Embarrassed-Placebo — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$14

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$396

$396 lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 43% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	No		+70	$69	100¢	$70	+$1	05-08 03:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?	2	$118	62	62	+0	Yes	+$5	05-07 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	1	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	05-08 03:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$41	46	0	+46	Yes	+$5	05-06 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	$-0	05-06 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	1	$33	0	38	-38	Yes	$-6	05-06 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?	1	$31	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	05-06 06:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	1	$29	0	29	-29	Yes	$-0	05-06 04:24
Jiujiang: Hayu Kinoshita vs En-Shuo Liang	1	$24	77	0	+77	open	—	05-08 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	1	$18	0	37	-37	No	$-20	05-06 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 05:53:35	Jiujiang: Hayu Kinoshita vs En-Shuo Liang	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0xa8a114…
05-08 03:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x11bd19…
05-07 13:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0x0bc6a6…
05-07 11:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x481d3c…
05-06 16:30:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x245b22…
05-06 12:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	38	86¢	$33	0x2dcb08…
05-06 08:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x06d776…
05-06 08:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x4398e9…
05-06 08:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	SELL	37	47¢	$18	0xa92ff1…
05-06 06:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x69f6fe…
05-06 04:24:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2c8808…