Celebrated-Amazement 0xc585e3…e1188f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
52.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
370
lifetime
Volume
$3.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$129
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 06-13 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
80% 80% +$3
Other
16% 100% +$5
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -40 $-31 94¢ $-37 $-7 06-05 09:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +50 $12 22¢ $11 $-1 06-12 21:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $7 55¢ $11 +$4 06-11 21:14
Trump out as President by June 30? No -10 $-9 99¢ $-9 +$0 06-09 10:46
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +10 $8 74¢ $7 $-0 06-12 16:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 14¢ $7 +$2 06-12 06:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $12 6¢ $6 $-6 06-12 17:54
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -7 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 06-09 14:02
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 15:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-07 22:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-7 90¢ $-5 +$2 06-13 12:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 09:06
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-13 13:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 $-0 06-09 11:30
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? Yes -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-13 12:12
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +22 $4 8¢ $2 $-2 06-08 11:52