Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

286

Trades

633

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-17 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 64% -$114

Other

30% 20% -$32

Tech

3% 0% -$1

Politics

3% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:20 UTC	40	$100	499	0	+499	Up	-$100	03-21 17:21
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	6	$71	100	20	+80	Yes	-$6	10-08 05:56
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	9	$65	140	20	+120	No	-$3	10-09 15:27
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	6	$49	99	0	+99	Yes	$0	10-08 15:48
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	6	$43	92	0	+92	No	+$1	10-09 07:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	4	$41	80	0	+80	Yes	-$1	10-09 16:34
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 00:19
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	5	$40	60	20	+40	Yes	-$11	10-09 17:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	4	$36	40	40	+0	No	-$3	10-08 12:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	4	$35	60	20	+40	No	-$4	10-09 18:21
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 16:15 UTC	13	$34	65	0	+65	Up	-$34	06-15 16:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 16:15 UTC	9	$31	44	0	+44	Down	+$13	06-15 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:40 UTC	10	$28	100	100	+0	Down	+$8	03-20 21:41
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-09 18:44
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	3	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	10-08 20:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$5	10-12 05:50
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	2	$23	40	0	+40	Yes	-$3	10-11 22:56
Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	3	$21	43	0	+43	Yes	-$1	10-09 07:01
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	2	$21	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	10-09 05:32
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$21	42	0	+42	No	-$1	10-16 12:02
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	10-10 14:28
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-10 04:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	5	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	$0	10-13 06:38
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-10 15:06
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-09 23:11
Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	4	$19	38	0	+38	Yes	-$1	10-12 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 03:00 UTC	5	$17	15	10	+5	Up	+$1	06-16 03:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:00 UTC	13	$17	100	100	+0	Up	-$3	03-20 22:02
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	06-15 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 23:45 UTC	8	$14	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	03-21 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 04:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xe25b1a…
10-17 03:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x20d03f…
10-16 12:02:49	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2c281e…
10-14 18:36:15	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x55777f…
10-14 18:05:04	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x6339c1…
10-14 16:15:31	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xf5e053…
10-14 11:14:35	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xaf0f2a…
10-14 10:45:43	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc4e4e2…
10-14 10:36:56	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe24944…
10-13 21:14:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xa7cf03…
10-13 20:57:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x41c064…
10-13 20:57:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0635d6…
10-13 06:38:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x95abc7…
10-13 06:00:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x603ebc…
10-13 05:07:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$14	0x6fccd7…
10-13 05:07:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x625668…
10-13 04:59:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xbe46a2…
10-12 20:09:08	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc18536…
10-12 20:09:06	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa06d57…
10-12 20:09:06	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9bffd9…
10-12 19:46:57	Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4b07b6…
10-12 14:51:41	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe44d44…
10-12 11:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x71d0dd…
10-12 10:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x8df3ff…
10-12 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdfc1a4…
10-12 10:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x0574fc…
10-12 05:50:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x83a0bd…
10-12 02:42:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa30c55…
10-12 02:15:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb2022b…
10-12 02:12:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe53bb3…
10-12 02:10:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe88f4a…
10-11 22:56:45	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe4c541…
10-11 19:24:00	Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xdba6f7…
10-10 17:31:10	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xe1aab0…
10-10 17:30:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x64236a…
10-10 16:01:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x47ed5a…
10-10 15:06:21	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x26319c…
10-10 14:28:51	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x08e245…
10-10 13:48:43	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe886e9…
10-10 13:19:07	Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f5d4c…
10-10 04:18:15	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xbffad3…
10-10 03:01:38	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xcd2bff…
10-10 00:19:40	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x118341…
10-09 23:11:16	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x269e93…
10-09 23:02:31	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x1afe0e…
10-09 22:47:22	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa5cbd7…
10-09 21:39:19	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xf0cf72…
10-09 19:28:38	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x52378b…
10-09 18:44:49	will the social reckoning score at least 58 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xd5baeb…
10-09 18:27:34	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x7faf05…
10-09 18:21:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xc1aa57…
10-09 17:09:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa9a25b…
10-09 17:06:21	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x47a6fa…
10-09 17:05:18	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x0cf8d1…
10-09 16:58:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd7e3dc…
10-09 16:48:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf2f9e2…
10-09 16:34:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x87807f…
10-09 15:33:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x673692…
10-09 15:27:34	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc65567…
10-09 15:15:36	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb07d99…
10-09 14:51:49	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x837e2f…
10-09 14:39:55	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbd55aa…
10-09 14:29:06	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x15fcfd…
10-09 14:24:33	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xeaaf7c…
10-09 13:56:24	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x64d762…
10-09 13:44:48	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x2b9e41…
10-09 13:44:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x7aa5dc…
10-09 13:28:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf30f11…
10-09 12:46:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe771a1…
10-09 08:35:15	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcc2c87…
10-09 07:02:07	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x79461e…
10-09 07:01:30	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb1a8de…
10-09 06:57:34	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x69250c…
10-09 06:53:42	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xcfc0fb…
10-09 05:40:57	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xb27df2…
10-09 05:32:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa41677…
10-09 02:25:11	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1a1a5f…
10-09 01:36:08	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe5416f…
10-08 22:19:42	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8bdf7e…
10-08 21:50:38	gemini argon released by october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7abcbb…
10-08 20:53:26	gemini 4pt0 released by october 16 2026	No	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x8d370d…
10-08 19:11:29	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x463a85…
10-08 18:41:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa1257b…
10-08 16:39:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xeb432f…
10-08 16:31:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x65f5e8…
10-08 16:26:26	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x79be6e…
10-08 16:24:02	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb1cecd…
10-08 16:18:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8cedbd…
10-08 15:48:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9cacfa…
10-08 15:27:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x1c8b29…
10-08 15:25:32	gemini 4pt0 released by october 23 2026	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x768099…
10-08 14:49:26	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x497cae…
10-08 14:44:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x8ab057…
10-08 14:44:05	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb1a40b…
10-08 12:46:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x537ca6…
10-08 10:45:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x6f820c…
10-08 10:40:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x85d6e6…
10-08 10:39:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1dfffb…
10-08 05:56:44	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x9b3aac…
10-08 02:57:53	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8bf459…