Squiggly-Authorisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

742

Trades

1,055

lifetime

Volume

$77.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 08-13 05:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 59% -$1,766

Politics

11% 44% -$2,365

Other

9% 20% -$821

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$2.0K	1,112	1,112	+0	No	+$119	03-31 22:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$2.0K	4,586	4,586	+0	No	-$37	04-02 19:33
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	4	$2.0K	14,268	0	+14,268	Yes	-$1,962	03-22 21:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$2.0K	10,094	10,094	+0	No	-$1,144	04-07 22:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.9K	1,219	1,219	+0	Yes	+$12	04-04 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC	3	$1.9K	1,975	103	+1,872	Down	+$29	08-12 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,594	0	+1,594	Up	+$20	05-07 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:50 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,554	0	+1,554	Down	+$29	04-06 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$1.3K	1,729	0	+1,729	Up	+$379	05-07 22:35
will the us next strike iran on march 30 2026 et	2	$1.2K	46,141	46,102	+40	No	-$580	02-23 13:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$1.1K	3,051	3,051	+0	open	—	07-17 01:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$1.0K	3,875	3,875	+0	No	-$176	03-21 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:10 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,038	0	+1,038	Up	+$38	04-11 00:14
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	1	$1000	1,861	0	+1,861	Yes	+$861	07-25 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,092	0	+1,092	Up	+$92	04-11 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,022	0	+1,022	Up	+$22	04-11 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:40 UTC	5	$918	1,646	0	+1,646	Up	+$714	04-06 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC	2	$900	943	0	+943	Up	+$43	04-10 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:50 UTC	2	$899	959	0	+959	Down	-$15	02-22 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:25 UTC	2	$880	910	0	+910	Up	+$30	04-05 14:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$866	6,221	6,221	+0	No	-$318	03-17 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:30 UTC	1	$862	900	0	+900	Up	+$38	02-22 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 23:05 UTC	3	$805	975	0	+975	Up	+$170	04-10 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:20 UTC	3	$784	816	0	+816	Up	-$17	04-05 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:35 UTC	2	$769	1,160	0	+1,160	Down	-$769	08-13 00:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:05 UTC	2	$734	1,159	0	+1,159	Down	-$734	04-12 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:55 UTC	2	$731	859	0	+859	Down	+$107	04-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$705	859	0	+859	Down	-$705	05-17 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:55 UTC	2	$681	695	0	+695	Down	+$14	04-10 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:50 UTC	1	$650	1,155	0	+1,155	Up	+$505	07-24 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 05:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	421	53¢	$225	0x05e52c…
08-13 05:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	159	13¢	$21	0xcc1aac…
08-13 05:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x924936…
08-13 05:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	188	25¢	$47	0x222db5…
08-13 05:09:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xb3b38c…
08-13 03:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8b8e7e…
08-13 03:56:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd5ae17…
08-13 03:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe11839…
08-13 03:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xca486c…
08-13 03:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbd4b73…
08-13 03:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc9d992…
08-13 03:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf23975…
08-13 03:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xaac753…
08-13 03:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7cca82…
08-13 03:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa8a90a…
08-13 03:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	272	87¢	$236	0x6fcc80…
08-13 03:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	272	74¢	$200	0x8f27c4…
08-13 03:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	406	52¢	$213	0x83189c…
08-13 03:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,025	49¢	$500	0xcef030…
08-13 03:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	81	79¢	$64	0xaba7f0…
08-13 03:36:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	81	77¢	$63	0xcf8691…
08-13 03:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	72	80¢	$58	0x563a2d…
08-13 03:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xeca841…
08-13 03:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x06088d…
08-13 03:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x1776a3…
08-13 03:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	116	93¢	$108	0xed40cc…
08-13 03:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xbfcf7b…
08-13 03:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	102	41¢	$42	0x41d32c…
08-13 03:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xfbe024…
08-13 03:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x850a94…
08-13 03:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x3d3e18…
08-13 03:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x04ceda…
08-13 03:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0xc7db32…
08-13 03:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:10 UTC	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0xf9a12b…
08-13 03:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:10 UTC	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x040b3d…
08-13 03:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x45e2e1…
08-13 03:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x0e9316…
08-13 03:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0x7f04d5…
08-13 03:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0xca1188…
08-13 02:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0x8fe39b…
08-13 02:59:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0xbac555…
08-13 02:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	29	67¢	$19	0x490bc0…
08-13 02:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc8984b…
08-13 02:54:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6e4e5d…
08-13 02:54:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf56dbf…
08-13 02:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xad8f3e…
08-13 02:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x656d4d…
08-13 02:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x65f754…
08-13 02:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc795d6…
08-13 02:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0f70ed…
08-13 02:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x06b62d…
08-13 02:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe07e9a…
08-13 02:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x1ca3ae…
08-13 02:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x04057b…
08-13 02:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9d4064…
08-13 02:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6a2c79…
08-13 02:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xf36a37…
08-13 02:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xddf0e2…
08-13 02:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x19e667…
08-13 02:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x5fd72a…
08-13 02:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2dcd2a…
08-13 02:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5cb957…
08-13 02:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdb3cc3…
08-13 02:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x557e30…
08-13 02:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc8b689…
08-13 02:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfb9486…
08-13 02:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x41b98b…
08-13 02:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x782760…
08-13 02:18:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x744d9a…
08-13 02:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x882d9e…
08-13 02:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x9ed04d…
08-13 02:07:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8f3a4b…
08-13 01:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	174	73¢	$127	0x8fc475…
08-13 01:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x459477…
08-13 01:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xb41a65…
08-13 01:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x66d6ca…
08-13 01:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe8604a…
08-13 01:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x772506…
08-13 01:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd9e7df…
08-13 01:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x081dc9…
08-13 01:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf57ad7…
08-13 01:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x565b32…
08-13 01:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe39187…
08-13 01:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe0ad1b…
08-13 01:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe35ed2…
08-13 01:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x30a849…
08-13 00:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0xa8296b…
08-13 00:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x11a5d8…
08-13 00:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	89	51¢	$46	0xafaf2c…
08-13 00:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xd90236…
08-13 00:36:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	965	69¢	$669	0x32e39a…
08-13 00:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3c144e…
08-13 00:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x90ca1c…
08-12 23:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	383	94¢	$361	0x28e578…
08-12 23:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	383	52¢	$200	0x7d304d…
08-12 23:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	924	54¢	$500	0x73878c…
08-12 23:31:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0x4a6dd7…
08-12 23:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xa75eaf…
08-12 14:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0x513c69…
08-12 14:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1a656e…