Normal-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.73K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

770

Trades

2,314

lifetime

Volume

$70.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 08-09 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% -$3,729

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 16:00 UTC	2	$4.7K	2,376	2,376	+0	Down	+$10	07-15 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	5	$4.5K	4,545	0	+4,545	Up	+$45	08-09 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	25	$4.3K	4,020	435	+3,585	Down	-$3,703	07-16 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4.0K	4,131	0	+4,131	Down	+$131	07-15 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 16:15 UTC	1	$4.0K	4,040	0	+4,040	Up	+$40	07-15 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 14:30 UTC	1	$4.0K	4,040	0	+4,040	Up	+$40	07-15 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 18:00 UTC	1	$2.8K	2,847	0	+2,847	Up	+$39	07-15 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	12	$2.7K	3,786	3,786	+0	Down	+$334	07-16 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 21:30 UTC	11	$2.4K	1,204	1,204	+0	Down	+$0	07-15 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	24	$2.0K	6,224	3,012	+3,212	Up	-$1,857	07-16 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 15:30 UTC	1	$1.9K	1,945	0	+1,945	Up	+$19	07-15 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 21:15 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	Down	+$25	07-15 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,708	0	+1,708	Up	+$17	07-15 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:50 UTC	2	$1.3K	725	725	+0	Down	+$39	07-16 08:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,446	681	+765	Down	+$157	07-16 08:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC	4	$735	1,740	0	+1,740	Down	+$1,005	07-16 09:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 08:00 UTC	2	$378	202	200	+2	Down	+$16	06-05 08:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 09:00 UTC	2	$366	202	200	+2	Up	+$24	06-05 09:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 10:30 UTC	2	$293	151	151	+0	Up	+$3	06-12 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:15 UTC	12	$289	202	202	-0	Down	-$30	06-06 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 11:00 UTC	12	$283	202	202	-0	Up	-$83	06-06 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 12:45 UTC	2	$282	151	151	+0	Up	+$10	06-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 07:30 UTC	2	$279	151	151	+0	Up	+$14	06-13 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 03:00 UTC	2	$269	141	141	+0	Up	+$2	06-13 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	12	$264	141	141	+0	Down	+$15	06-13 01:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC	2	$262	141	141	+0	Up	+$12	06-13 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 08:15 UTC	12	$260	202	202	-0	Up	-$57	06-05 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 02:00 UTC	2	$255	141	141	+0	Down	+$7	06-13 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 03:30 UTC	2	$217	181	181	+0	Down	-$14	06-13 03:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 12:00 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	06-05 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 03:27:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3,403	99¢	$3,369	0xc92ad8…
08-09 03:27:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0x30e95e…
08-09 03:27:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	952	99¢	$943	0x491dc3…
08-09 03:27:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x421624…
08-09 03:27:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x28483a…
07-16 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb3d9f…
07-16 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c4861…
07-16 09:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	405	1¢	$4	0x4cc234…
07-16 09:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2,606	3¢	$66	0x28dfed…
07-16 09:41:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x50fbb2…
07-16 09:41:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc79c72…
07-16 09:41:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8f5e2f…
07-16 09:41:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9f69df…
07-16 09:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xdbf420…
07-16 09:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcc6433…
07-16 09:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x9fd710…
07-16 09:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7292fb…
07-16 09:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0edc03…
07-16 09:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0ebff0…
07-16 09:40:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xffd1f1…
07-16 09:38:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	527	17¢	$87	0x60b5af…
07-16 09:38:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	469	19¢	$87	0xb31b83…
07-16 09:35:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	379	23¢	$87	0x1cbd23…
07-16 09:33:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	382	23¢	$87	0x770bad…
07-16 09:33:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	421	21¢	$87	0xb11a85…
07-16 09:32:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	358	24¢	$87	0xe222a9…
07-16 09:31:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	905	31¢	$285	0x81c663…
07-16 09:31:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,109	36¢	$395	0x2a9bd5…
07-16 09:30:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,077	63¢	$680	0x0b0d5c…
07-16 09:28:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2,022	3¢	$54	0x8c680b…
07-16 09:27:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	693	13¢	$87	0x2b301b…
07-16 09:26:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	429	20¢	$87	0x2cb537…
07-16 09:26:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	423	21¢	$87	0x2a76c0…
07-16 09:26:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	476	18¢	$87	0x931822…
07-16 09:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	383	79¢	$303	0xf722ba…
07-16 09:26:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,382	83¢	$1,142	0x937d0e…
07-16 09:21:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	234	37¢	$87	0x93eba5…
07-16 09:19:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x0217be…
07-16 09:19:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x979337…
07-16 09:18:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,317	47¢	$625	0xc428b0…
07-16 09:18:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	109	51¢	$55	0x3ae6a4…
07-16 09:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1cff5e…
07-16 09:06:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,583	43¢	$680	0x4645dc…
07-16 09:05:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x11f471…
07-16 09:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x74d51c…
07-16 08:56:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	765	89¢	$680	0x8a31ac…
07-16 08:53:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	725	95¢	$689	0x98ab1f…
07-16 08:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	725	90¢	$650	0x2bf601…
07-16 08:50:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	681	52¢	$355	0x754e2a…
07-16 08:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	681	42¢	$284	0x93499c…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xde9eb1…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xa0ca64…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x9a3d60…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x8ce0cc…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x88863e…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x709429…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x406aef…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x3367a3…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	392	68¢	$266	0x27eba4…
07-16 08:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x004444…
07-16 08:44:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xdfff3d…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe863e…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xbb987a…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e6a77…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x79e1f6…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	384	100¢	$382	0x6d0e4c…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x49b53d…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,442	100¢	$2,430	0x35a598…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25a64b…
07-16 08:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0x10cb73…
07-16 08:44:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1660b…
07-16 08:44:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x668745…
07-16 08:44:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3b458b…
07-16 08:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x93a800…
07-16 08:43:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	305	100¢	$303	0xaca1b1…
07-16 08:26:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x790865…
07-16 05:13:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6cf8a1…
07-16 01:43:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67538f…
07-15 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1,069	99¢	$1,059	0xee3623…
07-15 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xab92a2…
07-15 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x964ab7…
07-15 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7a319e…
07-15 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5e3de2…
07-15 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x128a85…
07-15 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb33660…
07-15 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb02169…
07-15 21:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0904c6…
07-15 21:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x586581…
07-15 21:43:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,204	99¢	$1,192	0x51b5aa…
07-15 21:29:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,757	99¢	$1,732	0x808ec5…
07-15 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfe9228…
07-15 21:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb3f98e…
07-15 18:13:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,847	99¢	$2,808	0x05c5c1…
07-15 16:28:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4,040	99¢	$4,000	0x05ca06…
07-15 16:13:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2,376	100¢	$2,374	0x878a3f…
07-15 16:10:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2,376	100¢	$2,364	0xae5ef0…
07-15 15:42:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,945	99¢	$1,926	0x37d1c1…
07-15 14:44:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4,040	99¢	$4,000	0x596aa3…
07-15 14:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,708	99¢	$1,691	0x79d662…
07-15 13:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xcccc53…