8a2e76…
08-11 20:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x1c194d…
08-11 20:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb03f31…
08-11 18:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x270bf5…
08-11 17:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x40ec17…
08-11 15:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4e86ba…
08-11 14:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xe890d2…
08-11 14:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x06fc5e…
08-11 14:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xcd5b4b…
08-11 14:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x085bd3…
08-11 13:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfd1f6e…
08-11 13:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x88778f…
08-11 12:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x17b1b0…
08-11 11:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8abb87…
08-11 11:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa35ad7…
08-10 22:06:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xb0c2d3…
08-10 14:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x03e811…
08-10 14:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x888284…
08-10 13:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x8e41a6…
08-10 11:14:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x995cfb…
08-10 11:12:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xa172c4…
08-10 11:11:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9021e9…
08-10 10:57:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2b4e27…
08-10 10:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x872c2e…
08-10 07:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x725cda…
08-10 03:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x538a66…
08-10 01:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x64f9cf…
08-10 01:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb82b9a…
08-10 00:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0d4834…
08-09 23:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb98cdc…
08-09 22:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xab3e41…
08-09 22:14:28	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xde23cb…
08-09 21:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 10?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8ec2d1…
08-09 21:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 10?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2b91e6…
08-09 21:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8c114e…
08-09 20:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 10?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa7f34a…
08-09 18:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xffaa7b…
08-09 16:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5691d4…
08-09 16:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x086044…
08-09 15:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x99b1ff…
08-09 15:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x6f32c8…
08-09 15:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xabdbfc…
08-09 15:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x57a3bd…