Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.48K

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.89K

Open exposure

$7.52K

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-26 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

80% 100% +$12,463

Other

15% 0% -$7,000

Crypto

3% 33% -$643

Sports

2% 25% -$630

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+4,177	$2,000	50¢	$2.1K	+$109	10-26 19:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+3,458	$2,000	57¢	$2.0K	-$12	10-26 19:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+5,769	$2,000	26¢	$1.5K	-$471	10-26 19:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+25,585	$3,500	6¢	$1.4K	-$2,093	10-26 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+17,569	$1,000	2¢	$351	-$649	10-26 19:41
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+3,148	$500	4¢	$131	-$369	08-31 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$20.0K	25,003	+25,003	No	+$5,001	03-20 19:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$10.5K	18,013	+18,013	Yes	+$7,463	03-26 20:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$7.0K	12,548	+12,548	No	-$7,000	09-03 16:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$3.5K	25,585	+25,585	open	—	10-26 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	1	$2.0K	3,458	+3,458	open	—	10-26 19:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$2.0K	4,177	+4,177	open	—	10-26 19:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$2.0K	5,769	+5,769	open	—	10-26 19:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$1.0K	17,569	+17,569	open	—	10-26 19:41
will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	1	$500	1,242	+1,242	Yes	-$500	09-03 16:27
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	1	$500	2,407	+2,407	Yes	-$500	09-03 16:26
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	1	$500	857	+857	No	+$357	09-03 16:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	3	$500	3,148	+3,148	open	—	08-31 17:46
nfl atl gb 2026 09 25 spread home 5pt5	1	$300	600	+600	Falcons	-$300	09-23 18:03
Spread: Giants (-2.5)	1	$300	612	+612	Giants	-$300	09-23 18:04
Spread: Bills (-7.5)	1	$200	377	+377	Bills	-$200	09-23 18:05
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	1	$200	370	+370	Commanders	+$170	09-23 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:49:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	1,381	36¢	$500	0x276abc…
10-26 19:48:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	14,286	14¢	$2,000	0xf5f420…
10-26 19:43:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	3,458	58¢	$2,000	0x57e9e2…
10-26 19:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	4,177	48¢	$2,000	0x25844f…
10-26 19:41:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4,388	34¢	$1,500	0x4c32a1…
10-26 19:41:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	11,299	13¢	$1,500	0xade3e8…
10-26 19:41:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	17,569	6¢	$1,000	0xaf4bc8…
09-23 18:05:37	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x4252c8…
09-23 18:05:13	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Commanders	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xd6fb92…
09-23 18:04:20	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Titans	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x8c1a0e…
09-23 18:03:20	nfl atl gb 2026 09 25 spread home 5pt5	Packers	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x8516b4…
09-03 16:37:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0xf2c9c8…
09-03 16:27:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	857	58¢	$500	0xf40a53…
09-03 16:27:04	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026	No	BUY	1,242	40¢	$500	0x9e393f…
09-03 16:26:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	2,407	21¢	$500	0xd9559d…
08-31 17:46:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0xfa9331…
08-31 17:45:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,762	42¢	$2,000	0x62600b…
08-26 17:00:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xe64846…
08-26 17:00:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,077	65¢	$2,000	0x848fc8…
08-24 18:07:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0x2fdff8…
08-24 18:03:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,985	67¢	$2,000	0xf0f5ac…
03-26 20:16:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xa346d4…
03-25 17:17:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,169	59¢	$6,000	0xf024f3…
03-25 17:07:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,843	58¢	$4,000	0x8976e3…
03-20 19:39:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x02445c…
03-20 19:35:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	23,750	80¢	$19,000	0x4b7ad6…
03-20 19:34:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x3f3717…