Uncomfortable-Impulse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

342

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-12 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 50% -$135

Other

9% 43% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on february 15	2	$63	55	55	+0	No	+$21	02-15 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:30 UTC	5	$49	63	63	+0	Up	-$20	03-02 19:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 19:00 UTC	3	$47	52	2	+50	Down	-$46	02-24 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:15 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$2	02-24 01:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:55 UTC	2	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:35 UTC	1	$31	42	0	+42	Up	+$11	02-24 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:25 UTC	2	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:10 UTC	2	$29	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	03-04 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:45 UTC	2	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 00:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 20:25 UTC	1	$23	38	0	+38	Down	-$23	02-24 20:29
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	3	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	+$9	03-03 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:05 UTC	2	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	03-04 23:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 02:00 UTC	13	$19	19	14	+5	Up	+$1	02-24 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 19:15 UTC	5	$19	26	7	+18	Down	-$13	02-24 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 22:55 UTC	2	$18	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:20 UTC	3	$17	54	0	+54	Up	-$17	03-07 04:24
highest temperature in paris on march 5 2026 18c	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	03-05 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$13	26	12	+15	Down	-$5	05-03 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 10:45 UTC	2	$12	21	21	+0	Up	-$6	03-02 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-03 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 01:15 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 10:55 UTC	2	$11	14	14	+0	Up	-$4	03-02 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	3	$11	9	4	+4	No	-$5	05-09 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:45 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 04:55 UTC	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	03-02 04:56
highest temperature in paris on march 4 2026 19c	2	$11	16	16	+0	No	-$7	03-04 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 12:30 UTC	1	$11	19	0	+19	Down	+$9	03-02 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	3	$10	6	4	+2	Yes	-$2	06-02 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:15 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-05 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 12:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x99107a…
06-26 19:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3eeeff…
06-02 23:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7bd515…
06-02 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xac0b75…
06-02 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaaaab9…
06-02 18:14:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd6da5d…
06-02 01:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x17520b…
06-02 00:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x64644e…
06-01 21:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf21be1…
06-01 21:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbf32f1…
06-01 20:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x261cce…
06-01 20:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x6c72be…
06-01 18:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x37c8d7…
06-01 18:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xab49e6…
06-01 16:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x55bda2…
06-01 15:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xb5c01e…
06-01 15:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x32dedb…
06-01 15:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe971f6…
06-01 14:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3ae492…
06-01 09:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x595d98…
06-01 09:24:35	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb7a8cd…
05-31 09:21:10	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x622c0e…
05-09 17:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x818ccd…
05-09 17:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xc1df38…
05-09 16:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe2a132…
05-09 16:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x3cf71d…
05-09 15:53:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4fc668…
05-09 12:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd815b2…
05-09 12:29:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9a231c…
05-08 20:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7b651f…
05-06 13:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8e88ab…
05-06 13:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x9f3e29…
05-06 11:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3e717e…
05-06 11:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9fde18…
05-04 13:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x49836e…
05-04 13:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd6c307…
05-04 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x226f3f…
05-04 13:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc634d0…
05-04 13:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x6aff4f…
05-04 13:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x988574…
05-04 12:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x1eb31c…
05-04 12:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xfde082…
05-04 12:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x4606b4…
05-04 12:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x245be3…
05-03 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x669134…
05-03 23:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd5354c…
05-03 23:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xb27360…
05-03 23:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xf9338a…
05-03 23:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xe1faf3…
05-03 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xfcaab5…
05-03 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc7dc65…
05-03 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe3d316…
05-03 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x51af8f…
05-03 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x44880c…
05-03 23:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x513ec0…
05-03 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x86a765…
05-03 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0ca8a9…
05-03 23:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xf1580c…
05-03 23:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x43a832…
05-03 20:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xd5000f…
05-03 20:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x356a94…
05-03 20:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x1b4829…
05-03 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1502c8…
05-03 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xeaf466…
05-03 20:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xece56a…
05-03 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe28252…
05-03 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xe0e73a…
05-03 19:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb427a6…
05-03 19:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xf7ae92…
05-03 19:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x77be8c…
05-03 19:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xe99001…
05-03 18:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x46a693…
05-03 18:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xdb5781…
05-03 18:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xc6a174…
05-03 18:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xb76f4a…
05-03 18:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xfe9ba6…
05-03 18:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x089822…
05-03 18:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$3	0x813f45…
05-03 18:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc8872e…
05-03 17:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x79f313…
05-03 17:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc0b6e5…
05-03 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x79f2c9…
05-03 17:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6a446f…
05-02 23:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x97c304…
05-02 23:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x6d0e04…
05-02 23:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x33ea85…
05-02 23:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe40218…
05-02 23:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x8962d5…
05-02 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcc54c5…
05-02 22:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xe46275…
05-02 22:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x46f446…
05-02 22:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xbd2e09…
05-02 22:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4d2ec4…
05-02 22:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa7d814…
05-02 22:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$2	0xf5f8b8…
05-02 22:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc1e049…
05-02 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb607ea…
05-02 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x9c1730…
05-02 16:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x194ee9…
05-02 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe73759…