Affectionate-Membrane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-13 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

88% 99% +$18

Politics

8% 100% +$2

Tech

2% 50% -$22

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-25 08:39
will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	03-31 16:16
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 33c	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 11:21
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-12 13:08
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-01 17:47
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-31 15:02
will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-26 05:51
highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 22c	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-17 03:00
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 08:35
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 12:55
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 20:07
ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 15:46
will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	04-23 08:09
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:54
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top global netflix movie this week 827	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-06 19:48
highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-19 19:14
highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-18 17:04
bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:21
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:31
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	07-13 23:00
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 15:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 10:40
will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-29 23:33
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 06:15
highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 32 33f	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-16 23:26
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	-$23	04-09 15:45
highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 20corhigher	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-19 12:10
zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-31 15:20
highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 90 91f	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-16 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 23:00:11	Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe6cb07…
07-13 17:54:04	Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x19672c…
07-02 16:21:04	bitcoin above 52k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf9484e…
06-25 13:19:41	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf659a5…
06-25 12:08:25	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb974b9…
06-22 12:55:08	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaa6103…
06-22 08:35:02	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xae0c6b…
06-22 08:25:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x753575…
06-22 01:38:43	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99c5e5…
06-15 10:40:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x26a775…
06-13 16:46:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf2047e…
06-08 21:06:22	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x657e3f…
06-07 18:16:43	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x7a556d…
06-02 20:07:54	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x893ba9…
06-01 21:20:13	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaf7a35…
05-31 06:15:12	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x153866…
05-30 18:11:32	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xce1522…
05-29 17:31:01	Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd1c56c…
05-29 15:06:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xedd7cc…
05-29 07:32:18	Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x374c35…
05-27 01:05:12	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x54b875…
05-25 08:39:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb32e49…
05-24 05:15:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x31c301…
05-18 13:16:06	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2c203f…
05-16 03:13:05	Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x46c97d…
05-12 13:08:02	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x128e92…
05-11 00:22:34	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x6b682b…
05-07 16:02:32	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbebf00…
05-05 18:54:28	Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x622f02…
05-04 19:13:50	Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x5b99b7…
05-01 17:47:34	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xad92c5…
05-01 00:39:14	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x5f4dea…
04-27 16:02:58	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x37aa0f…
04-23 08:09:34	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8c532a…
04-22 23:13:58	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x20d93e…
04-19 22:30:26	will mother mary score at least 75 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc89f18…
04-14 00:00:13	any of the stolen paintings recovered by april 15	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x181df7…
04-09 15:45:25	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xaaee0f…
04-06 19:48:29	will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top global netflix movie this week 827	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xfcb202…
04-06 00:16:49	will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top global netflix movie this week 827	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xc8ab52…
03-31 16:16:35	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x764be9…
03-31 15:20:47	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xeaf0f3…
03-31 15:02:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x244aff…
03-30 07:10:08	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xd2e996…
03-30 00:07:32	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x4a4ea8…
03-29 23:33:30	will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb84ed8…
03-29 20:46:38	will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x901f44…
03-27 15:46:37	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xe37ae8…
03-27 13:46:45	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x188bef…
03-26 05:51:39	will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb04bb7…
03-25 18:00:21	will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xf397be…
03-19 19:14:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd5e8a6…
03-19 12:10:53	highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe519f3…
03-18 17:08:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xd0b01d…
03-18 17:04:05	highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4b5ec3…
03-17 17:02:27	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfc1cd7…
03-17 17:02:27	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 23c	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf6112b…
03-17 12:13:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x65cdc4…
03-17 03:00:55	highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 22c	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x269531…
03-16 23:26:15	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 32 33f	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x792dfb…
03-16 22:32:39	will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x069163…
03-16 18:00:53	highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x373418…
03-16 11:21:49	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 33c	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x111332…
03-16 10:09:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x762cb7…
03-16 06:27:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 32 33f	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbcad97…
03-16 03:40:27	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf91058…
03-16 00:18:33	will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc77df0…
03-15 19:37:33	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be greater than 9m	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0313ae…
03-15 12:26:41	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be greater than 9m	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x934c68…
03-11 12:39:07	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2bfde6…
03-11 12:36:03	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa736af…
03-11 12:31:01	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4da380…
03-11 12:30:17	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd97d58…
03-10 04:59:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x507440…
03-10 00:28:21	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x806072…
03-10 00:00:39	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x07767a…
03-10 00:00:37	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc6f2a1…
03-10 00:00:19	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb92ccb…
03-10 00:00:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa9f976…
03-10 00:00:19	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x932242…
03-09 00:42:19	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x670b86…
03-08 16:53:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9b08e0…
03-08 10:38:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xecbb68…
03-07 19:48:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x52e5ab…
03-06 13:38:21	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3397c7…
03-06 00:13:01	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3d68a7…
03-05 03:05:37	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe8bf23…
03-03 03:09:47	will bill clinton say donor during his epstein testimony	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9a09be…
03-02 23:41:11	highest temperature in dallas on march 3 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9dce99…
03-02 15:10:11	highest temperature in dallas on march 3 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x44229c…
03-02 04:44:55	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x97e9f8…
03-01 21:18:31	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x937324…
03-01 19:04:29	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d8c77…
02-28 21:45:03	highest temperature in toronto on march 1 2026 neg 9c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x320c37…
02-28 16:41:21	highest temperature in toronto on march 1 2026 neg 9c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x80405c…
02-28 15:35:51	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 12c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb6c830…
02-28 04:53:51	highest temperature in toronto on february 28 2026 3c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf32b5d…
02-27 20:31:31	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x939c59…
02-27 12:16:29	highest temperature in toronto on february 28 2026 3c	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x34cc9f…
02-27 01:00:34	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x810833…