Testy-Sweater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

447

Trades

872

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-19 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

76% 83% -$22

Crypto

19% 77% +$1

Politics

3% 73% +$0

Tech

1% 75% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 25?	8	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$0	07-25 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	5	$96	48	48	+0	No	$0	07-27 14:18
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-15 06:05
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-30 15:12
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-19 12:55
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	5	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-31 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on June 27?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-26 18:43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 01:35
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	07-29 09:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	5	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 26?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-25 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 17:53
will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 29?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 21?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:44
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-27 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on July 21?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-20 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 21?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 09:09
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-01 04:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-23 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on July 18?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-17 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 26?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-26 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-27 20:24
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-21 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on May 27?	6	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-26 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 29?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-28 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x019930…
10-18 19:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x085df9…
10-16 09:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11191a…
10-13 02:41:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x02867b…
10-13 02:03:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaf6e6b…
10-12 09:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x76d5d7…
10-12 09:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x82a87b…
10-12 09:18:55	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0bdb02…
10-12 08:12:32	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xffe8c8…
10-12 07:19:04	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5ad8d0…
10-12 06:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb0318a…
10-12 01:35:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0x2d6a81…
10-11 18:30:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x2b98a2…
10-10 07:09:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x788239…
10-07 18:55:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 8?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfd1f2e…
10-05 09:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x676e49…
10-02 02:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x96ec51…
10-01 23:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x490c50…
10-01 05:22:24	ethereum above 2500 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x382362…
09-28 04:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x55715e…
09-28 03:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xeb30dc…
09-23 04:37:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x816f50…
09-23 02:40:16	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2090f5…
09-23 00:27:46	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x21c425…
09-22 23:16:47	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x780e2a…
09-22 12:01:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2e5266…
09-21 20:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x62f641…
09-19 08:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ef9e1…
09-17 23:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x702a51…
09-17 12:56:48	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x4cf2fd…
09-13 02:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x84af15…
09-11 01:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdb2a0e…
09-10 20:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8432f…
09-07 13:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x565134…
09-06 13:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x558f82…
09-06 05:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa51527…
09-05 22:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4144a0…
09-05 05:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2a61b6…
09-05 03:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xe31e35…
09-04 20:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x528844…
09-04 14:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9541a…
09-04 11:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on September 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a1827…
09-04 03:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6a12b8…
09-03 21:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xc1886f…
09-03 11:32:55	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x72b654…
09-03 04:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe8cf06…
09-02 20:11:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x75f11e…
09-02 12:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x1e7278…
09-02 08:30:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa59b72…
09-01 20:01:30	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x149590…
09-01 08:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69dbb7…
09-01 03:02:57	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x3b4862…
08-31 05:19:37	Will Trump say "Red Card" in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcb500a…
08-30 23:11:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd6c057…
08-30 17:46:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9fdf85…
08-30 09:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8e207c…
08-30 00:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on August 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf6e65e…
08-29 20:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8cd99a…
08-29 17:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc48d0c…
08-29 08:54:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on August 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf2593c…
08-28 06:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb04147…
08-27 11:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x316019…
08-27 03:55:09	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be at least 0.8%?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x866f09…
08-27 01:43:25	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x078828…
08-26 20:13:36	will bitcoin dip to 73k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9634e1…
08-26 12:12:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf43f1b…
08-26 03:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x73a6a9…
08-25 09:09:25	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2807a2…
08-25 07:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcc6969…
08-24 22:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4a81a7…
08-24 15:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6444ea…
08-24 13:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6f612f…
08-24 00:11:42	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x17df1d…
08-23 18:50:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3bbd90…
08-14 19:12:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 14	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x9b06ed…
08-14 08:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x63c340…
08-13 22:13:45	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90a61c…
08-13 16:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0a75f5…
08-13 08:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xec4513…
08-13 06:30:31	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x524a1e…
08-12 22:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a689d…
08-12 08:54:31	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe0a7c4…
08-12 02:46:28	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xda12bf…
08-11 23:51:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x487a1a…
08-11 21:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7bc4a8…
08-11 12:22:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xd44f67…
08-10 21:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb2317…
08-10 18:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd91c0a…
08-10 13:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb507f6…
08-10 10:50:51	xrp above 1pt3 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1a2530…
08-09 14:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5ecdae…
08-09 07:00:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ec620…
08-09 05:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa337cd…
08-09 01:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x14b15a…
08-08 17:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb619b…
08-08 16:57:57	will solana dip to 50 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xca43cd…
08-08 08:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1dc37…
08-07 19:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd881cb…
08-07 14:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ec802…
08-07 11:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d3815…