Determined-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,555

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-08 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775315700	4	$48	36	35	+1	open	—	04-04 15:19
btc updown 5m 1775721000	4	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	04-09 07:55
btc updown 5m 1775317200	4	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	04-04 15:45
btc updown 5m 1775674200	4	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	04-08 18:54
btc updown 5m 1775316900	4	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	04-04 15:39
btc updown 5m 1775665800	4	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	04-08 16:33
btc updown 5m 1775316300	4	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	04-04 15:30
btc updown 5m 1775978400	4	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	04-12 07:25
btc updown 5m 1775407200	4	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	04-05 16:45
btc updown 5m 1775460300	4	$35	24	23	+0	open	—	04-06 07:30
btc updown 5m 1775809800	4	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	04-10 08:36
btc updown 5m 1775742900	4	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	04-09 13:59
btc updown 5m 1775761800	4	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	04-09 19:15
btc updown 5m 1775980800	4	$34	27	27	+1	open	—	04-12 08:04
btc updown 5m 1775831700	4	$34	23	23	+0	open	—	04-10 14:40
btc updown 5m 1775701800	2	$33	19	18	+0	open	—	04-09 02:35
btc updown 5m 1775405400	4	$33	30	29	+1	open	—	04-05 16:14
btc updown 5m 1775835600	3	$32	24	13	+11	open	—	04-10 15:43
btc updown 5m 1775098800	3	$28	32	15	+17	open	—	04-02 03:04
btc updown 5m 1775701200	3	$27	31	16	+15	open	—	04-09 02:24
btc updown 5m 1775099700	3	$27	26	13	+13	open	—	04-02 03:19
btc updown 5m 1775404200	3	$27	33	16	+17	open	—	04-05 15:54
btc updown 5m 1775978100	4	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	04-12 07:20
btc updown 5m 1775314500	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-04 14:59
btc updown 5m 1775232900	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-03 16:20
btc updown 5m 1775788500	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-10 02:40
btc updown 5m 1775112000	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-02 06:44
btc updown 5m 1775113200	3	$24	25	12	+13	open	—	04-02 07:04
btc updown 5m 1775102100	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-02 04:00
btc updown 5m 1775743200	3	$23	23	12	+11	open	—	04-09 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:14:28	btc updown 5m 1780938600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x51b4bd…
06-08 17:13:49	btc updown 5m 1780938600	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfe22d6…
06-08 17:09:55	btc updown 5m 1780938300	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x686120…
06-05 18:34:22	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x9ddf64…
06-04 05:39:52	btc updown 5m 1780551300	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x77e6ec…
06-04 05:38:00	btc updown 5m 1780551300	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x4a6308…
06-04 03:54:57	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x87105b…
06-04 03:54:43	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x31ba90…
06-03 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe1236a…
06-03 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x017f94…
06-02 07:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xebb2af…
06-02 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc915c4…
06-02 06:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xac3624…
06-02 06:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xe83e15…
06-02 06:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x52763b…
06-02 06:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc2601c…
06-02 06:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x82f563…
06-02 06:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x50b7b7…
06-02 06:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x644c5d…
06-02 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9907af…
06-02 04:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x11a849…
06-02 02:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x3bdab3…
06-02 02:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9436ca…
06-02 02:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xc6c073…
06-02 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xd65760…
06-02 02:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xde120d…
06-02 02:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x123761…
06-02 02:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x026172…
06-02 02:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x9f134a…
06-02 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe82061…
06-02 01:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xfe7c9b…
06-02 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x68790e…
06-02 01:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x0029bd…
06-02 01:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xb68c8a…
06-02 01:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xdb60b8…
06-01 16:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xacd83a…
06-01 16:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4d410e…
06-01 15:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x25c7e5…
06-01 15:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x847dfe…
06-01 15:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6c8a39…
06-01 15:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x179b37…
06-01 15:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfcf0f3…
06-01 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb4012a…
06-01 10:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x23a236…
06-01 10:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xff5476…
06-01 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x55cac8…
06-01 08:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd8a9b4…
06-01 06:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x67f175…
06-01 06:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2a2746…
06-01 05:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac1a7d…
06-01 05:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x940aa9…
06-01 05:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x12f64a…
06-01 05:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x19f43d…
06-01 05:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x989c0c…
06-01 05:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5e829e…
06-01 04:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0x59c380…
06-01 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x034f37…
06-01 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x3e0d8c…
06-01 04:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x7a7bd2…
06-01 03:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc844cd…
06-01 03:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2db461…
05-31 20:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe5e590…
05-31 20:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x362db1…
05-31 20:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x54e707…
05-31 20:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x4058fd…
05-31 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x21bffa…
05-31 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x2410ee…
05-31 20:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x96e0bd…
05-31 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x253c0a…
05-31 19:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6263d1…
05-31 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9ea78e…
05-31 19:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x161d0d…
05-31 19:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd4daae…
05-31 19:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0x31b8df…
05-31 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x312c8d…
05-31 18:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x65c786…
05-31 18:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x8f53b8…
05-31 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xfc3b9a…
05-31 18:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x2ca9b4…
05-31 18:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x6b53d3…
05-31 18:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa542b6…
05-31 18:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8c06b0…
05-31 18:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xff1520…
05-31 18:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0xc2327a…
05-31 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x692f1e…
05-31 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x69864f…
05-31 17:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa988ae…
05-31 17:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x313665…
05-31 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xe18cb3…
05-31 17:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x63ffcc…
05-31 17:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbe0b00…
05-31 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x8a7635…
05-31 11:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x2a40bd…
05-31 11:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x795be5…
05-31 11:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x80f59e…
05-31 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x2ed388…
05-31 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x2bc463…
05-31 11:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xf5179b…
05-31 11:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xf34699…
05-31 11:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xc748bf…