Immaterial-Display — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,017

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$67

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-03 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 46% $-16

Politics

7% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-38	$-30	90¢	$-34	$-4	06-03 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+140	$35	24¢	$33	$-2	06-03 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$479	55,059	38,379	+16,680	open	—	03-13 08:35
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 10	3	$312	637	630	+6	open	—	03-10 23:01
btc updown 5m 1774046400	4	$225	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 22:45
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	4	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	03-20 16:00
btc updown 5m 1774028400	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	03-20 17:44
btc updown 5m 1774050000	5	$204	107	105	+3	open	—	03-20 23:45
btc updown 5m 1774029900	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	03-20 18:09
btc updown 5m 1774086000	4	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	03-21 09:45
btc updown 5m 1774028700	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	03-20 17:49
btc updown 5m 1774051800	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	03-21 00:15
btc updown 5m 1774031100	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-20 18:30
btc updown 5m 1774026600	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-20 17:15
btc updown 5m 1774029000	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-20 17:54
btc updown 15m 1773407700	13	$168	425	114	+310	open	—	03-13 13:23
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$166	91	91	+0	open	—	05-03 18:55
btc updown 5m 1774101300	4	$161	130	129	+1	open	—	03-21 14:00
btc updown 5m 1774093500	4	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 11:50
btc updown 5m 1774100100	4	$150	85	85	+0	open	—	03-21 13:40
will iran strike israel on march 10	7	$145	161	161	+0	open	—	03-12 17:20
btc updown 5m 1774100700	6	$139	114	113	+1	open	—	03-21 13:50
btc updown 5m 1774097100	4	$135	77	77	+0	open	—	03-21 12:49
btc updown 5m 1774096200	4	$132	78	78	+0	open	—	03-21 12:34
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$118	62	62	+0	open	—	05-03 18:49
btc updown 5m 1774089600	4	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	03-21 10:45
btc updown 5m 1774096500	4	$107	58	58	+0	open	—	03-21 12:39
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	05-03 19:15
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$104	59	59	+0	open	—	05-03 19:00
btc updown 15m 1773742500	4	$101	63	63	+1	open	—	03-17 10:30
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-03 17:55
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-03 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 07:05:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0xd89c04…
06-03 07:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0x38cce9…
05-24 09:02:31	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xf62fab…
05-24 09:01:12	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdbbfd2…
05-24 09:00:39	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8eace7…
05-24 08:59:44	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x91b497…
05-24 08:47:31	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcc1eee…
05-24 08:41:08	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x81a024…
05-24 08:32:25	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf30264…
05-22 18:52:21	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0450ef…
05-22 18:36:51	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x867aae…
05-22 18:35:38	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x7c7a7f…
05-22 18:32:13	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xec9ad5…
05-22 18:21:38	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd80ab0…
05-22 18:19:41	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x19a4a2…
05-22 18:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4dc78b…
05-22 18:16:49	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x2746d2…
05-22 18:15:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb95989…
05-20 09:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x6303e1…
05-20 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8a51ce…
05-20 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe7b223…
05-20 08:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x16c69f…
05-20 08:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0x488ab9…
05-20 08:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x685235…
05-20 08:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xdfd761…
05-20 08:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdbddc6…
05-20 08:48:34	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x72b9a5…
05-20 08:48:16	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb312e6…
05-20 08:45:33	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x649852…
05-20 08:41:49	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbda9ec…
05-20 08:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6cadf1…
05-06 12:24:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x33cdcd…
05-06 12:21:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90b496…
05-06 12:21:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x360968…
05-06 12:21:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x69cdb6…
05-06 12:17:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa516b8…
05-06 07:58:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcd5db7…
05-06 07:58:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x513db5…
05-06 07:54:58	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb596a7…
05-06 07:52:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x44abf6…
05-06 07:49:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x376c94…
05-06 07:42:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0xee2627…
05-06 07:38:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6719bc…
05-06 07:35:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xbc1e3f…
05-06 07:34:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x683c13…
05-06 07:30:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x936e65…
05-06 07:29:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf8c6a5…
05-06 07:23:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x4c6840…
05-06 07:22:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8217c2…
05-06 07:22:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd971c4…
05-06 07:21:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x723c9b…
05-06 07:19:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2e98e7…
05-06 07:19:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd9f505…
05-05 16:40:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xefca62…
05-05 16:39:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x502b7a…
05-05 16:38:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x586dfc…
05-05 16:26:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x764278…
05-05 16:24:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x1807e6…
05-05 16:23:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9bfb46…
05-05 16:20:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x93489b…
05-05 16:18:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf09d5c…
05-05 16:17:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x601f19…
05-05 16:15:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8620f9…
05-05 16:14:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x632bb8…
05-05 16:14:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa38f0f…
05-05 16:12:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x3bfabf…
05-05 16:12:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e3cb1…
05-05 16:12:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x123559…
05-05 16:11:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x917e19…
05-05 16:05:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x02ecdf…
05-05 16:04:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x509011…
05-05 16:01:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x676547…
05-05 12:43:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7dd5ce…
05-05 12:35:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f6099…
05-05 12:34:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcf0617…
05-05 12:27:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x782dc2…
05-05 12:25:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa1dc1f…
05-05 12:24:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x77a207…
05-05 12:21:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x68e834…
05-05 12:20:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d5931…
05-05 12:18:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf7b380…
05-05 12:17:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x9f7011…
05-05 12:17:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa071a2…
05-05 12:16:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x4db2e8…
05-05 12:15:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xafd5d7…
05-05 11:23:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc1ad30…
05-05 11:20:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x36eecc…
05-05 11:15:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x485dc8…
05-05 10:47:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb7ff90…
05-05 10:46:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x323e86…
05-05 10:43:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcbf46c…
05-05 10:42:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xbe259d…
05-05 10:41:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xad7c94…
05-04 13:57:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x138540…
05-04 13:54:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x4cf395…
05-04 13:53:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x8b06cc…
05-04 13:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x16d652…
05-04 13:48:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xaaf38a…
05-04 13:48:24	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5ea80f…
05-04 13:46:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x1eeb37…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	240	$153.2K	38,956	05-20 08:48
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	234	$17.3K	3,441	05-03 10:14
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	230	$70.1K	8,042	05-24 09:05
(anonymous) 0xe5ba…add1	226	$8.05K	2,342	05-06 12:30
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	225	$24.5K	1,763	05-20 09:14
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	221	$39.8K	4,803	05-20 09:13
Husky-Schooner 0xc693…8b5c	213	$702	335	05-03 10:23
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	207	$92.2K	31,712	03-21 14:12