Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

285

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$7.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-28 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 73% +$76

Other

9% 96% +$9

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Human moon landing in 2026?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	+$0	09-06 07:50
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		-5	-$5	92¢	$-5	+$0	08-13 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-18 21:00 UTC	11	$578	1,609	300	+1,309	Down	+$110	01-19 00:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:15 UTC	1	$535	745	0	+745	Up	+$210	01-19 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:45 UTC	1	$300	348	0	+348	Down	+$48	01-19 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:15 UTC	3	$270	353	0	+353	Down	+$52	01-19 01:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:00 UTC	2	$253	183	180	+3	Down	+$55	01-19 02:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	6	$223	165	85	+80	Up	+$10	01-25 11:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:45 UTC	3	$217	263	91	+172	Down	-$3	01-19 01:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-19 01:00 UTC	2	$176	161	161	+0	Down	-$24	01-19 02:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:00 UTC	2	$134	70	70	+0	Down	+$3	01-25 11:14
bitcoin up or down january 24 3pm et	4	$112	127	0	+127	Up	+$15	01-24 20:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:30 UTC	2	$105	74	73	+1	Down	+$5	01-19 01:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:45 UTC	2	$101	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	01-18 23:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:00 UTC	1	$100	452	0	+452	Down	-$100	01-18 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:45 UTC	1	$100	131	0	+131	Up	-$100	01-19 01:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 20:15 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	01-24 20:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:30 UTC	2	$100	261	0	+261	Up	-$100	01-18 23:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:15 UTC	1	$100	145	0	+145	Down	-$100	01-18 23:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 20:00 UTC	2	$97	111	0	+111	Up	+$14	01-24 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 17:00 UTC	3	$96	141	136	+5	Up	+$5	01-24 17:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:45 UTC	3	$94	102	0	+102	Down	+$8	01-23 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:30 UTC	2	$93	94	0	+94	Up	+$1	01-23 16:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:15 UTC	2	$92	101	0	+101	Up	+$9	01-23 17:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:00 UTC	1	$90	96	0	+96	Up	+$6	01-23 22:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:30 UTC	1	$84	110	0	+110	Down	-$84	01-25 11:35
xrp up or down on january 25	2	$81	45	45	+0	Down	+$1	01-25 09:22
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:30 UTC	2	$77	79	0	+79	Up	+$2	01-24 19:43
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	3	$74	78	0	+78	Up	+$4	01-24 17:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:00 UTC	5	$70	79	0	+79	Up	+$9	01-23 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:15 UTC	1	$70	84	0	+84	Down	+$14	01-23 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:45 UTC	1	$70	70	0	+70	Up	+$0	01-23 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:36:15	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5ec69a…
10-26 18:45:38	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1d1a15…
10-21 03:29:57	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on October 20?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xaf96d0…
10-19 13:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x7348c1…
10-17 20:25:56	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: 1H O/U 76.5	Over	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x7b5e60…
10-14 18:13:49	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x40ed89…
10-14 01:28:46	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xb7f20e…
10-12 13:47:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbdb2e9…
10-09 00:15:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd7f584…
10-06 13:43:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x2d7f92…
10-02 14:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe670ac…
09-29 12:59:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 24 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa5ab9f…
09-28 14:37:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x89495c…
09-27 12:10:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x2c2475…
09-15 11:58:10	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xfaa3f1…
09-07 13:36:58	Will MrBeast's latest video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x9124a1…
09-06 07:50:58	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ff364…
09-06 07:50:42	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x753df4…
09-06 07:49:25	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Kiwoom Heroes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0d374c…
08-30 09:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xfbd502…
08-30 03:15:36	wnba tor phx 2026 08 29 spread home 9pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xa53c23…
08-13 22:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xc5a5cb…
08-13 22:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb1f45e…
08-13 22:10:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x008028…
08-13 22:10:04	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa99361…
08-13 22:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd87f17…
08-06 16:35:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x51c99e…
08-06 16:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x4beb43…
08-04 15:06:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x17995d…
08-02 11:45:51	kbo han kt 2026 08 02	KT Wiz	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc2cabf…
07-30 11:10:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x8961f7…
07-16 01:19:16	will elon post texas on x this week 20260710174050693	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x406122…
06-26 14:55:58	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfafc1…
06-26 14:55:37	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8154c…
04-17 13:20:08	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x999b81…
02-22 14:10:02	highest temperature in nyc on february 22 2026 34 35f	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x260847…
02-21 22:10:54	highest temperature in nyc on february 22 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x60c324…
02-20 22:24:04	highest temperature in nyc on february 21 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x7ac35d…
02-19 19:24:28	bitcoin above 70k on february 20	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x67f89c…
02-19 01:08:04	bitcoin above 64k on february 19	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x991f1d…
02-19 00:54:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcbb386…
02-19 00:51:52	xrp up or down february 18 7pm et	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x07961e…
02-19 00:50:58	xrp up or down february 18 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xdb0bb4…
02-19 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x502baa…
02-19 00:43:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3158c0…
02-19 00:39:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x863380…
02-19 00:27:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0xecb0f0…
02-19 00:27:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x493adf…
02-17 21:22:59	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on february 18	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf9af00…
02-16 18:14:13	bitcoin above 70k on february 17	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xdff336…
02-15 16:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x74499d…
02-15 15:49:21	xrp up or down february 15 10am et	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x441ae6…
02-15 15:41:35	xrp up or down february 15 10am et	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x5dd479…
02-15 15:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffa21f…
02-15 14:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x23474b…
02-15 14:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x3b5a64…
02-15 14:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x12a937…
02-15 13:55:03	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8bbbf3…
02-15 13:38:59	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x66295f…
02-15 12:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x24c13e…
02-15 12:55:39	xrp up or down february 15 7am et	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe91225…
02-15 12:50:09	xrp up or down february 15 7am et	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x745f9f…
02-15 12:34:11	solana up or down february 15 7am et	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x2884a6…
02-15 12:32:49	solana up or down february 15 7am et	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1fcccb…
02-15 12:12:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf3ddfa…
02-15 11:54:05	ethereum up or down february 15 6am et	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xd90273…
02-15 11:53:29	ethereum up or down february 15 6am et	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9fec20…
02-15 11:44:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xec564e…
02-15 11:26:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x243f98…
02-15 11:24:15	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0c8812…
01-25 11:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	110	76¢	$84	0xc2b245…
01-25 11:28:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x4c349f…
01-25 11:27:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0x7f6ec0…
01-25 11:27:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa59bac…
01-25 11:27:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x2facd2…
01-25 11:23:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	80¢	$40	0xb884ec…
01-25 11:23:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	80¢	$28	0x9c9175…
01-25 11:14:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xa7904b…
01-25 11:10:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x0dac9e…
01-25 10:52:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x5f7436…
01-25 10:49:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xcb44d4…
01-25 10:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8eca8e…
01-25 10:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x39bb8b…
01-25 09:56:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbe4c66…
01-25 09:52:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x64a587…
01-25 09:43:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3d0ad9…
01-25 09:42:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x28ed44…
01-25 09:41:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x847be7…
01-25 09:22:30	xrp up or down on january 25	Down	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x4edb76…
01-25 09:07:06	xrp up or down on january 25	Down	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x964aff…
01-24 20:50:16	bitcoin up or down january 24 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x947e6f…
01-24 20:47:00	bitcoin up or down january 24 3pm et	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x3a422f…
01-24 20:46:14	bitcoin up or down january 24 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x138c48…
01-24 20:36:42	bitcoin up or down january 24 3pm et	Up	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xeb2e0e…
01-24 20:35:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6b2e4b…
01-24 20:29:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x418f9e…
01-24 20:13:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x294306…
01-24 20:07:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	103	87¢	$90	0x8faf8f…
01-24 19:49:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	68	78¢	$54	0x4a99ea…
01-24 19:43:58	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x79f01e…