Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
52.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
443
lifetime
Volume
$4.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$217
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-03 14:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
78% 80% +$3
Other
16% 100% +$5
Crypto
4%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 90¢ $181 +$7 06-30 11:02
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 06-12 16:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -7 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 22:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 15:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-7 94¢ $-5 +$2 06-13 12:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 09:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +20 $11 16¢ $3 $-8 06-16 21:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +50 $4 $2 $-2 06-09 11:30
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +22 $4 $0 $-4 06-08 11:52