Jagged-Test — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

166

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$917

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 52% -$26

Politics

5% 29% -$12

Other

2% 0% -$15

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-36	-$3	4¢	$-1	+$2	05-17 03:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:30 UTC	2	$50	96	0	+96	Down	+$46	03-14 00:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:30 UTC	1	$40	91	0	+91	Up	-$40	03-16 04:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:00 UTC	1	$35	66	0	+66	Up	-$35	03-16 05:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:00 UTC	2	$23	16	15	+0	Down	+$8	03-13 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:00 UTC	1	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	03-16 04:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:15 UTC	1	$20	35	0	+35	Up	-$20	03-16 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC	1	$20	47	0	+47	Up	-$20	03-14 01:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC	1	$20	41	0	+41	Up	-$20	03-14 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:15 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	03-16 04:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 03:45 UTC	1	$20	24	0	+24	Down	+$4	03-16 03:47
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 05:00 UTC	2	$19	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	03-11 05:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 05:30 UTC	2	$18	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	03-11 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	03-13 22:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 04:35 UTC	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	02-15 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 05:45 UTC	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	03-11 06:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:15 UTC	1	$12	19	0	+19	Up	+$7	03-13 23:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 01:15 UTC	1	$12	43	0	+43	Down	+$31	03-12 01:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 00:45 UTC	1	$12	21	0	+21	Down	+$9	03-12 00:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:30 UTC	1	$12	20	0	+20	Down	+$8	03-14 00:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	03-02 20:52
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	03-05 19:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:15 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	03-14 00:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:45 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	03-13 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:15 UTC	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	03-14 00:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:00 UTC	1	$9	19	0	+19	Up	+$10	03-13 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:15 UTC	1	$9	13	0	+13	Down	+$4	03-13 04:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:45 UTC	1	$8	13	0	+13	Down	-$8	03-13 23:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	1	$8	28	0	+28	Down	-$8	03-11 20:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC	1	$8	16	0	+16	Up	+$8	03-13 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 19:30 UTC	1	$8	16	0	+16	Up	+$8	03-11 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 00:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3d649b…
06-06 05:31:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xbdd527…
06-06 05:16:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa3f626…
06-06 05:06:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x769b97…
06-06 04:47:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8e63a5…
06-06 04:32:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8af1c5…
06-06 04:17:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0ccfb3…
06-06 04:04:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa59d18…
05-17 06:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8aeb69…
05-17 06:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdd69fa…
05-17 06:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x41971f…
05-17 06:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x89b299…
05-17 06:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x49e613…
05-17 06:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaabbf6…
05-17 06:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe45dd3…
05-17 05:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x02034e…
05-17 05:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x967c12…
05-17 05:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe79e66…
05-17 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x21ad9a…
05-17 05:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x46eed4…
05-17 05:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa1de9c…
05-17 05:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x234e7b…
05-17 05:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdfb14b…
05-17 05:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbf6107…
05-17 05:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf94214…
05-17 05:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe05a35…
05-17 05:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbb1549…
05-17 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x67d5e4…
05-17 04:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b4a9c…
05-17 04:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb491d5…
05-17 04:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65a5fa…
05-17 04:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8fb4fb…
05-17 04:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2bea1a…
05-17 04:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x046df9…
05-17 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe08e37…
05-17 04:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2f67b9…
05-17 04:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6b57c1…
05-17 04:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb91586…
05-17 03:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1cea61…
05-17 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x217f8d…
05-17 03:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x028463…
05-17 03:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x767237…
05-17 03:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98fd23…
05-17 03:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x30830c…
05-17 03:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d745f…
05-17 03:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x07eb0c…
05-17 03:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb05c8…
05-17 03:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x868b99…
05-17 03:31:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x53b7c1…
05-17 03:31:23	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xb0fe58…
05-17 03:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc3432e…
05-17 03:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2cbeab…
05-17 03:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3f5eae…
05-17 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x46da0f…
05-17 03:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x50e6c4…
05-17 03:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x59446f…
05-17 03:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5ff388…
05-17 03:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdbfc2c…
05-17 03:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcae60c…
05-17 03:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3b3b7a…
05-17 02:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x475a19…
05-17 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x727de9…
05-17 02:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x710b55…
05-17 02:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7ad3d7…
05-17 02:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0b480c…
05-17 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdc6162…
05-17 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe325e8…
04-28 21:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3c4a26…
04-28 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7b4031…
04-03 04:19:27	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35a5b0…
03-17 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x5259ed…
03-17 21:01:21	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x6920cb…
03-16 05:52:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb0eca1…
03-16 05:14:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x0baa50…
03-16 05:01:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x725962…
03-16 04:30:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xd872c8…
03-16 04:15:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x46066c…
03-16 04:07:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xaf2087…
03-16 03:47:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x6404d2…
03-14 18:32:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x439cb3…
03-14 01:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x285c91…
03-14 00:59:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x93e36f…
03-14 00:34:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe8ea44…
03-14 00:32:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8b9422…
03-14 00:29:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x6cbb43…
03-14 00:05:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c5e70…
03-14 00:05:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6312e2…
03-13 23:59:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x106fb0…
03-13 23:48:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x0f2d83…
03-13 23:45:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xc40c78…
03-13 23:17:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x696e77…
03-13 23:14:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6cfcdf…
03-13 23:03:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2ea789…
03-13 22:59:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x5f9deb…
03-13 22:46:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf0ed26…
03-13 22:46:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xd93235…
03-13 22:44:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd80a8d…
03-13 22:36:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x042254…
03-13 22:33:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5a603d…
03-13 04:39:51	will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt0 on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x558f84…