Reasonable-Gear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-20 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 33% +$36

Politics

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773444600	2	$160	85	85	+0	open	—	03-13 23:35
btc updown 5m 1773444300	2	$137	78	77	+1	open	—	03-13 23:30
btc updown 5m 1773532200	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	03-14 23:55
btc updown 5m 1773524700	2	$98	79	78	+1	open	—	03-14 21:49
btc updown 5m 1773444000	2	$98	63	62	+1	open	—	03-13 23:25
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	2	$93	83	83	+0	open	—	02-27 20:48
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$88	390	390	+0	open	—	03-18 00:25
btc updown 5m 1773526200	2	$79	61	60	+1	open	—	03-14 22:15
btc updown 5m 1773347100	2	$66	39	39	+0	open	—	03-12 20:30
btc updown 5m 1773305700	3	$63	74	13	+61	open	—	03-12 09:00
btc updown 5m 1773444900	2	$61	86	85	+1	open	—	03-13 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$57	54	54	+0	Up	+$45	05-13 06:30
btc updown 5m 1773651000	3	$48	143	43	+100	open	—	03-16 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$46	130	38	+92	open	—	05-15 09:08
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	03-17 22:06
btc updown 5m 1773836100	4	$37	39	39	+0	open	—	03-18 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$36	60	35	+25	Up	+$14	05-13 06:19
btc updown 5m 1773794400	5	$35	66	35	+31	open	—	03-18 00:43
btc updown 5m 1773795000	2	$32	28	28	+0	open	—	03-18 00:55
btc updown 5m 1772330100	3	$31	2,017	17	+2,000	open	—	03-01 02:00
btc updown 5m 1773525900	1	$30	98	0	+98	open	—	03-14 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$28	167	56	+112	open	—	05-18 11:09
btc updown 5m 1773422100	2	$27	24	23	+0	open	—	03-13 17:20
btc updown 5m 1773264600	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-11 21:35
btc updown 5m 1773305100	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	03-12 08:50
btc updown 5m 1773414000	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	03-13 15:05
btc updown 5m 1773860100	4	$25	25	24	+0	open	—	03-18 19:00
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	4	$23	453	0	+453	open	—	03-13 15:13
btc updown 5m 1773793500	1	$23	95	0	+95	open	—	03-18 00:26
btc updown 5m 1772329800	2	$22	14	13	+0	open	—	03-01 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 20:31:34	btc updown 5m 1784579400	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x5396a2…
07-20 20:29:33	btc updown 5m 1784579100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf3f6b6…
07-19 22:45:28	btc updown 5m 1784501100	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb2cb06…
07-19 22:44:18	btc updown 5m 1784500800	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x30ecfb…
07-19 22:40:54	btc updown 5m 1784500800	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x700164…
07-19 22:39:55	btc updown 5m 1784500500	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4042e7…
07-19 22:39:45	btc updown 5m 1784500500	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x624fa9…
07-19 22:36:28	btc updown 5m 1784500500	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x76ba86…
07-19 21:35:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaab2fb…
07-16 21:48:58	btc updown 5m 1784238300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1ac35e…
07-16 21:47:35	btc updown 5m 1784238300	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd1c55f…
07-16 21:47:07	btc updown 5m 1784238300	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf18d40…
07-16 21:24:25	btc updown 5m 1784236800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe9388c…
07-16 21:24:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x2c6fa2…
07-16 21:23:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x907634…
06-03 19:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x33a3c2…
06-02 16:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfe152e…
06-02 16:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x2a911f…
06-02 16:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x701e87…
05-18 12:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x710e12…
05-18 12:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa6a1d2…
05-18 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ee3d3…
05-18 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x7418bb…
05-18 12:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfb3d76…
05-18 12:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x24868d…
05-18 11:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcc8a99…
05-18 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c285e…
05-18 11:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf2f6c6…
05-18 11:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x527f1c…
05-18 11:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8b7d31…
05-18 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8185e2…
05-18 11:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6b29fa…
05-18 11:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe567af…
05-18 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xee7219…
05-18 11:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	56	35¢	$19	0x51872b…
05-18 11:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2a5412…
05-15 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x779c30…
05-15 09:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x93b5c4…
05-15 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0b531b…
05-15 09:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xe8cf4d…
05-15 09:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x6d44c6…
05-15 09:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x8f7dea…
05-15 09:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa7cc01…
05-15 09:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5f1390…
05-15 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc078c0…
05-15 09:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3158c0…
05-15 09:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x570891…
05-15 09:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7e887f…
05-15 09:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf7790e…
05-15 09:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x379512…
05-15 09:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc53eee…
05-15 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0xdb1827…
05-15 09:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd2e9c3…
05-15 09:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x43ec5a…
05-15 09:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8b3395…
05-15 09:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2a673a…
05-13 08:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3f2624…
05-13 06:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x55a2af…
05-13 06:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x35d901…
05-13 06:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xdd0dbf…
05-13 06:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8d7276…
05-13 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xbc8910…
05-13 06:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd9b394…
05-13 06:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x01e80d…
05-13 06:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x329c61…
05-13 06:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x25f1be…
05-13 06:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x027d47…
05-13 06:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xee5132…
05-13 06:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x59c999…
05-13 06:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd9296a…
05-13 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0xd2c73e…
05-13 06:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x46559f…
05-13 06:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0x110551…
05-13 06:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6cb9be…
05-13 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ea6c6…
05-12 14:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x13e794…
05-12 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcb2d06…
05-12 14:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x7fa1d0…
05-12 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5d97e5…
05-12 12:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xacce39…
05-12 12:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xaca053…
05-12 10:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdacf2e…
03-18 20:57:15	btc updown 5m 1773867300	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xa05b1d…
03-18 20:42:19	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 ata1	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x171c5b…
03-18 20:40:05	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xdac020…
03-18 19:21:33	btc updown 5m 1773861600	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6a6cb9…
03-18 19:19:21	btc updown 5m 1773861300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c7ec7…
03-18 19:18:13	btc updown 5m 1773861300	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xef43e8…
03-18 19:13:15	btc updown 5m 1773861000	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xba73e4…
03-18 19:12:07	btc updown 5m 1773861000	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xca04f3…
03-18 19:09:55	btc updown 5m 1773860700	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x72455d…
03-18 19:09:01	btc updown 5m 1773860700	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$4	0x99b1b1…
03-18 19:07:57	btc updown 5m 1773860700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x279959…
03-18 19:03:11	btc updown 5m 1773860400	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5ad555…
03-18 19:02:33	btc updown 5m 1773860400	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xbcc772…
03-18 19:00:59	btc updown 5m 1773860400	Down	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xa7d69e…
03-18 19:00:25	btc updown 5m 1773860100	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe0ae47…
03-18 18:57:57	btc updown 5m 1773860100	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa26611…
03-18 18:56:57	btc updown 5m 1773860100	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xf5cfe2…
03-18 18:56:21	btc updown 5m 1773860100	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd25bd4…