First-Allowance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

63,063

Trades

105,076

lifetime

Volume

$59.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-22 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 5% -$1,434

Other

1% 1% -$414

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 2907 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	99	$162	440	+440	Up	-$32	09-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	10	$105	131	+131	Down	-$49	10-06 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	9	$99	115	+115	Down	+$16	10-03 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	14	$98	116	+116	Up	+$18	10-08 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$95	115	+115	Up	+$19	10-06 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	11	$95	115	+115	Up	+$20	10-06 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	9	$94	115	+115	Up	+$21	10-08 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	34	$94	147	+147	Down	+$1	09-19 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	14	$93	115	+115	Up	+$22	10-07 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	11	$93	111	+111	Down	+$18	10-03 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	9	$92	115	+115	Up	+$23	10-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	9	$91	104	+104	Up	+$13	10-03 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	12	$90	112	+112	Up	+$22	10-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$88	102	+102	Up	+$13	10-06 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	9	$88	100	+100	Down	-$88	10-08 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:50 UTC	11	$88	102	+102	Down	-$88	10-03 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	12	$87	100	+100	Down	+$13	10-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	10	$87	115	+115	Down	+$28	10-08 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	9	$86	104	+104	Up	+$17	10-05 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	10	$86	101	+101	Down	+$0	10-03 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	9	$86	115	+115	Up	+$29	10-02 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:50 UTC	9	$85	100	+100	Down	-$85	10-03 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	9	$84	100	+100	Up	+$16	10-07 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	11	$83	100	+100	Up	+$17	10-07 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$82	95	+95	Down	+$13	10-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	13	$82	100	+100	Up	+$18	10-07 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	10	$81	112	+112	Down	-$10	10-05 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	10	$80	100	+100	Up	+$20	10-08 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	9	$79	115	+115	Up	+$36	10-04 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	14	$79	100	+100	Down	+$21	10-07 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0x6c6030…
10-22 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x95cb85…
10-22 03:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x3e42a4…
10-22 03:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x21a7ed…
10-22 02:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0x715766…
10-22 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x67f7e2…
10-22 00:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0x596bb9…
10-22 00:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x8b6fb6…
10-22 00:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x951689…
10-21 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0xb5e702…
10-21 21:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0x0bf1da…
10-21 20:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x9bf45d…
10-21 20:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x129bae…
10-21 19:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0x58bf2f…
10-21 19:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0x290722…
10-21 19:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	69	46¢	$32	0xe44be6…
10-21 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0xf37f8f…
10-21 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x8853da…
10-21 17:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xd8fdc8…
10-21 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x67544e…
10-21 16:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0xbbb49e…
10-21 16:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x29d7ee…
10-21 15:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0x556b8c…
10-21 15:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	87	37¢	$32	0xa9da84…
10-21 14:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	57¢	$32	0x43ffb8…
10-21 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	72¢	$32	0xc3cff3…
10-21 14:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xec29b6…
10-21 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0x7ebceb…
10-21 14:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x542fe5…
10-21 14:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xae28df…
10-21 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x2ced05…
10-21 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xaa25e5…
10-21 13:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x9c4fb4…
10-21 13:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x562909…
10-21 12:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0x9a37a6…
10-21 11:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x911790…
10-21 10:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x0bf477…
10-21 09:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x6b01f6…
10-21 09:03:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x1f9c38…
10-21 09:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x9949a5…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	121	27¢	$32	0x1bf673…
10-21 06:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xddab65…
10-21 04:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb23c8f…
10-21 03:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf79ca0…
10-21 01:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1d6d06…
10-21 00:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8ddc76…
10-20 22:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5c8418…
10-20 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x963c31…
10-20 18:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbd6cb5…
10-20 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xb79917…
10-20 16:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x574869…
10-20 16:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x666680…
10-20 16:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa955e7…
10-20 15:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa63029…
10-20 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x83cc3f…
10-20 15:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0c6956…
10-20 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc39d90…
10-20 14:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x048df3…
10-20 14:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x873707…
10-20 07:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xfcc782…
10-20 04:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x064c1f…
10-20 03:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xf409a0…
10-20 03:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xa1a94c…
10-20 02:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xa2c6f4…
10-20 02:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xf8c0a1…
10-19 22:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x82d655…
10-19 22:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4c1fe7…
10-19 22:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x5faeea…
10-19 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x925533…
10-19 16:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x753ef4…
10-19 16:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xb7194d…
10-19 15:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8f0043…
10-19 15:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xcba1f3…
10-19 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xa7bac0…
10-19 13:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xffe9e5…
10-19 08:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8e5eec…
10-19 08:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x4202dc…
10-19 05:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xa6a22b…
10-18 14:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x5f8299…
10-18 13:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xbd266d…
10-18 12:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x37bcc8…
10-18 12:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xe40a43…
10-18 10:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x14b66e…
10-18 10:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xdb9f77…
10-18 08:03:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb4112c…
10-18 05:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xacd29f…
10-18 00:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xa0b2e0…
10-17 22:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xa8d947…
10-17 22:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc146ad…
10-17 20:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xc3a7c0…
10-17 19:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x0b4e36…
10-17 16:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x23d1d7…
10-17 15:33:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x5fdeeb…
10-17 14:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x6c870f…
10-17 10:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xcbb61d…
10-17 09:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xaa279b…
10-17 09:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x99c194…
10-17 09:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x568b82…
10-17 06:14:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x086756…
10-17 04:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd6af90…