Smug-Dinghy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$281

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 06-05 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 79% -$137

Other

24% 44% -$166

Sports

8% 100% +$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$235	250	0	+250	Down	+$15	05-31 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$209	125	110	+15	Up	-$1	05-31 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	7	$188	171	39	+133	Down	+$1	05-31 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?	17	$149	190	190	+0	No	-$11	05-30 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$130	437	0	+437	Down	-$130	05-31 07:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	2	$127	72	72	+0	No	+$17	06-01 10:09
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	2	$114	117	117	+0	Gabriel Bonfim	+$4	06-05 13:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$111	76	76	+0	Up	+$2	05-31 19:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$105	108	0	+108	Down	+$3	05-31 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Up	+$56	05-31 07:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$100	117	0	+117	Up	-$100	05-31 10:49
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	7	$86	50	50	+0	Song Yadong	+$4	05-30 13:40
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$86	50	50	+0	Kai Asakura	+$14	05-30 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$75	48	48	+0	Up	+$5	05-31 10:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$5	06-01 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$61	58	7	+51	Down	+$2	05-31 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$61	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	05-31 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$58	43	43	+0	Down	+$8	05-31 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$55	65	0	+65	Up	+$10	05-30 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$6	06-01 22:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$53	28	28	+0	Yes	+$3	05-30 18:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$53	66	66	+0	Up	+$3	05-31 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	05-30 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	2	$44	26	26	+0	No	+$8	06-01 22:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	2	$41	26	26	+0	No	+$10	06-01 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	05-30 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	2	$32	66	66	+0	No	-$4	06-01 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?	4	$31	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-30 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	6	$30	117	0	+117	No	-$30	05-30 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-31 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:47:07	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Gabriel Bonfim	SELL	117	50¢	$59	0xabb518…
06-01 22:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x767cbf…
06-01 22:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	SELL	51	5¢	$2	0x8a7b3f…
06-01 22:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0xc2211d…
06-01 22:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x770774…
06-01 22:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5d004c…
06-01 22:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	No	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0xfca421…
06-01 22:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	No	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0xcf1138…
06-01 22:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xf30902…
06-01 22:00:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x1cca24…
06-01 22:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 2?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x3b9473…
06-01 22:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	66	22¢	$14	0xf0b06e…
06-01 22:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x922557…
06-01 22:00:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x23f332…
06-01 22:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xceee39…
06-01 13:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xeda999…
06-01 13:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xec83e4…
06-01 13:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x710732…
06-01 12:44:49	UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)	Gabriel Bonfim	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0xe3e324…
06-01 12:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x06d06e…
06-01 12:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe08155…
06-01 12:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xeb43eb…
06-01 12:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xba8093…
06-01 10:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xa43ba1…
06-01 10:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xdd3de6…
06-01 10:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xdb23b7…
06-01 10:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x57864d…
06-01 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf88304…
06-01 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0x2ae093…
06-01 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x22e18f…
06-01 10:10:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x49896b…
06-01 10:09:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x7d426f…
05-31 19:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x5dda5e…
05-31 19:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x95492e…
05-31 19:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x81d12e…
05-31 19:16:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa1c81d…
05-31 19:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0x3c76bf…
05-31 19:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x922ff0…
05-31 19:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x22f8bf…
05-31 16:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xa35457…
05-31 16:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4a4e66…
05-31 16:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 1?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x4c469d…
05-31 16:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$6	0x18dc74…
05-31 16:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x1341ce…
05-31 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x529489…
05-31 15:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf3e1e…
05-31 15:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf16f38…
05-31 14:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bef1a…
05-31 14:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f37dd…
05-31 14:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbed917…
05-31 14:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x431636…
05-31 14:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xadff62…
05-31 13:34:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	72	76¢	$55	0xc31af7…
05-31 13:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xff85bd…
05-31 13:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6bed75…
05-31 12:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4aab23…
05-31 12:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b5f90…
05-31 12:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xebb784…
05-31 11:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x590703…
05-31 11:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4ae9c1…
05-31 11:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	66	43¢	$28	0xa52910…
05-31 11:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xcea705…
05-31 11:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5fae5f…
05-31 11:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xc69166…
05-31 11:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$11	0xf548bf…
05-31 11:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd18ac1…
05-31 11:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9b77ee…
05-31 11:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x07959f…
05-31 10:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1bf107…
05-31 10:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5e8da1…
05-31 10:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xccf904…
05-31 10:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa0ac80…
05-31 10:54:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x660830…
05-31 10:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x75e502…
05-31 10:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x13c6c0…
05-31 10:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x36583f…
05-31 10:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9714f3…
05-31 10:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xec4789…
05-31 10:03:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	No	BUY	26	60¢	$15	0x3c1289…
05-31 10:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0x35bb15…
05-31 10:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0xc3196f…
05-31 10:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?	No	BUY	23	76¢	$17	0xa42ec9…
05-31 10:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x18def2…
05-31 09:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x41dd3d…
05-31 09:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6c62a3…
05-31 09:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdc270e…
05-31 09:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4b75b…
05-31 09:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78cda9…
05-31 09:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd97ee1…
05-31 09:14:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb14864…
05-31 09:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f96d0…
05-31 09:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe4d468…
05-31 09:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe77254…
05-31 09:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x2c4a58…
05-31 08:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa7a3d1…
05-31 08:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6c4012…
05-31 08:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0xe84631…
05-31 08:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x9d6bc4…
05-31 08:21:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd6f640…
05-31 08:06:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xa28f17…