Stiff-Sediment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

889

Trades

2,433

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-27 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 79% -$23

Other

1% 67% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 527 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:40 UTC	6	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 15:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	6	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	10-14 15:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:05 UTC	6	$30	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	10-14 16:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	6	$29	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	10-14 16:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:05 UTC	4	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 15:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 18:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	4	$21	15	14	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 17:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	4	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 16:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	4	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 17:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	4	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 18:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:50 UTC	4	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	10-14 17:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:35 UTC	4	$20	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	10-14 17:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$20	11	11	+0	Down	$0	10-20 14:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:40 UTC	4	$19	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	10-14 17:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	6	$18	14	14	+0	Down	$0	10-15 03:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$17	16	9	+7	Down	-$4	10-21 04:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	13	$16	16	13	+4	Up	-$6	10-16 04:18
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$16	12	6	+5	Up	+$1	10-20 06:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	14	$15	13	9	+4	Down	+$1	10-15 20:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:25 UTC	4	$15	22	22	+0	Up	-$5	10-14 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	10-20 09:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	12	$14	13	10	+3	Up	-$1	10-15 20:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	-$6	10-22 11:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:55 UTC	11	$14	9	9	+0	Down	$0	10-15 05:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:20 UTC	7	$13	13	11	+2	Up	-$1	10-15 00:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	11	$13	10	10	+0	Down	-$3	10-25 00:36
wti closes above 94 on october 14 2026	6	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	10-14 22:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	4	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	10-15 04:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	4	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-15 03:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$12	9	4	+4	Down	+$0	10-20 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd2bb26…
10-27 08:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa12864…
10-27 08:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x607d93…
10-27 08:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x237c27…
10-27 08:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfac90d…
10-27 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf04a68…
10-27 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd10eb4…
10-27 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbd7ef3…
10-27 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba62cf…
10-27 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2868ab…
10-27 07:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe64ab1…
10-27 07:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd0a4a4…
10-27 07:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xba8fb7…
10-27 07:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c8b18…
10-27 07:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc17e8a…
10-27 07:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbaf9e7…
10-27 07:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x839602…
10-27 07:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfdb6b4…
10-27 07:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7c055e…
10-27 07:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x707a07…
10-27 07:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x07d42f…
10-27 06:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x90950c…
10-27 06:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe02bc0…
10-27 06:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcc5f1f…
10-27 06:48:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe53d9a…
10-27 06:48:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d109c…
10-27 06:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb4ac75…
10-27 06:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xada18f…
10-27 06:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x364a1b…
10-27 06:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x42f770…
10-27 06:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd22daf…
10-27 06:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x92885f…
10-27 06:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x51cb12…
10-27 06:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31bcd8…
10-27 06:25:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x31fde4…
10-27 06:25:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaa27b5…
10-27 06:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b325c…
10-27 06:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xed21f4…
10-27 06:22:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3f98a…
10-27 06:22:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80c36a…
10-27 06:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd0dcf…
10-27 06:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1e058…
10-27 06:17:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x23161d…
10-27 06:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19afe6…
10-27 06:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb094f2…
10-27 06:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf94b57…
10-27 06:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe52370…
10-27 06:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x360181…
10-27 06:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x072ba8…
10-27 05:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x537d40…
10-27 05:31:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6691ce…
10-27 05:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2683e0…
10-27 05:06:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe2e6e1…
10-27 05:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8e77cc…
10-27 05:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4ca984…
10-27 04:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdeeb64…
10-27 04:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3cabdc…
10-27 04:48:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x598b9f…
10-27 04:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ca5ea…
10-27 04:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5973a6…
10-27 04:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xacbae7…
10-27 04:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x508c95…
10-27 04:17:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe800e7…
10-27 04:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x226a3e…
10-27 04:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeca303…
10-27 04:17:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f9e51…
10-27 04:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x929464…
10-27 04:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x816d88…
10-27 04:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2a3d31…
10-27 03:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb5b1b…
10-27 03:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f2f1c…
10-27 03:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x74fe2c…
10-27 03:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0dedb2…
10-27 00:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbad58f…
10-27 00:36:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x88b392…
10-27 00:36:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xec2831…
10-27 00:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x60ee3f…
10-27 00:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x141ec2…
10-27 00:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x24a0b4…
10-26 23:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x40e4c0…
10-26 23:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd7425e…
10-26 23:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa14ea7…
10-26 23:38:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9fa1ad…
10-26 23:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6482b2…
10-26 23:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x38ea34…
10-26 23:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe0b4b4…
10-26 23:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb7d2e4…
10-26 22:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb0d7d1…
10-26 22:41:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd4951c…
10-26 22:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x87469d…
10-26 22:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa1112a…
10-26 22:33:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca2298…
10-26 22:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x3a58ad…
10-26 22:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9383c5…
10-26 22:31:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8fd1d1…
10-26 22:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x51775b…
10-26 22:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89f51d…
10-26 22:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x583f1b…
10-26 22:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x877fc2…
10-26 22:16:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x76784a…