Scaly-Dolor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-03 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

26% 67% $-1

Politics

22% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$211	110	110	+0	open	—	01-21 07:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$173	175	0	+175	open	—	04-05 05:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$167	170	0	+170	open	—	03-30 12:44
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$162	162	0	+162	open	—	03-23 13:26
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	02-06 10:12
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-12 05:36
bitcoin above 62k on february 15	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	02-15 07:06
Elsa FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	01-21 07:21
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-20 08:29
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	01-31 06:25
bp quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt61	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	02-10 11:57
will there be 810 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	02-24 03:40
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	02-03 03:56
ethereum above 3200 on january 27	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-27 12:10
Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	01-29 06:08
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-12 09:34
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$102	113	0	+113	open	—	03-17 05:50
will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	2	$102	110	0	+110	open	—	03-02 05:40
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 11pt49	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	01-15 06:18
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-09 15:02
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-06 09:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-06 06:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-02 05:45
blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 15 2026 12pt64	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	01-15 06:19
will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 09:10
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$4	4	0	+4	Gen.G	+$0	05-08 06:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-06 09:56
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-03 08:11
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 05:56
lol nip al 2026 04 22	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-22 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 08:11:34	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x72ef7a…
05-27 05:07:40	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc4998b…
05-22 08:22:45	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xfe3133…
05-19 08:09:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x42564d…
05-15 06:00:29	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4d91b7…
05-12 05:29:32	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xeed891…
05-12 05:28:33	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x28583a…
05-08 06:40:39	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x02ab24…
05-02 05:56:44	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd65e6a…
04-22 10:11:52	lol nip al 2026 04 22	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf05647…
04-20 09:11:38	lol wb omg 2026 04 20 game1	Weibo Gaming	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7c9aea…
04-05 05:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xd4c740…
03-30 12:44:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xeeca4d…
03-23 13:26:17	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x43b004…
03-17 05:50:57	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	113	90¢	$102	0x7031fe…
03-11 09:10:49	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7c5777…
03-11 09:10:01	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0d0cf9…
03-06 06:08:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7914f6…
03-02 05:45:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d0af7…
03-02 05:41:45	will marty supreme win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeb727f…
03-02 05:40:47	will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd50b2e…
02-28 03:20:35	lol tes we 2026 02 28	Top Esports	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7231fd…
02-24 03:41:26	will sinners win best original score at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb4f1d4…
02-24 03:41:14	will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xde0fa1…
02-24 03:40:14	will there be 810 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x5a32c0…
02-20 08:30:22	will slovakia win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2128bc…
02-20 08:30:14	will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf84561…
02-20 08:29:46	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x8640f3…
02-15 07:07:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7aff…
02-15 07:06:27	bitcoin above 62k on february 15	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x9da1dd…
02-12 05:37:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7d1e28…
02-12 05:36:37	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xc6f8bd…
02-10 11:57:59	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd4ca3…
02-10 11:57:51	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd88dae…
02-10 11:57:41	bp quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt61	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x19b73c…
02-10 11:57:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xd8813c…
02-06 10:12:39	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x4a02a7…
02-06 09:57:47	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc9465d…
02-06 09:56:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x5f7ad4…
02-06 09:56:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8535c6…
02-06 09:56:39	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xab8d45…
02-03 03:57:12	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9cf65…
02-03 03:57:02	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba1c31…
02-03 03:56:36	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x56d42c…
01-31 06:26:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc99e8f…
01-31 06:25:36	infinex fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd69148…
01-31 06:25:34	Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x7e6702…
01-29 06:09:54	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92563f…
01-29 06:09:14	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2e40b8…
01-29 06:08:40	Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc3564b…
01-27 12:31:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x26b3a3…
01-27 12:10:41	ethereum above 3200 on january 27	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x28e86a…
01-21 07:22:04	Elsa FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59ee14…
01-21 07:21:34	Elsa FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x117bbe…
01-21 07:21:14	Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xa0f8cf…
01-18 08:13:38	Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0xfaf0f3…
01-18 06:52:16	Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0bfcd7…
01-18 06:51:58	Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xac25c0…
01-18 06:51:50	Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfbe506…
01-15 06:19:16	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 15 2026 12pt64	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xac1a17…
01-15 06:18:56	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 11pt49	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x0c89c4…
01-12 09:36:12	atp kecmano vachero 2026 01 11	Vacherot	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x978143…
01-12 09:35:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x14e692…
01-12 09:34:12	bitcoin above 84k on january 12	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x87ebe0…
01-09 15:02:08	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd4dea1…
01-09 15:01:48	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x1f49d8…