Realized P&L (90d)
+$36
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
21
26 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$120
$169 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$108
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-26 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Sports
42% 75% +$32
Politics
36% 0% -$10
Other
18% 50% -$5
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,315 -$29 5¢ $-64 -$35 06-30 14:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +57 $16 54¢ $31 +$14 10-26 21:07
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +10 $6 97¢ $10 +$4 10-24 20:21
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +385 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 09-16 22:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +21 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 10-24 20:17