Celebrated-Amazement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$4.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-20 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

77% 80% +$3

Other

15% 100% +$5

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	17	$374	707	420	+287	open	—	06-13 17:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 17:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	7	$220	150	242	-92	open	—	05-23 09:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$189	145	145	+0	No	$-4	05-07 20:48
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$161	165	115	+50	open	—	07-07 02:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$145	146	146	+0	open	—	06-01 17:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	10	$128	60	80	-20	open	—	05-21 17:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$125	1,060	1,090	-30	open	—	05-25 22:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$107	56	56	+0	open	—	05-18 15:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	7	$96	70	70	+0	open	—	06-04 16:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$92	236	236	+0	open	—	05-23 20:23
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$88	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	05-01 08:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$85	80	80	+0	open	—	05-26 15:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$81	54	60	-6	open	—	06-15 04:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	6	$80	50	70	-20	open	—	05-29 19:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$76	150	130	+20	open	—	05-25 20:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 06:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	4	$76	120	60	+60	open	—	06-12 17:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$75	40	46	-6	open	—	06-13 12:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	5	$68	40	40	+0	open	—	06-10 04:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	4	$62	80	60	+20	open	—	06-10 22:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 21:50
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	8	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	06-17 07:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	05-23 09:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	4	$48	120	120	+0	open	—	05-29 22:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	7	$45	100	100	+0	open	—	05-31 20:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	6	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	06-14 21:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	05-26 06:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	06-09 13:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	2	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	05-31 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:36:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x3d5a91…
07-15 06:43:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf7b818…
07-14 21:34:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x653267…
07-11 23:58:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x081f15…
07-09 15:16:47	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0b42d5…
07-08 17:26:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x8fe326…
07-07 02:27:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xddcb67…
07-07 01:52:35	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4ab416…
07-06 23:57:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xd7de17…
07-06 23:38:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x313c9c…
07-06 23:32:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x8b2c29…
07-06 22:36:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x1befee…
07-06 21:14:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x91708c…
07-06 21:14:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x2508ae…
07-06 19:59:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x339c33…
07-06 18:50:34	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92dca5…
07-05 21:34:04	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5d19c0…
07-05 19:17:34	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x7f4811…
07-05 19:10:08	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x589a67…
07-05 13:57:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x6193cf…
07-03 14:26:37	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x053e2b…
07-03 13:00:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb56706…
07-03 08:02:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc06642…
07-02 17:02:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xd549e4…
07-02 15:52:52	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x0dab71…
07-02 15:40:14	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x12f35e…
07-02 14:53:46	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7bcc96…
07-02 14:28:07	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1783b2…
07-02 14:22:07	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x98bfc8…
06-30 18:44:02	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa322fd…
06-30 11:02:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x167ca2…
06-28 14:59:16	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xa2482b…
06-27 11:52:40	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x0f0efe…
06-27 03:33:20	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b9e64…
06-27 03:30:31	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x112521…
06-27 03:00:23	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf764c3…
06-26 20:35:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x020c60…
06-26 11:34:41	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7052b3…
06-25 15:04:40	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x413209…
06-24 22:04:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xef9eeb…
06-24 22:02:50	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x989103…
06-23 18:56:11	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x10cb8f…
06-23 18:24:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xba7ae5…
06-23 16:55:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7e5d8c…
06-23 16:53:55	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x65290f…
06-21 20:29:28	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x329187…
06-21 20:06:13	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb1090e…
06-21 17:59:53	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x10e85e…
06-21 17:38:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x26132a…
06-21 17:34:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xcecc85…
06-21 17:10:50	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3d4f22…
06-21 17:05:40	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xdbda4f…
06-21 16:59:25	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4f0d6b…
06-20 15:40:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xebcaa7…
06-17 12:18:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9e2beb…
06-17 07:46:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xb7946f…
06-17 04:43:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x20562c…
06-17 04:43:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x46e79c…
06-17 04:19:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x45d5fc…
06-17 04:13:32	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x3046ac…
06-17 00:47:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x061ec5…
06-16 21:56:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe480ba…
06-16 21:44:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x589d13…
06-16 21:43:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa7242c…
06-16 21:41:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6d002a…
06-16 21:32:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x51ceb4…
06-16 18:07:34	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x75dd09…
06-16 17:29:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x8b5623…
06-16 17:28:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x111b9e…
06-16 17:26:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x779c4e…
06-16 07:37:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xb5ff08…
06-15 04:23:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x24ebb6…
06-14 21:36:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa99077…
06-14 21:31:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe8b6fe…
06-14 21:02:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1f34c7…
06-14 18:16:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x4f938b…
06-14 12:46:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x3636d7…
06-14 12:44:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x213237…
06-14 12:44:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xc20600…
06-14 12:44:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4360b6…
06-14 06:16:16	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xae79c5…
06-13 20:38:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xed4b8d…
06-13 20:37:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x52ec89…
06-13 20:18:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x565837…
06-13 20:07:52	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4c4ff4…
06-13 20:07:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x5df577…
06-13 17:06:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x08cedc…
06-13 16:57:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x5996a9…
06-13 16:53:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe5f0d8…
06-13 16:52:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xac557e…
06-13 13:52:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xd8ceae…
06-13 13:49:33	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x65e763…
06-13 13:48:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2d5bd4…
06-13 12:16:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0xfafea3…
06-13 12:12:54	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe7f9f9…
06-13 12:08:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x82a2d3…
06-13 04:06:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x2ff8c2…
06-12 22:16:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x69f48f…
06-12 21:41:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd5f791…
06-12 21:38:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xe08454…