Immaterial-Display — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

826

Trades

2,335

lifetime

Volume

$37.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-16 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 62% -$1,445

Politics

3% 44% -$89

Other

2% 31% -$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	6	$653	421	421	+0	Up	+$53	08-10 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	6	$612	384	384	+0	Up	+$12	08-10 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC	4	$604	328	328	+0	Down	+$5	08-10 09:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	5	$534	464	352	+113	Up	-$66	08-10 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	6	$515	298	298	+0	Up	+$15	08-13 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:50 UTC	3	$502	257	257	+0	Up	+$2	08-10 08:54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$479	55,059	38,379	+16,680	Yes	+$4	03-13 08:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:55 UTC	4	$422	239	239	+0	Down	+$22	08-10 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	4	$420	266	266	+0	Down	+$20	08-10 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:00 UTC	4	$418	341	341	+0	Down	+$18	08-13 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:50 UTC	4	$417	240	240	+0	Down	+$17	08-10 07:53
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	3	$416	360	158	+202	Up	+$18	08-10 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	4	$411	220	220	+0	Down	+$11	08-10 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:25 UTC	4	$409	240	240	+0	Down	+$9	08-10 09:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:05 UTC	4	$406	236	236	+0	Down	+$6	08-10 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:45 UTC	2	$404	206	206	+0	Down	+$4	08-10 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:40 UTC	2	$404	208	208	+0	Down	+$4	08-10 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	4	$344	266	266	+0	Down	-$56	08-10 09:54
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 10	3	$312	637	630	+6	No	-$48	03-10 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:25 UTC	6	$310	215	215	+0	Down	+$10	08-10 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:25 UTC	3	$307	256	138	+118	Up	-$93	08-10 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC	4	$306	181	181	+0	Up	+$11	08-10 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:50 UTC	4	$285	148	148	+0	Down	+$5	08-15 23:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$255	330	330	+0	open	—	08-15 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:15 UTC	2	$243	151	151	+0	Down	+$43	08-13 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:10 UTC	2	$227	222	222	+0	Down	+$27	08-13 07:11
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 05:00 UTC	3	$225	116	116	+0	Down	+$5	08-11 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:40 UTC	4	$225	130	130	+0	Down	+$5	03-20 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	5	$221	236	136	+100	Down	+$13	08-13 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:15 UTC	2	$212	130	130	+0	Down	+$12	08-10 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 00:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbef573…
08-16 00:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x0e376f…
08-16 00:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x379e9e…
08-16 00:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf38b9b…
08-16 00:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	209	3¢	$7	0x122d87…
08-16 00:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	209	47¢	$98	0x35bd60…
08-15 23:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xb48c2d…
08-15 23:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x87979a…
08-15 23:52:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	44	96¢	$43	0x29f8ad…
08-15 23:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x759dae…
08-15 23:49:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	182	54¢	$98	0xf16484…
08-15 09:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc861cc…
08-13 08:55:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x60a40a…
08-13 08:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x396dda…
08-13 08:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	63	76¢	$48	0xd1b436…
08-13 08:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x42b9eb…
08-13 08:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xd57dc1…
08-13 08:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x53e515…
08-13 08:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0x367400…
08-13 08:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x0901bb…
08-13 08:35:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	79	72¢	$57	0xe4fe5c…
08-13 08:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x291c6e…
08-13 08:23:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x201a8c…
08-13 08:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xed1d0d…
08-13 08:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0xccf098…
08-13 08:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xc0f146…
08-13 08:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	14	81¢	$12	0x7c3933…
08-13 08:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1138c0…
08-13 08:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0xed1838…
08-13 08:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xf1e410…
08-13 08:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	85	71¢	$60	0x7ff7d7…
08-13 08:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x6e426e…
08-13 08:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xd3c80f…
08-13 07:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x165646…
08-13 07:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7832e5…
08-13 07:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd42d79…
08-13 07:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x060bca…
08-13 07:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcfc99c…
08-13 07:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8729bf…
08-13 07:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	129	89¢	$115	0xc9c6f1…
08-13 07:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x5cc850…
08-13 07:17:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xe61842…
08-13 07:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x81ba4e…
08-13 07:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	222	57¢	$127	0x2aac7f…
08-13 07:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x9b0db6…
08-13 07:06:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	143	76¢	$109	0x7c4279…
08-13 07:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa0ab60…
08-13 07:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	109	95¢	$104	0x528bb5…
08-13 07:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x315f24…
08-13 07:01:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	233	49¢	$114	0x34ffe4…
08-13 07:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x55dfb2…
08-13 06:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	268	36¢	$96	0xa12b8a…
08-13 06:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0xa8ac80…
08-13 06:48:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x5c1358…
08-13 06:47:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x768c0c…
08-13 06:44:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5b4edf…
08-13 06:43:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdbe206…
08-13 06:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5f22f1…
08-13 06:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x516717…
08-13 05:23:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	146	73¢	$106	0xb69567…
08-13 05:21:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xbd2f88…
08-13 05:18:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x190a77…
08-13 05:17:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x7ba6b6…
08-12 20:08:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0xfdc903…
08-12 20:07:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x03c8b6…
08-12 07:14:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x1cac5b…
08-12 07:14:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa985ea…
08-12 07:13:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x896a72…
08-12 07:12:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x385344…
08-12 07:11:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xf6ff9a…
08-12 07:10:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7d8f31…
08-12 07:09:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x64a0c5…
08-12 07:08:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x80ce9e…
08-12 07:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x8f0b73…
08-12 07:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3b4a45…
08-11 08:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xfccb65…
08-11 08:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf37591…
08-11 08:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x469f1e…
08-11 08:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x132458…
08-11 08:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x56ef41…
08-11 08:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe3500e…
08-11 08:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfad3c3…
08-11 08:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc2774a…
08-11 08:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xf0a959…
08-11 08:33:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc63658…
08-11 08:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x429f46…
08-11 08:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x488bc0…
08-11 08:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x02bbe4…
08-11 08:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2624b5…
08-11 08:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x645de1…
08-11 08:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd4ae1a…
08-11 08:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6a19d6…
08-11 08:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb87214…
08-11 08:26:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x5012a6…
08-11 08:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x67e927…
08-11 07:59:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xbe3c83…
08-11 07:57:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb2920e…
08-11 07:56:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x48a34d…
08-11 07:52:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	39	27¢	$10	0x578d28…
08-11 07:52:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x76083b…