Valid-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

4,715

Trades

42,797

lifetime

Volume

$103.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-25 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$2,738

Other

0% 40% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 11:50 UTC	435	$1.1K	2,154	+2,154	Up	+$29	06-25 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:35 UTC	336	$868	1,674	+1,674	Up	-$62	06-23 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:00 UTC	226	$780	1,398	+1,398	Up	-$10	06-23 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 22:40 UTC	215	$552	1,116	+1,116	Up	-$71	06-21 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:20 UTC	220	$546	1,092	+1,092	Down	-$1	06-21 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:35 UTC	117	$282	583	+583	Down	-$35	06-25 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 06:10 UTC	132	$251	552	+552	Up	+$76	06-19 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 13:10 UTC	107	$249	582	+582	Up	-$55	06-25 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:15 UTC	128	$241	1,443	+1,443	Down	-$31	06-09 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 11:00 UTC	90	$235	462	+462	Up	-$10	06-26 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:40 UTC	79	$229	452	+452	Up	-$22	06-11 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:40 UTC	85	$228	452	+452	Up	-$17	06-26 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:25 UTC	100	$220	446	+446	Down	+$30	06-18 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:05 UTC	95	$217	446	+446	Down	-$31	07-01 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:35 UTC	72	$204	399	+399	Down	-$11	06-12 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:05 UTC	60	$202	372	+372	Down	+$35	06-11 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:55 UTC	78	$200	400	+400	Up	+$26	06-22 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:05 UTC	95	$189	463	+463	Up	-$16	06-10 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	62	$189	298	+298	Up	-$23	06-02 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:05 UTC	65	$180	368	+368	Down	-$17	06-10 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:20 UTC	74	$179	434	+434	Down	-$14	06-10 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:45 UTC	64	$176	323	+323	Down	+$6	06-10 19:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:25 UTC	66	$175	354	+354	Down	+$20	06-11 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 23:00 UTC	66	$175	347	+347	Up	-$66	06-22 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 11:30 UTC	60	$174	453	+453	Up	-$15	06-11 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 21:45 UTC	73	$172	392	+392	Down	-$34	06-25 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	71	$172	722	+722	Up	-$14	06-09 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:35 UTC	114	$170	897	+897	Up	-$11	06-09 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:25 UTC	73	$167	335	+335	Down	-$8	06-10 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:00 UTC	26	$166	315	+315	Up	-$1	06-11 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x18fc23…
10-25 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x19049c…
10-25 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x469235…
10-25 17:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0cf08d…
10-25 17:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xbd0b07…
10-25 17:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x509ddf…
10-25 17:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x40a689…
10-25 17:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb2a95a…
10-25 17:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x432dd9…
10-25 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x80bd33…
10-25 17:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0b7e77…
10-25 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x45cf8b…
10-25 17:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x388fbf…
10-25 17:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc25e4b…
10-23 23:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xecd9be…
10-23 23:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x55a01e…
10-23 23:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xcecf49…
10-23 23:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x03a433…
10-20 12:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xbba594…
10-20 12:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbae4c2…
10-20 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x917c2e…
10-20 12:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x33f213…
10-18 18:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x8769ff…
10-18 18:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7a9d27…
10-18 17:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xc6d531…
10-18 17:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf54e75…
10-18 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0ce616…
10-18 17:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x79b74a…
10-18 17:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x810d8e…
10-18 17:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa8a4d4…
10-18 16:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xed21ee…
10-18 16:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x0124c9…
10-02 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9825e2…
10-02 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x549d80…
10-02 00:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa16159…
10-02 00:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x274684…
10-02 00:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef0286…
10-02 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x3283ae…
10-02 00:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe11d77…
10-01 23:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf5708…
10-01 23:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd11e21…
10-01 23:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x67e956…
10-01 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf20963…
10-01 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc587aa…
10-01 23:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xda93f6…
10-01 23:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x38e722…
10-01 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xeafb04…
10-01 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdb6761…
10-01 23:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x50d8d6…
10-01 23:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcfb69d…
10-01 23:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf32cf5…
10-01 23:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5d44b2…
10-01 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb95123…
10-01 23:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8b9e1b…
10-01 23:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1a29a…
10-01 23:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5786c4…
10-01 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x982d7d…
10-01 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x71a3af…
10-01 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x26f1d8…
10-01 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6fd54…
10-01 22:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe99670…
10-01 22:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x589066…
10-01 22:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x20a557…
10-01 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x75e595…
10-01 22:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa82c03…
10-01 22:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8aa2e9…
10-01 22:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83d447…
10-01 22:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d2dfc…
10-01 22:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x002f2e…
10-01 22:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x78e2f1…
10-01 22:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x137b96…
10-01 22:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5a7e07…
10-01 22:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x34cc5e…
10-01 22:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc23ff1…
10-01 22:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe23db3…
10-01 22:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xddfd57…
10-01 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf2f202…
10-01 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe5fc1f…
10-01 22:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa239cb…
10-01 22:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x75daf9…
10-01 22:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xda4ab0…
10-01 22:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba30fa…
10-01 22:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xd7cb80…
10-01 22:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2ee1ed…
10-01 22:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x989cdc…
10-01 22:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf1f1b6…
10-01 22:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf437c8…
10-01 22:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x01fbaf…
10-01 22:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa738ce…
10-01 21:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x022991…
10-01 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc277ac…
10-01 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x61e2a8…
10-01 21:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3cd76e…
10-01 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xda5233…
10-01 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc05653…
10-01 21:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa6a2f5…
10-01 21:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xaa5e62…
10-01 21:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x761ea5…
10-01 21:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9729cb…
10-01 21:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6600c3…