(anonymous) 0xc4c46d…9c393d
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$533
Unrealized P&L
-$232
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
20
Trades
1,635
lifetime
Volume
$48.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$6.41K
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-26 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
84% 32% +$534
Tech
13% 0% -$1
Politics
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,133 $1,056 92¢ $1.0K -$8 10-26 16:24
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +1,246 $998 79¢ $984 -$13 10-26 16:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +959 $933 97¢ $933 $0 10-26 16:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,111 $722 66¢ $728 +$6 10-26 17:04
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,365 $430 31¢ $427 -$3 10-26 17:04
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +519 $386 74¢ $381 -$4 10-25 15:34
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +758 $444 44¢ $337 -$107 10-26 14:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +278 $261 93¢ $259 -$3 10-26 02:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +959 $238 26¢ $254 +$16 10-26 16:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +881 $182 22¢ $189 +$7 10-26 12:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +211 $176 84¢ $177 +$1 10-26 18:02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +259 $168 66¢ $170 +$1 10-26 18:02
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +221 $165 56¢ $123 -$42 10-24 10:58
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +145 $124 82¢ $120 -$5 10-26 01:03
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +209 $81 55¢ $115 +$34 10-26 00:20
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +209 $185 45¢ $94 -$91 10-24 08:11
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +1,934 $47 2¢ $35 -$12 10-26 16:24
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,367 $25 1¢ $20 -$5 10-26 17:04
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +9 $10 98¢ $9 -$1 10-26 12:40
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-26 18:02
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +174 $4 2¢ $3 -$2 10-26 14:58
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5 $2 36¢ $2 $0 10-26 18:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +174 $1 1¢ $2 +$0 10-26 14:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +174 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-26 14:58