First-Allowance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

63,228

Trades

106,301

lifetime

Volume

$61.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-30 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 5% -$1,629

Other

1% 1% -$414

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 2907 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	—	+45	$21	98¢	$44	+$23	10-30 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	99	$162	440	+440	Up	-$32	09-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	10	$105	131	+131	Down	-$49	10-06 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	9	$99	115	+115	Down	+$16	10-03 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	14	$98	116	+116	Up	+$18	10-08 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$95	115	+115	Up	+$19	10-06 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	11	$95	115	+115	Up	+$20	10-06 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	9	$94	115	+115	Up	+$21	10-08 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	34	$94	147	+147	Down	+$1	09-19 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	14	$93	115	+115	Up	+$22	10-07 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	11	$93	111	+111	Down	+$18	10-03 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	9	$92	115	+115	Up	+$23	10-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	9	$91	104	+104	Up	+$13	10-03 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	12	$90	112	+112	Up	+$22	10-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$88	102	+102	Up	+$13	10-06 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	9	$88	100	+100	Down	-$88	10-08 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:50 UTC	11	$88	102	+102	Down	-$88	10-03 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	12	$87	100	+100	Down	+$13	10-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	10	$87	115	+115	Down	+$28	10-08 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	9	$86	104	+104	Up	+$17	10-05 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	10	$86	101	+101	Down	+$0	10-03 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	9	$86	115	+115	Up	+$29	10-02 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:50 UTC	9	$85	100	+100	Down	-$85	10-03 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	9	$84	100	+100	Up	+$16	10-07 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	11	$83	100	+100	Up	+$17	10-07 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$82	95	+95	Down	+$13	10-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$82	100	+100	Up	+$18	10-07 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	10	$81	112	+112	Down	-$10	10-05 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	10	$80	100	+100	Up	+$20	10-08 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	9	$79	115	+115	Up	+$36	10-04 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	14	$79	100	+100	Down	+$21	10-07 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7038db…
10-30 09:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xabed39…
10-30 09:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x76a87d…
10-30 09:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x35256a…
10-30 09:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x655013…
10-30 09:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe5fa92…
10-30 09:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe70bd4…
10-30 09:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7dee42…
10-30 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xce1a73…
10-30 09:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x0561b0…
10-30 09:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xf89719…
10-30 09:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x179a63…
10-30 09:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x05e1b1…
10-30 09:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5acce6…
10-30 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xf577a7…
10-30 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf19265…
10-30 09:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8fb01c…
10-30 09:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x769709…
10-30 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe3d34b…
10-30 09:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8d83af…
10-30 09:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb92613…
10-30 09:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x6bf5a9…
10-30 09:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x408811…
10-30 09:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x767b67…
10-30 09:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2a9bdd…
10-30 09:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7ba729…
10-30 09:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x052582…
10-30 09:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xd2eb96…
10-30 09:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xc3b04a…
10-30 09:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6a9d0b…
10-30 09:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x77ce56…
10-30 09:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x14984f…
10-30 09:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xaa674b…
10-30 09:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x384833…
10-30 09:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x45bacd…
10-30 09:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x191e54…
10-30 09:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xae7912…
10-30 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe9b00a…
10-30 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xaff7b5…
10-30 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4da3aa…
10-30 08:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x43cf6f…
10-30 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe35352…
10-30 08:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xee5ed3…
10-30 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb712c5…
10-30 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa6c39f…
10-30 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9376b4…
10-30 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf5424…
10-30 08:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x681909…
10-30 08:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x14d1e2…
10-30 08:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x297420…
10-30 08:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x88afca…
10-30 08:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x762b95…
10-30 08:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6f75d6…
10-30 08:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x925a77…
10-30 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xbf1012…
10-30 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xb732be…
10-30 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xad40ec…
10-30 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x89479b…
10-30 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x504400…
10-30 08:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3d5b70…
10-30 08:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xad1f48…
10-30 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6ca036…
10-30 08:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf32e1e…
10-30 08:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x908282…
10-30 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3f12c5…
10-30 08:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd6e17e…
10-30 08:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4fd035…
10-30 08:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x941b3c…
10-30 08:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcd933d…
10-30 08:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9161e6…
10-30 08:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x544532…
10-30 08:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x611fc7…
10-30 08:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1519b1…
10-30 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x5bf5b1…
10-30 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x439180…
10-30 08:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x0615c1…
10-30 08:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd8a905…
10-30 08:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x309050…
10-30 08:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x980500…
10-30 08:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1fc20d…
10-30 08:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2c6f84…
10-30 08:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xd7913d…
10-30 08:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x9b4d93…
10-30 08:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x365960…
10-30 08:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdd81eb…
10-30 08:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xcdf690…
10-30 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe6a7b2…
10-30 08:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd4b611…
10-30 08:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x224f35…
10-30 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0dec8d…
10-30 08:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5937f2…
10-30 08:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4c582d…
10-30 08:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x32e9a2…
10-30 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf385c…
10-30 08:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xb70d96…
10-30 08:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf652f5…
10-30 08:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7fc7ef…
10-30 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0952a0…
10-30 08:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6f39f7…
10-30 08:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb2b8c9…