Intelligent-Ketchup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-11 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

95% 27% -$2,613

Other

5% 14% -$537

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	46	$2.9K	12,639	11,439	+1,200	No	+$745	04-26 10:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	34	$2.3K	158,263	2,081	+156,182	Yes	-$1,198	03-12 07:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	3	$2.0K	1,249	1,249	+0	No	+$82	03-01 16:54
will iran strike israel on march 10	14	$1.8K	185,665	1,115	+184,550	Yes	+$316	03-17 19:37
will iran strike israel on march 4	3	$1.6K	1,599	1,599	+0	Yes	+$1,405	03-06 18:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	6	$1.5K	1,513	1,513	+0	No	+$338	03-02 17:45
Iran leadership change by April 30?	15	$818	7,191	7,191	+0	No	+$66	04-27 04:53
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$668	11,828	0	+11,828	No	-$668	03-31 19:43
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	4	$601	5,435	5,435	+0	No	+$201	03-24 21:21
iran leadership change by march 31	13	$549	3,089	0	+3,089	No	-$549	03-16 06:23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$530	1,909	1,284	+625	Yes	+$480	02-24 14:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	1	$467	749	0	+749	No	-$467	03-03 21:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$443	859	859	+0	Yes	-$357	03-03 20:57
will iran strike israel on march 6	6	$430	218,673	0	+218,673	No	-$430	03-11 12:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$404	3,394	527	+2,866	No	-$267	05-06 16:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$381	952	952	+0	Yes	-$19	02-24 14:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$335	704	704	+0	Yes	-$265	03-03 20:57
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	9	$305	2,423	2,423	+0	No	-$293	04-21 22:31
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	7	$300	1,065	630	+435	No	-$80	04-28 22:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	9	$298	14,860	14,860	+0	No	-$239	04-29 16:57
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	3	$284	225,130	0	+225,130	No	-$284	02-24 14:07
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$277	259	259	+0	Yes	-$3	02-24 14:02
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	10	$258	9,496	0	+9,496	No	-$258	04-09 23:17
will iran strike israel on march 8	2	$240	233	233	+0	Yes	+$40	03-06 23:07
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	7	$224	7,254	7,254	+0	No	-$190	04-10 08:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$219	1,779	0	+1,779	No	-$219	05-11 12:20
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$200	274	0	+274	No	-$200	03-03 13:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$194	1,053	1,053	+0	No	-$6	02-24 14:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$144	800	800	+0	No	+$48	04-18 10:56
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?	4	$135	5,279	5,279	+0	No	-$82	04-10 10:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 12:22:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	257	7¢	$18	0xbbcbe3…
05-11 12:21:32	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	222	8¢	$18	0x917e0e…
05-11 12:20:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	7¢	$19	0x05f082…
05-10 19:55:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x88ea19…
05-08 23:43:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	345	1¢	$3	0x4b8657…
05-08 23:43:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x068ac4…
05-08 23:43:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,622	1¢	$10	0x15ff70…
05-08 15:14:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0xaef099…
05-08 08:49:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xa58eaa…
05-08 08:48:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x6ec5a2…
05-07 20:41:59	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,054	5¢	$52	0x448b64…
05-07 09:19:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	11¢	$48	0x3a6010…
05-06 16:56:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	651	3¢	$20	0x98df39…
05-06 16:50:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xb10387…
05-06 16:50:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	4¢	$20	0x79888c…
05-06 16:47:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	674	15¢	$100	0x30d715…
05-06 16:47:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	279	18¢	$50	0x52e65f…
05-06 16:45:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	403	2¢	$10	0x2fb8ec…
05-06 16:45:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xf23c82…
04-29 16:58:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x9566c6…
04-29 16:58:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x1c49c6…
04-29 16:57:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14,860	0¢	$30	0x6a36e4…
04-28 22:06:08	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x7045aa…
04-27 10:29:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x04200b…
04-27 10:28:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8cb95f…
04-27 10:28:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x7066c4…
04-27 10:28:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x703874…
04-27 04:53:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,016	3¢	$27	0xbe4195…
04-27 04:52:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20,000	0¢	$40	0x24f703…
04-27 03:13:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	530	7¢	$37	0x14693a…
04-26 17:52:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x93ca53…
04-26 16:58:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x5c1a10…
04-26 16:58:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	2¢	$30	0xe21c67…
04-26 15:32:18	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,016	3¢	$29	0x3029ea…
04-26 14:05:42	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	677	2¢	$15	0x7bbc5d…
04-26 13:35:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$12	0x5b260f…
04-26 13:26:58	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,070	2¢	$26	0xbb1a76…
04-26 10:07:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,200	3¢	$35	0x5ef31f…
04-26 10:03:44	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,238	2¢	$50	0x9bc688…
04-26 09:05:46	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xdfe7e6…
04-26 09:04:44	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,041	2¢	$50	0xc568f1…
04-26 09:03:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xe88f72…
04-23 19:52:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,688	1¢	$44	0xfb05fe…
04-23 19:51:50	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	17¢	$44	0xe5af2d…
04-23 16:46:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,875	1¢	$48	0xcb5892…
04-23 16:46:08	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	19¢	$48	0xf25081…
04-23 16:44:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,021	1¢	$36	0x395ea2…
04-23 16:44:14	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	504	7¢	$36	0x5116de…
04-22 08:43:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	334	2¢	$6	0xb276a8…
04-21 22:31:52	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	2,423	0¢	$6	0x3af33d…
04-20 18:54:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	496	3¢	$14	0x9154d7…
04-20 18:53:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	5¢	$13	0xb0f9ea…
04-19 19:32:50	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	413	12¢	$49	0x1ba531…
04-19 19:30:30	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	843	12¢	$100	0xe819b0…
04-19 18:37:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,020	3¢	$100	0x485460…
04-19 05:22:32	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,102	3¢	$32	0x6b455a…
04-18 19:26:44	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0x38bbbb…
04-18 19:12:58	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	613	16¢	$100	0xd3135f…
04-18 16:28:42	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	19¢	$100	0x51653e…
04-18 15:26:18	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	104	17¢	$18	0x69e1ee…
04-18 15:20:36	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	16¢	$18	0x32fb01…
04-18 15:19:04	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x23daa9…
04-18 15:10:06	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x8ad3a5…
04-18 15:03:38	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	504	6¢	$30	0x825f99…
04-18 14:58:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	286	4¢	$10	0xae464e…
04-18 14:57:20	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,102	3¢	$30	0x38c83a…
04-18 12:58:56	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xfb7708…
04-18 12:58:48	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xaf7126…
04-18 12:58:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xe6f59f…
04-18 12:58:36	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xc06611…
04-18 12:55:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,140	40¢	$456	0x5e405a…
04-18 11:35:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	857	1¢	$11	0xdcc4b3…
04-18 11:06:24	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0x6c52af…
04-18 11:02:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0xc2ff61…
04-18 11:01:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0xad17e9…
04-18 11:00:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0xb787af…
04-18 10:56:28	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	800	12¢	$96	0x3fea63…
04-17 13:43:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	800	6¢	$48	0x162f9d…
04-17 13:43:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x67427f…
04-16 18:59:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$38	0xe8df18…
04-16 18:58:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	625	6¢	$38	0xc6cc92…
04-15 18:20:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	5¢	$7	0x15359b…
04-15 18:15:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x15c84e…
04-15 13:11:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	5¢	$17	0x0d6878…
04-15 06:38:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	6¢	$20	0x3fdf89…
04-15 06:35:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0xd6dfa5…
04-15 06:09:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x0d1471…
04-15 06:00:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	643	44¢	$285	0x047765…
04-15 00:04:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	592	65¢	$385	0xa86e00…
04-12 07:52:25	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,153	1¢	$15	0xb08047…
04-12 07:52:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	363	4¢	$15	0x51fd0f…
04-12 07:46:07	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,463	1¢	$20	0x04e751…
04-12 07:45:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	484	4¢	$20	0xa84602…
04-11 16:44:33	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	142	2¢	$3	0x1ad199…
04-11 16:42:01	Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,688	0¢	$3	0x3451d1…
04-10 13:46:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	11¢	$8	0x6a0655…
04-10 13:39:51	Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,619	0¢	$8	0xa5a83f…
04-10 13:27:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	11¢	$11	0x50c6b7…
04-10 13:27:13	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	608	2¢	$10	0x334e24…
04-10 13:21:51	Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,121	1¢	$21	0xfb7ac4…