Stale-Straw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$418

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 08-23 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

53% 25% -$296

Sports

39% 57% -$33

Crypto

8% 0% -$88

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	2	$588	676	676	+0	No	-$412	06-29 22:25
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	1	$400	500	0	+500	Thunder	+$100	05-22 23:05
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	1	$350	473	0	+473	Yes	+$123	06-27 21:53
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$250	446	0	+446	Knicks	-$250	05-23 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	7	$172	439	439	+0	Down	-$88	06-21 14:02
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	6	$103	120	120	+0	No	-$7	08-23 15:37
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	1	$100	189	0	+189	Over	+$89	05-22 22:52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$68	100	0	+100	Knicks	+$32	05-19 23:02
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	2	$59	50	50	+0	No	-$4	08-21 20:09
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$50	77	0	+77	England	+$27	07-01 16:59
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$30	46	0	+46	Knicks	+$16	05-21 22:58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	1	$20	34	0	+34	No	-$20	05-19 19:01
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	1	$20	29	0	+29	Under	-$20	05-21 22:57
will warsh say prediction or predictive during jackson hole speech on august 28	2	$9	15	15	+0	No	$0	08-21 20:09
atp perrica zandsch 2026 08 03	2	$2	2	2	+0	Botic van de Zandschulp	+$0	08-04 21:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-05 02:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	08-06 13:33
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	$0	07-07 01:11
atp shang rublev 2026 08 04	2	$2	2	2	+0	Juncheng Shang	$0	08-04 21:18
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	2	$1	500	500	+0	No	$0	05-08 15:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-26 02:04
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	1	$1	500	0	+500	Yes	-$1	06-18 22:52
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	06-17 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 15:37:57	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x1a1a1b…
08-22 11:51:01	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xc72cc4…
08-22 11:02:04	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x6dc398…
08-22 08:43:46	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x4010c1…
08-21 20:09:19	will warsh say prediction or predictive during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xeb8c80…
08-21 20:09:18	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x576d27…
08-21 18:00:09	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x56d544…
08-21 16:22:19	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x8e2247…
08-21 16:15:48	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfb0f1e…
08-21 07:21:46	will warsh say prediction or predictive during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x490be1…
08-06 13:33:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x8edf1e…
08-06 13:33:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc0fd53…
08-04 21:18:14	atp shang rublev 2026 08 04	Juncheng Shang	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x150f13…
08-04 21:17:36	atp shang rublev 2026 08 04	Juncheng Shang	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x912fab…
08-04 21:17:02	atp perrica zandsch 2026 08 03	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xe4561e…
08-04 21:14:11	atp perrica zandsch 2026 08 03	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xedbc71…
07-07 01:11:34	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xf55df4…
07-07 01:10:50	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x879e6d…
07-05 02:06:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa1c310…
07-05 02:06:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbda279…
07-01 16:59:25	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xbb95cf…
06-29 22:25:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	676	13¢	$88	0x16b95c…
06-28 23:07:05	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0x7f685c…
06-27 21:53:05	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	473	74¢	$350	0x25179d…
06-21 14:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	439	10¢	$42	0x046a23…
06-21 14:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x893aa8…
06-21 14:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x77af6f…
06-21 14:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x60e2a4…
06-21 14:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x114d03…
06-21 14:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfc7c02…
06-21 14:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xaed945…
06-18 22:52:23	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x456edc…
06-17 13:43:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc201e5…
05-23 12:22:12	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	446	56¢	$250	0xbff68e…
05-22 23:05:52	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xb2a268…
05-22 22:52:53	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xbb3a46…
05-21 22:58:05	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xc109ca…
05-21 22:57:48	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x38a94d…
05-19 23:02:45	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xcd072f…
05-19 19:01:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xfe8852…
05-08 15:10:55	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xf3606c…
05-08 15:10:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x69e6d7…
04-26 02:04:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x550366…