Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
3,331
lifetime
Volume
$5.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.62K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 02-28 14:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
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—
Other
39%
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Crypto
0%
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Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 965 | $1.16M | 1,100,116 | 297,974 | +802,142 | open | — | 01-29 14:45 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 626 | $1.09M | 466,990 | 651,082 | -184,092 | open | — | 01-29 14:31 |
| maduro in us custody by january 31 | 55 | $850.4K | 825,803 | 25,803 | +800,000 | open | — | 01-05 21:59 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392 | 14 | $525.5K | 296,732 | 230,000 | +66,732 | open | — | 01-03 10:04 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 130 | $467.6K | 486,694 | 132,172 | +354,522 | open | — | 02-28 14:13 |
| maduro out by january 31 2026 318 | 114 | $442.0K | 444,017 | 0 | +444,017 | open | — | 01-03 10:45 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 242 | $376.1K | 242,399 | 174,727 | +67,672 | open | — | 02-28 14:18 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 58 | $87.6K | 193,500 | 0 | +193,500 | open | — | 02-04 19:45 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 395 | $74.2K | 1,498 | 84,883 | -83,385 | open | — | 01-12 01:01 |
| odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16 | 18 | $43.5K | 47,072 | 0 | +47,072 | open | — | 01-14 05:53 |
| will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1 | 314 | $43.5K | 116,368 | 30,838 | +85,529 | open | — | 01-21 20:06 |
| us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785 | 16 | $40.0K | 40,039 | 0 | +40,039 | open | — | 01-07 16:46 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 7 | $33.6K | 17,141 | 17,141 | +0 | open | — | 02-18 13:40 |
| maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483 | 25 | $28.3K | 34,927 | 10,000 | +24,927 | open | — | 01-03 09:37 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 6 | $21.4K | 37,055 | 0 | +37,055 | open | — | 02-04 17:39 |
| will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245 | 28 | $14.3K | 11,000 | 11,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-10 23:29 |
| will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31 | 5 | $13.0K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-31 07:39 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 29 | $12.8K | 20,005 | 19,931 | +74 | open | — | 01-12 21:54 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 68 | $12.0K | 9,890 | 10,000 | -110 | open | — | 02-18 21:41 |
| will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437 | 6 | $11.6K | 6,434 | 6,434 | +0 | open | — | 02-20 04:53 |
| bitcoin above 82k on january 31 | 37 | $10.4K | 12,741 | 1,487 | +11,255 | open | — | 01-31 14:50 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $8.6K | 8,652 | 0 | +8,652 | open | — | 01-03 07:26 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 28 | $7.9K | 6,200 | 6,200 | +0 | open | — | 01-30 04:37 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $7.2K | 7,187 | 0 | +7,187 | open | — | 01-03 07:25 |
| bitcoin above 82k on february 3 | 2 | $6.0K | 7,700 | 0 | +7,700 | open | — | 01-31 06:27 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453 | 1 | $4.9K | 4,949 | 0 | +4,949 | open | — | 01-03 07:26 |
| bitcoin above 82k on january 30 | 24 | $4.3K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | open | — | 01-30 09:13 |
| maduro trial scheduled by january 31 | 32 | $3.8K | 2,364 | 2,364 | +0 | open | — | 01-07 05:39 |
| maduro exiled to qatar by march 31 | 7 | $3.4K | 1,725 | 1,725 | +0 | open | — | 01-11 16:06 |
| maduro out by february 28 2026 | 7 | $2.3K | 2,273 | 0 | +2,273 | open | — | 01-03 09:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 39 | $475.2K | 7,594 | 04-12 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | 39 | $19.1K | 6,982 | 04-14 14:48 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 38 | $7.93M | 11,690 | 04-13 05:43 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | 38 | $167.6K | 14,970 | 04-08 11:16 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 38 | $118.0K | 9,545 | 04-16 18:04 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 36 | $85.9K | 523 | 04-27 23:42 |
| Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | 36 | $32.0K | 1,367 | 04-15 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b36…473b | 35 | $145.2K | 4,189 | 02-12 11:48 |