Shameless-Rail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

698

Trades

1,910

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-28 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

76% 81% -$2,926

Crypto

24% 20% -$402

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	31	$2.9K	17,400	4,400	+13,000	Yes	-$1,506	09-16 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	21	$1.2K	1,290	0	+1,290	Yes	+$96	08-12 07:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.1K	8,675	0	+8,675	No	-$1,135	09-16 14:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	20	$601	400	315	+85	Down	+$48	08-28 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?	3	$498	528	0	+528	Yes	+$30	08-14 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 12?	12	$491	421	92	+328	Yes	+$14	08-12 05:44
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	6	$374	600	600	+0	Yes	-$82	06-12 07:09
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	5	$295	500	0	+500	Over	+$205	07-07 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	4	$285	300	0	+300	Yes	+$15	08-12 07:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$283	5,998	0	+5,998	No	-$283	10-28 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?	9	$277	198	198	+0	No	-$82	08-14 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	7	$251	156	156	+0	Yes	-$54	08-18 06:27
bitcoin up or down march 4 11pm et	4	$210	108	108	+0	Up	+$3	03-05 05:39
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	2	$208	106	106	+0	Down	+$3	03-05 06:03
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	2	$205	500	0	+500	Uzbekistan	+$295	06-08 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 16?	1	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	08-16 08:59
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	14	$195	500	0	+500	Spain	-$195	06-08 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	3	$194	200	200	+0	No	-$165	08-12 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 15?	5	$194	200	0	+200	No	+$6	08-15 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?	4	$192	200	0	+200	Yes	+$8	08-14 08:20
Spread: France (-1.5)	8	$185	600	0	+600	France	-$185	06-08 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	1	$184	200	0	+200	Yes	+$16	08-13 06:43
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$152	200	200	+0	Belgium	-$60	07-07 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?	4	$148	158	0	+158	Yes	+$10	08-14 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	2	$139	150	0	+150	Yes	+$11	08-12 05:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:00 UTC	27	$128	638	0	+638	Up	+$10	07-28 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	2	$124	140	0	+140	Yes	+$16	08-10 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 08:00 UTC	58	$120	600	0	+600	Down	+$80	07-28 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	4	$110	100	100	+0	No	-$64	08-12 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 14?	3	$106	115	0	+115	Yes	+$8	08-14 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:43:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,445	5¢	$209	0xd859db…
10-28 10:42:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x6b091b…
10-28 10:42:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	5¢	$21	0x99d891…
10-28 10:41:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	998	5¢	$48	0x13764e…
09-16 17:54:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,000	14¢	$420	0xd9905c…
09-16 17:53:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4,000	14¢	$560	0xc2fb86…
09-16 14:18:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,000	12¢	$480	0xc8b417…
09-16 14:04:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,375	12¢	$1,005	0x568129…
09-16 14:03:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	12¢	$600	0xbd5c70…
09-16 13:55:07	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x8dd396…
09-16 13:47:15	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe99f92…
09-16 13:46:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	263	11¢	$29	0xdf481a…
09-16 13:45:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x893f57…
09-16 13:45:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x82a3fc…
09-16 13:45:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x84bd8f…
09-16 13:45:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x770453…
09-16 13:45:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xf831c4…
09-16 13:44:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xd6fad4…
09-16 13:44:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	430	11¢	$47	0x592c51…
09-16 13:44:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,680	11¢	$295	0x33347e…
09-16 13:44:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x2c1382…
09-16 13:43:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x003c6e…
09-16 13:42:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe8982c…
09-16 13:42:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x4cd2bf…
09-16 13:41:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	446	11¢	$49	0x5fe773…
09-16 13:41:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x33c76d…
09-16 13:41:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x7fef69…
09-16 13:41:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	502	11¢	$55	0x0b0391…
09-16 13:40:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x9264e7…
09-16 13:40:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xc2c64a…
09-16 13:40:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x1054da…
09-16 13:39:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x78b466…
09-16 13:39:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x123389…
09-16 13:39:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe79a75…
09-16 13:39:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x5a227f…
09-10 12:46:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	400	39¢	$156	0x4a873e…
09-01 10:32:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x846879…
09-01 08:12:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x199495…
08-31 14:43:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x741bf1…
08-31 14:28:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x64e5d7…
08-31 06:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf8fcf2…
08-30 09:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x1ae410…
08-30 09:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x524a51…
08-30 09:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4b6edd…
08-28 11:59:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0ff145…
08-28 11:56:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x42b588…
08-28 10:55:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc135a3…
08-28 06:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x8dbbbd…
08-28 05:08:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x4e8f27…
08-28 04:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x6f5c71…
08-28 04:39:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x9d76b4…
08-28 04:39:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0x926c4e…
08-28 04:39:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x5e6d68…
08-28 04:39:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x1915a6…
08-28 04:39:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xc84a0a…
08-28 04:39:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xc9bac5…
08-28 04:36:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x1bdb04…
08-28 04:36:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x102f29…
08-28 04:36:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xb601e5…
08-28 04:35:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x4e1c89…
08-28 04:35:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x96f119…
08-28 04:35:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x595426…
08-28 04:35:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xec1fa0…
08-28 04:35:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xf12854…
08-28 04:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xcc174f…
08-28 04:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x5f42e8…
08-28 04:35:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xb9f0cd…
08-28 04:35:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x6c2552…
08-28 04:33:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	400	80¢	$319	0x3d119a…
08-28 04:06:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x7412fc…
08-27 09:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xef53ee…
08-19 15:30:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd51476…
08-19 15:21:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd24ca1…
08-19 15:21:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x37396e…
08-19 15:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x545409…
08-19 14:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfd148a…
08-19 14:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xa9cbba…
08-19 14:50:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa7c6ce…
08-19 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf97ba9…
08-19 14:38:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x69d8a7…
08-19 14:24:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x859ca0…
08-19 14:03:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd88207…
08-19 13:58:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc2775a…
08-19 13:31:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc4de0b…
08-19 13:22:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x81d8f6…
08-19 13:22:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9123f4…
08-19 13:22:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6ae187…
08-19 13:22:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x4b6e99…
08-19 13:21:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x254fec…
08-19 13:03:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x57f802…
08-19 13:03:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc72759…
08-19 12:53:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x8be55b…
08-19 12:53:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x692bf1…
08-19 12:53:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x27970d…
08-19 12:33:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xd16167…
08-19 12:33:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb5c263…
08-19 12:25:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x9b7514…
08-19 12:05:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x11858e…
08-19 11:49:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcc711f…
08-19 11:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf1c316…