Watchful-Elf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-25 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Sports

71% 25% -$137

Other

27% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 33% -$16

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$580	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-03 02:18
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$556	1,100	0	+1,100	Spurs	-$6	05-28 02:46
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	27	$132	700	0	+700	Yes	-$132	06-12 17:23
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	75	$95	1,112	1,112	+0	No	+$1	04-22 02:57
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$18	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	03-09 02:05
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or higher on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 10:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 9?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 10:52
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 2?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on July 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-14 07:14
bitcoin up or down march 8 11pm et	1	$9	20	0	+20	Up	-$9	03-09 03:00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 09:58
bitcoin up or down march 4 2am et	2	$9	20	0	+20	Up	-$9	03-04 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 25?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on May 14?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-13 03:42
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on June 9?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-08 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-22 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 10:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76c84d…
08-25 10:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffe638…
08-25 10:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13799f…
07-24 10:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x682fff…
07-24 10:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x915e0c…
07-24 10:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60d627…
07-17 08:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45a144…
07-17 08:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e20fc…
07-17 08:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ecc51…
07-14 07:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ce754…
07-14 07:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f3354…
07-14 07:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xd2358d…
07-02 07:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08fdfa…
07-02 07:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x645a4a…
07-02 07:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8847f6…
06-12 17:23:28	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xf68dfe…
06-12 17:22:48	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xb63331…
06-12 17:21:48	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xe454a0…
06-12 17:20:36	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xd57f09…
06-12 17:18:21	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x41d5f1…
06-12 17:14:39	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xfbc29e…
06-12 17:12:34	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xa30cb7…
06-12 17:12:31	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xa75c5c…
06-12 17:04:43	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xb8482b…
06-12 17:04:43	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x8846e2…
06-12 17:01:22	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xa9d3a8…
06-12 16:59:21	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8a6215…
06-12 16:59:06	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x5b40fc…
06-12 16:57:49	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xbbb0f5…
06-12 16:54:33	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x64cca3…
06-12 16:54:28	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3be62a…
06-12 16:52:54	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x1211dd…
06-12 16:52:19	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3894a4…
06-12 16:49:31	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xf8cd8b…
06-12 16:01:24	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x62c4c7…
06-12 15:56:13	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x453c30…
06-12 15:39:15	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbb80e0…
06-12 15:37:09	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x454be9…
06-12 15:31:49	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xadd368…
06-12 15:31:10	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xfb734f…
06-12 15:28:00	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xeffd26…
06-12 15:23:40	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0x3f06e0…
06-08 09:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x194e11…
06-08 09:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x1d7530…
06-08 09:00:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x583e91…
06-08 08:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa5109…
06-08 08:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41966d…
05-28 02:46:20	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	550	60¢	$330	0x35f50f…
05-28 01:08:19	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	550	41¢	$226	0x3b72da…
05-25 09:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf705af…
05-25 09:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6093d…
05-25 09:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4afcfe…
05-25 09:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x16fca7…
05-25 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xcf6f80…
05-25 09:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0fb11b…
05-22 04:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9063f0…
05-22 04:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x849b90…
05-22 03:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x4a1056…
05-22 03:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed4c78…
05-22 03:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0343dd…
05-22 03:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2d49c…
05-21 03:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x394147…
05-21 03:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa03944…
05-21 03:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 47°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5ac71…
05-21 03:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x53ef96…
05-21 03:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfbc699…
05-21 03:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a805d…
05-20 10:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or higher on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95b7e2…
05-20 10:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa4cd64…
05-20 10:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a6f71…
05-19 10:05:45	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32cd7f…
05-19 10:04:23	Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe88a73…
05-19 10:02:08	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4afc70…
05-19 10:01:07	Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4d72e…
05-19 09:59:50	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b93c2…
05-19 09:58:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfc88b…
05-14 08:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbecee4…
05-14 08:11:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44d543…
05-14 08:08:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90e925…
05-13 03:44:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16e37d…
05-13 03:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a36f1…
05-13 03:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd28efa…
05-13 03:41:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda2fc7…
05-13 03:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb77d7c…
05-13 03:39:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9263f9…
05-13 03:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x39aff4…
05-13 03:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98ecd4…
05-13 03:35:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xbc0687…
05-11 06:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdb1d5b…
05-11 06:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa3d63…
05-11 06:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x821e44…
05-11 06:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa37e88…
05-11 06:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0eabb4…
05-11 06:07:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a5dd5…
05-11 06:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x227a24…
05-11 06:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x788784…
05-11 06:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70bddb…
05-11 06:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7bfe81…
05-11 06:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x186f1e…
05-11 06:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a9ba3…