Lost-Rain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

730

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-16 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 86% +$7

Sports

4% 50% +$8

Politics

2% 60% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 5m 1773713100	2	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	03-17 02:08
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 8am et	6	$73	49	48	+0	open	—	03-19 13:10
btc updown 5m 1774919700	3	$44	119	118	+1	open	—	03-31 01:16
btc updown 5m 1773618900	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	03-16 00:00
sol updown 5m 1773753000	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-17 13:14
btc updown 5m 1773619500	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-16 00:10
sol updown 5m 1773713400	2	$18	18	17	+0	open	—	03-17 02:12
btc updown 5m 1773621300	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	03-16 00:40
btc updown 15m 1773948600	2	$16	16	15	+0	open	—	03-19 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+1	open	—	04-27 16:40
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$14	12	12	+0	Joshua Van	+$4	05-10 03:44
sol updown 5m 1773753600	2	$14	12	11	+0	open	—	03-17 13:22
btc updown 5m 1773837600	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	03-18 12:45
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$14	29	29	+0	Sean Strickland	$-0	05-10 03:44
sol updown 5m 1773710400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-17 01:22
btc updown 5m 1773615900	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	03-15 23:10
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$13	17	17	+0	Timberwolves	+$5	05-11 01:30
sol updown 5m 1776076500	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 21:57
btc updown 15m 1774010700	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776038400	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-13 00:04
btc updown 5m 1773913200	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-19 09:43
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$11	7	7	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$3	05-10 03:44
btc updown 5m 1776039300	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-13 00:17
sol updown 5m 1773651900	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-16 09:10
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$9	7	7	+0	No	+$5	05-08 02:38
btc updown 5m 1776255300	2	$9	15	14	+1	open	—	04-15 12:19
btc updown 5m 1774300500	3	$9	12	6	+6	open	—	03-23 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$8	14	13	+1	open	—	04-27 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 13:30:15	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2c8a6e…
05-16 13:29:50	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Nikolay Veretennikov	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb16900…
05-11 01:30:07	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x37cff3…
05-11 00:36:38	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xa85b9d…
05-10 23:38:51	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbc7dca…
05-10 23:35:40	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x20e545…
05-10 23:24:23	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x9d634a…
05-10 23:23:08	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe2e515…
05-10 23:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x752c8e…
05-10 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9ae5d5…
05-10 03:44:36	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xaed894…
05-10 03:44:29	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x8f38e8…
05-10 03:44:15	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc89a7b…
05-10 03:44:06	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	12	76¢	$10	0x8dc8cc…
05-09 11:54:12	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x808a93…
05-09 11:53:53	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd6b7a0…
05-09 11:53:26	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jeremy Stephens	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa42d2f…
05-09 11:51:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0xa4fd0b…
05-08 02:38:52	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa7b698…
05-08 02:38:41	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa7359b…
05-08 02:38:31	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x37a594…
05-07 13:23:50	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb4038b…
05-07 13:19:01	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1dda8e…
05-07 13:17:16	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfdb7e8…
05-07 13:01:45	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x36e14b…
05-07 13:01:07	Will Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0dbcb8…
05-06 12:49:26	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x00743c…
05-06 12:45:06	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb000e3…
05-06 12:44:44	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfff632…
05-06 09:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x4f5954…
05-06 09:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb8eaea…
05-05 23:24:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x38ae4d…
05-05 23:22:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1cba19…
05-05 10:55:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcfb284…
05-05 10:41:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x97363d…
05-04 16:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x58079a…
05-04 16:56:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xed2647…
04-30 12:36:26	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf3a868…
04-29 18:37:38	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xcdd9af…
04-27 21:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x0eb7ee…
04-27 21:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8a458e…
04-27 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x40a52b…
04-27 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xc706d6…
04-27 16:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x06d31f…
04-27 16:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcf2715…
04-27 12:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xcb774b…
04-27 12:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x48cc31…
04-25 13:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf97d2d…
04-25 13:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x95281f…
04-25 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xff092c…
04-24 09:25:58	btc updown 5m 1777022700	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3a8a0f…
04-22 11:09:14	btc updown 5m 1776855900	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe396d7…
04-22 11:08:40	btc updown 5m 1776855900	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x658a1b…
04-22 11:03:22	btc updown 5m 1776855600	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xba3f87…
04-22 10:59:24	btc updown 5m 1776855600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xec7558…
04-22 10:22:56	btc updown 5m 1776853200	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xc347ff…
04-22 10:21:56	btc updown 5m 1776853200	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x48c784…
04-22 10:15:16	btc updown 5m 1776852900	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xa4f7cf…
04-21 13:25:20	btc updown 5m 1776777600	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x707eb0…
04-21 13:21:44	btc updown 5m 1776777600	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x4174e3…
04-21 01:14:42	btc updown 5m 1776734100	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf562bd…
04-20 23:24:58	btc updown 5m 1776727500	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xfa32ea…
04-20 23:22:12	btc updown 5m 1776727500	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xdcbba6…
04-20 22:12:48	btc updown 5m 1776723000	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x96a6a7…
04-20 22:11:12	btc updown 5m 1776723000	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x21b306…
04-20 21:55:46	btc updown 5m 1776722400	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfb2b27…
04-20 21:45:40	btc updown 5m 1776721500	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xb7900e…
04-20 21:44:30	btc updown 5m 1776721500	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xedb522…
04-20 00:04:56	btc updown 5m 1776643200	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x808986…
04-19 23:59:18	btc updown 5m 1776643200	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x5a193d…
04-19 18:56:46	btc updown 5m 1776624600	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb4c3d8…
04-19 18:49:18	btc updown 5m 1776624600	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x83dc31…
04-19 18:34:52	btc updown 5m 1776623400	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x961458…
04-19 18:27:18	btc updown 5m 1776623400	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xb4cb11…
04-19 16:55:44	btc updown 5m 1776617400	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5fd6ea…
04-19 16:49:56	btc updown 5m 1776617400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x39a6b2…
04-19 16:47:34	btc updown 5m 1776617100	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x9695ed…
04-19 16:45:36	btc updown 5m 1776617100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1405ba…
04-17 12:18:44	btc updown 5m 1776428100	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x2bfeb4…
04-17 12:16:14	btc updown 5m 1776428100	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x61cb30…
04-17 10:59:58	btc updown 5m 1776423300	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x81a040…
04-17 10:58:36	btc updown 5m 1776423300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4a5978…
04-17 10:25:34	btc updown 5m 1776421200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf39103…
04-17 10:20:28	btc updown 5m 1776421200	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbb36cc…
04-17 09:20:54	btc updown 5m 1776417600	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x526a93…
04-15 12:21:06	btc updown 5m 1776255600	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x3658cd…
04-15 12:20:22	btc updown 5m 1776255600	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd86db9…
04-15 12:19:24	btc updown 5m 1776255300	Up	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xe2d9e7…
04-15 12:19:12	btc updown 5m 1776255300	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc2fdc3…
04-15 12:15:34	btc updown 15m 1776255300	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x567b13…
04-15 12:10:22	btc updown 15m 1776255300	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3e03f8…
04-15 12:01:28	btc updown 5m 1776254400	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xdced8e…
04-15 11:58:34	btc updown 5m 1776254400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x06a6b4…
04-15 11:03:24	btc updown 5m 1776251100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x854161…
04-14 12:00:31	btc updown 5m 1776167700	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdf3f87…
04-14 11:54:43	btc updown 5m 1776167700	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x94b8c1…
04-14 11:44:23	btc updown 5m 1776166800	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x087ff8…
04-14 11:39:49	btc updown 5m 1776166800	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2f74d8…
04-14 11:38:31	btc updown 5m 1776166500	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x8f3668…
04-14 11:34:55	btc updown 5m 1776166500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3d8ce0…