Sticky-Moat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

257

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-06 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Other

100% 95% +$19

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 12?	2	$120	61	61	+0	No	+$1	10-12 12:36
highest temperature in hong kong on march 27 2026 29corhigher	2	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	03-28 07:45
highest temperature in hong kong on april 4 2026 29corhigher	2	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-05 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on June 23?	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	06-22 10:06
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	2	$74	38	38	+0	No	+$2	03-12 07:49
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	5	$66	65	22	+42	Yes	-$6	03-08 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on November 5?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	11-05 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 3?	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	11-03 06:37
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 4?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	11-04 06:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on October 29?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	10-29 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 19?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	10-19 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	10-13 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	11-01 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	10-18 06:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	1	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	10-25 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	09-30 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-02 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 5?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-05 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on October 3?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-03 05:12
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-06 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 1?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-01 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-08 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-04 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on October 7?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	10-07 05:28
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 24?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-24 04:47
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-28 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	09-26 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 29?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-29 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-27 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 14?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-14 06:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:00:25	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 2°C on November 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x35afc6…
11-06 06:00:10	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 1°C on November 6?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x49d155…
11-05 05:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on November 5?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x346a19…
11-04 06:55:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x277aa0…
11-03 06:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x085cc8…
11-02 05:48:09	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4d15e5…
11-02 05:47:55	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 10°C on November 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0d3ecc…
11-01 05:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xadbf96…
10-31 06:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf38186…
10-31 06:56:57	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xdfb53c…
10-31 06:56:46	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4a712a…
10-29 07:16:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x875865…
10-28 05:59:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xee4f3c…
10-28 05:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x638796…
10-27 07:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x26394a…
10-27 06:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x0dfaa4…
10-25 07:45:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xade7cf…
10-24 04:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 24?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xb4c818…
10-19 05:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 19?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8f4282…
10-18 06:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x788ad8…
10-16 06:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x5e7f72…
10-16 06:41:54	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 17°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd8f47…
10-13 07:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x36490c…
10-12 12:36:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 12?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xf40765…
10-12 06:44:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 12?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x9307d2…
10-11 05:32:50	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb005db…
10-11 05:32:23	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb31ec…
10-11 05:32:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x62b41f…
10-11 05:31:30	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x303034…
10-10 05:32:39	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1431be…
10-10 05:32:15	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d4896…
10-10 05:31:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x60026a…
10-08 04:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x24bbe3…
10-07 05:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on October 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x581dca…
10-06 05:27:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xba2d51…
10-05 05:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 5?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf83b0c…
10-04 07:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x974fcd…
10-03 05:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on October 3?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa1eb45…
10-02 05:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 2?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc629c3…
10-01 05:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 1?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7adb94…
09-30 06:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x0b68d8…
09-29 06:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 29?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x5c2e42…
09-28 05:19:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xdedc9d…
09-27 05:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x3bbbbd…
09-26 07:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x2f054e…
09-25 04:25:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1880a4…
09-25 04:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 25?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xc8765a…
09-24 04:47:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 24?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe8d4d5…
09-23 04:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x2d813c…
09-22 06:39:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 22?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf81e85…
09-22 06:39:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on September 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa6c8b3…
09-21 04:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x812208…
09-21 04:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1f0890…
09-20 05:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2e1a6a…
09-20 05:13:07	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xca66fa…
09-20 05:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb93551…
09-19 05:00:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3c3e08…
09-19 05:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe39f22…
09-18 06:48:06	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C on September 18?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbeb407…
09-18 06:47:39	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on September 18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x03b573…
09-17 06:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x475d8f…
09-16 06:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x52b9a8…
09-16 06:17:43	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 22°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9da234…
09-15 06:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0a7a06…
09-14 06:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 14?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x78ca95…
09-13 06:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 13?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xbd461a…
09-12 06:38:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 12?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x2b4673…
09-11 06:42:09	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee5398…
09-11 06:41:55	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on September 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x27875f…
09-11 06:41:46	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb730b8…
09-10 06:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6770d0…
09-09 07:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xdba50c…
09-08 05:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x6e4e4b…
09-07 07:13:37	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 16°C on September 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x44e0c4…
09-07 07:13:16	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 15°C on September 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5426a5…
09-05 05:42:00	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x83fd6d…
09-05 05:41:42	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 19°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x60b493…
09-04 05:57:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdf4b7…
09-04 05:56:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc944ea…
09-04 05:56:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9319b3…
09-04 05:56:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x860b40…
09-03 06:30:48	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6632f7…
09-02 06:09:33	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 22°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5ee0e4…
08-30 05:57:19	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 15°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x2addea…
08-28 06:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xd26e2a…
08-27 05:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x902e5a…
08-25 06:24:36	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa150ea…
08-23 05:24:52	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 20°C or below on August 23?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xb350ef…
08-22 06:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 15°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x11e0cd…
08-21 06:29:01	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 20°C or below on August 21?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x36edd4…
08-14 05:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x2d918b…
08-13 06:52:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x436480…
08-09 06:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xcee1c3…
08-08 05:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeeedd8…
08-08 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfc19e1…
08-06 07:15:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 6?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6dd4ba…
08-04 06:33:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 4?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x047fe7…
08-02 07:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x81baf3…
08-01 08:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd88cef…
08-01 08:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0eea5e…