Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

168

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-01 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

88% 58% +$4

Politics

10% 67% +$4

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 03:51
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-20 21:58
wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-23 07:47
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	10	+10	No	+$8	09-16 11:16
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-08 15:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	Up	-$2	09-18 17:54
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-08 19:10
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-13 06:58
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	09-21 06:02
will pltr dip to 159 by august 10 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-10 07:53
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	09-21 22:14
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 20:57
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	09-14 14:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-23 17:47
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-11 15:16
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-15 07:14
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 06:51
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-22 06:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 03:11
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 12:53
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-17 18:22
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$2	08-24 08:17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-24 02:36
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-11 01:10
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-13 21:53
will wti dip to 100 by september 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-14 22:20
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	09-22 14:51
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-30 07:43
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:08:55	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8ac9f6…
10-31 06:01:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x78ce9d…
10-30 21:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1b6bd6…
10-30 13:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfe802f…
10-29 03:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe32001…
10-27 18:56:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb36b6a…
10-27 10:54:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x41a6eb…
10-27 02:53:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbb8326…
10-23 23:58:39	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1effc3…
10-23 15:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7159b6…
10-23 07:56:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x495651…
10-22 23:55:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x456d8e…
10-22 15:55:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf4aa33…
10-22 07:54:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf84afa…
10-21 23:26:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3c6046…
10-21 15:16:18	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb1a23d…
10-21 15:16:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0f3141…
10-21 07:16:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3d1622…
10-20 23:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x388c87…
10-18 14:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x29e565…
10-18 06:50:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc6aa70…
10-17 20:01:42	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7bdc20…
10-17 11:54:56	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3e04a5…
10-17 03:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcd6cde…
10-17 02:12:44	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x229a79…
10-16 18:04:12	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x284eba…
10-16 08:44:09	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe9028e…
10-16 00:43:21	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x044d34…
10-15 16:41:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x559fbc…
10-15 08:30:04	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x678180…
10-15 00:00:12	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe294e4…
10-14 15:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf77d1b…
10-14 07:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x53b467…
10-13 23:06:13	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x33cf65…
10-13 14:53:13	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7c1776…
10-12 18:52:42	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0196a6…
10-11 22:52:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf2827d…
10-11 14:39:30	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5e8d65…
10-11 06:39:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x785ecc…
10-10 21:29:07	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdb0546…
10-10 13:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe16721…
10-10 04:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfc3d82…
10-09 19:10:46	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdd0944…
10-09 11:09:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa5e844…
10-09 03:09:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x364313…
10-08 19:08:50	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1ade34…
10-08 10:14:38	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x78ef82…
10-08 10:14:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x36a983…
10-08 02:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x916310…
10-07 14:53:43	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf168e…
10-07 14:18:58	SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7f6db2…
10-06 16:00:09	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x76b637…
10-06 11:49:10	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xedd6f8…
10-06 07:57:19	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x607b31…
10-05 13:18:23	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x58335c…
10-04 20:09:19	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f75ff…
10-04 15:39:40	Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x96521e…
10-04 09:09:58	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x113e2d…
10-04 08:35:31	Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x126696…
10-04 08:35:29	San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0fddea…
10-04 07:58:35	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x082fe4…
10-04 07:58:32	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6bf118…
10-04 07:21:46	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x648d7e…
10-04 06:49:04	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x45b14a…
10-04 06:49:01	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x33db4e…
10-04 06:07:49	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb30cc8…
10-04 06:07:46	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xec3bca…
10-04 05:26:04	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x836a98…
10-03 15:13:59	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd5eed0…
10-03 15:13:57	CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaac820…
10-03 15:13:53	Inter Toronto FC vs. Cavalry FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xda4460…
10-03 12:38:33	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xff0f0d…
10-03 12:06:50	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1f61f7…
10-03 11:34:38	Leyton Orient FC vs. Plymouth Argyle FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbd81f7…
10-03 11:34:33	Will Cliftonville FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x493521…
10-03 04:28:42	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaf0c75…
10-03 04:00:30	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x54a0a6…
10-03 03:30:32	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4226b8…
10-03 03:30:30	Will South Shields FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x47a425…
10-03 02:54:45	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x81abcf…
10-02 20:57:30	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xabf73d…
10-02 18:37:30	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0b0271…
10-02 14:34:54	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x11bbf7…
10-02 13:29:32	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x99e938…
10-02 11:47:32	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa268b0…
10-02 07:18:45	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x72f7da…
10-02 07:18:42	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd03420…
10-02 05:29:12	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9f674e…
10-01 22:00:56	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xadb47f…
10-01 10:11:24	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x680512…
10-01 09:43:23	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9fac05…
10-01 05:54:26	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb98ede…
09-30 13:38:26	Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8a978a…
09-30 11:23:23	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x864459…
09-30 08:55:56	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x774b14…
09-30 07:41:39	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x61bc0d…
09-30 07:21:14	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x66aac0…
09-30 06:40:08	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa87c00…
09-30 05:23:41	Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcb5686…
09-30 05:23:39	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4bb4c5…