Portly-Butler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$706

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

155

Trades

536

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

87% 42% -$668

Sports

5% 32% -$12

Tech

4% 50% -$14

Politics

3% 33% -$12

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers		+10	$5	16¢	$2	-$3	10-28 20:01
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No		+5	$2	9¢	$0	-$2	10-23 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea juv lec 2026 01 03 total 1pt5	2	$707	505	505	+0	Over	-$20	01-03 17:29
epl bou ars 2026 01 03 total 2pt5	2	$620	350	350	+0	Over	-$4	01-03 18:06
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	7	$274	341	341	+0	John	+$4	05-31 19:02
Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland?	1	$155	3,156	0	+3,156	No	-$155	09-26 11:51
Spread: Israel (-2.5)	2	$147	2,329	0	+2,329	Republic of Ireland	-$147	09-26 09:29
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	3	$131	52,895	0	+52,895	No	-$131	05-25 17:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$109	100	100	+0	No	+$3	10-19 00:55
Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?	2	$107	100	100	+0	Yes	-$37	10-19 11:59
Paris curfew by October 24?	2	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	10-19 16:33
epl liv bre 2026 05 24 ags will wright	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	05-24 11:03
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	4	$100	85	85	+0	No	+$2	10-25 17:56
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	3	$93	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 03:25
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	6	$82	100	98	+2	open	—	10-20 10:10
will the openai spy be accused of working for saudi arabia by december 31 20261014120000000	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	10-14 20:26
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	4	$74	86	86	+0	open	—	10-22 17:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 12:08
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	5	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$1	10-20 03:36
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	10-24 02:29
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	3	$67	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-17 16:53
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	2	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	10-23 11:44
Will Georgia Bulldogs Win the 2026 SEC Championship?	2	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-18 05:43
epl wol wes 2026 01 03 total 3pt5	2	$59	67	67	+0	Under	-$25	01-03 16:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	2	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	10-27 15:54
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	10-24 17:06
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	10-17 16:06
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	5	$55	60	60	+0	open	—	10-21 08:04
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$55	2,039	0	+2,039	No	-$55	06-07 17:13
Marc Bernal: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$55	59	0	+59	No	+$4	05-23 17:45
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?	4	$54	80	80	+0	open	—	10-23 16:55
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	5	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	10-20 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:39:28	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x698023…
10-28 20:01:14	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x49ecbf…
10-28 17:27:05	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf81120…
10-28 11:07:25	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf91aa3…
10-28 10:47:47	Will Persib Bandung win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd581a8…
10-28 08:49:31	Gimnasia vs. Ferro Carril Oeste	Gimnasia	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbcb330…
10-28 07:57:58	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6b8de6…
10-28 03:03:26	Will FK Kapaz win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x496b2b…
10-27 22:09:17	SK Brann vs. Czarni Sosnowiec: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x42daec…
10-27 18:01:51	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbe3ae7…
10-27 18:01:48	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4f81a6…
10-27 16:55:11	Spread: Lions (-2.5)	Lions	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x27f99e…
10-27 16:46:47	Oxford City vs. Merthyr Town: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2cf5a7…
10-27 15:54:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x838dd3…
10-27 14:58:38	Altrincham FC vs. Kidderminster Harriers FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9cdbcd…
10-27 12:58:23	wta shi yastrem 2026 10 27	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x95c137…
10-27 12:56:41	Morecambe FC vs. Darlington FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x244e36…
10-27 10:21:14	Truro City vs. Slough Town: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9fa735…
10-26 21:35:30	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa61e08…
10-26 18:48:57	Atalanta BC U23 vs. Vis Pesaro 1898: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x225668…
10-26 16:51:35	Sporting de Alcázar CF vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x284e70…
10-26 15:34:42	Spread: Kk Metalac (-2.5)	Kk Dynamic	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xd9ed7f…
10-26 14:56:03	Baylor vs. UCF	Baylor	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xef6f8f…
10-26 14:27:48	Darius Cooper: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x71ec51…
10-26 13:28:08	Toronto FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdd4c2d…
10-26 13:12:47	Minnesota United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xecaa57…
10-26 13:12:18	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x38a9f1…
10-26 13:10:29	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0f5bd5…
10-26 13:09:08	Will New York City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x14d282…
10-26 11:44:09	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa668ba…
10-26 07:11:20	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x53a9d0…
10-26 06:34:18	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x08e369…
10-26 03:25:08	Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)	Eagles	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4f8146…
10-26 02:49:38	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbbc356…
10-26 00:14:39	Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)	Kings	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2caced…
10-25 22:25:33	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Chiefs	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe55c6b…
10-25 22:24:17	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb598ed…
10-25 22:17:21	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Lucia Szabová	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9135bc…
10-25 22:08:00	Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x67c3aa…
10-25 22:01:53	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1ca1c7…
10-25 22:01:08	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x549a04…
10-25 21:25:50	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3fca6d…
10-25 21:13:14	Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f83d3…
10-25 20:37:38	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc7ccb9…
10-25 19:48:27	Spread: Broncos (-4.5)	Broncos	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x74082d…
10-25 19:08:15	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54f7dc…
10-25 17:56:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x2ff431…
10-25 17:55:44	Valorant: Gen.G GC vs FENNEL Female (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	FENNEL Female	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x76dfb6…
10-25 17:26:39	Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	Thunder	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x45f64a…
10-25 16:46:42	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa3ea72…
10-25 16:46:36	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x81a92e…
10-25 16:46:08	Spread: Texans (-17.5)	Giants	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x336803…
10-25 14:04:35	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc80b1d…
10-25 13:50:21	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8f04ce…
10-25 13:38:18	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3c9053…
10-25 12:06:14	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcb32b5…
10-25 11:59:29	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x202b38…
10-25 11:57:57	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1e641f…
10-25 09:34:09	Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x09d860…
10-25 08:41:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x0e8d2d…
10-25 05:11:15	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x16501f…
10-25 03:19:12	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x458932…
10-25 03:05:23	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x0eada0…
10-25 02:49:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xadddcf…
10-25 01:46:57	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x6ba113…
10-25 01:45:59	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x401c20…
10-25 01:45:38	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf167de…
10-25 01:43:30	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xa16677…
10-25 01:43:30	Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x90a3ff…
10-25 01:21:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0xad283e…
10-24 23:56:30	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd8dd6b…
10-24 23:50:47	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x346d3e…
10-24 22:33:33	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0ccba6…
10-24 18:06:29	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xfa3bde…
10-24 17:06:12	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0x8a14e7…
10-24 15:20:56	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x963ab4…
10-24 15:20:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	57	36¢	$21	0xeb4dd0…
10-24 15:18:27	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x7693c5…
10-24 14:44:57	Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x8a10e0…
10-24 14:43:14	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x4328cf…
10-24 14:25:42	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0x8f383d…
10-24 13:01:27	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xf50a2d…
10-24 12:42:51	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x868cad…
10-24 12:09:15	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xc65e11…
10-24 12:09:15	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x749912…
10-24 05:31:51	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa3513c…
10-24 05:18:20	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xe21d71…
10-24 04:54:56	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa18f0f…
10-24 03:25:56	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x64ff4a…
10-24 03:15:06	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xeb314e…
10-24 03:03:24	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x07cdb9…
10-24 03:03:23	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xaf0f48…
10-24 03:03:23	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x795a3b…
10-24 02:29:24	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x608a86…
10-24 01:18:39	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x454b0e…
10-24 01:18:38	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0x2eebe2…
10-24 01:18:36	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xf32424…
10-24 01:18:36	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x196e7c…
10-24 01:18:36	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x05ee69…
10-24 01:18:35	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x783417…