Disastrous-Regulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

1,437

Trades

3,719

lifetime

Volume

$8.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 07-16 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

90% 8% -$56

Crypto

10% 32% +$58

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	6	$469	364	364	+0	No	-$31	06-22 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?	9	$366	206	206	+0	No	+$41	06-21 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 18?	11	$365	188	188	+0	No	+$7	06-18 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?	4	$364	202	202	+0	No	+$35	06-19 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 22?	4	$362	187	187	+0	No	+$8	06-22 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?	4	$362	205	205	+0	No	+$43	06-22 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?	4	$362	185	185	+0	No	+$4	06-21 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 5?	7	$233	182	142	+40	No	+$48	07-05 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?	4	$229	146	146	+0	No	+$61	06-27 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 1?	3	$224	127	127	+0	No	+$27	07-01 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 30?	4	$202	107	107	+0	No	+$9	06-30 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 28?	4	$194	114	114	+0	No	+$33	06-28 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?	2	$181	92	92	+0	No	+$1	06-21 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 20?	5	$181	92	92	+0	No	+$1	06-20 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:50 UTC	1	$107	311	0	+311	Down	-$107	06-05 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?	2	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$3	06-26 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24?	3	$103	75	75	+0	No	+$3	06-24 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?	7	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	06-24 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 7?	3	$95	51	51	+0	No	+$6	07-07 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	5	$84	87	87	+0	No	-$25	07-01 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?	2	$79	51	51	+0	No	+$22	07-08 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?	1	$75	156	0	+156	No	-$75	06-29 04:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:40 UTC	1	$67	231	0	+231	Down	-$67	06-05 03:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:25 UTC	1	$67	221	0	+221	Up	+$154	06-04 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	1	$65	204	0	+204	Up	+$139	06-04 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 7?	6	$60	174	0	+174	Yes	-$60	07-07 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 5?	6	$59	71	31	+40	No	+$3	07-05 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	06-07 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?	4	$48	34	34	+0	No	+$18	06-16 12:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:20 UTC	1	$42	137	0	+137	Down	-$42	06-04 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 11:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c9fcc…
07-16 09:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x16fd10…
07-16 08:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xcbe666…
07-16 08:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xf17ddb…
07-16 07:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93ed7b…
07-16 05:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6076fb…
07-16 05:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfde198…
07-16 04:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x5be6b7…
07-16 03:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x91fac0…
07-16 03:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdd8a0d…
07-16 03:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0805cd…
07-16 03:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9d074e…
07-16 03:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x3c89c6…
07-16 03:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcdd018…
07-16 02:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x73eca0…
07-15 20:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc757f9…
07-15 19:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x5c494f…
07-15 18:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xca287f…
07-15 18:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xfaa8f2…
07-15 17:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x778375…
07-15 16:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x210a6a…
07-15 16:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xeb6c54…
07-15 16:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x86a829…
07-15 16:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde3e52…
07-15 16:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6f9fe2…
07-15 16:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xce00f5…
07-15 16:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0e6f93…
07-15 16:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x75e758…
07-15 15:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x9dc563…
07-15 15:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x3f09d6…
07-15 14:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x81411c…
07-15 14:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x0dcd4e…
07-15 14:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc59dbb…
07-15 14:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x8a1d5a…
07-15 14:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc50999…
07-15 14:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed80ac…
07-14 15:15:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf95206…
07-14 13:24:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x3a71ce…
07-14 13:22:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x67458e…
07-14 13:22:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2216ac…
07-14 13:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3690e2…
07-14 09:52:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc5b32b…
07-14 09:42:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf14bcc…
07-14 08:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xc77fb3…
07-14 07:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xd6f207…
07-14 07:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xab51d5…
07-14 07:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x970adb…
07-14 07:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x2093a9…
07-14 07:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x50ffce…
07-14 03:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x64b7a4…
07-14 03:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x36c781…
07-13 13:38:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc136f0…
07-13 12:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdaa9aa…
07-08 15:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xe627af…
07-08 15:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x5c5ae6…
07-08 15:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x568ce4…
07-08 15:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x872c0d…
07-08 15:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x9eec69…
07-08 14:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x5cf867…
07-08 14:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe1a280…
07-08 14:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0c5ed1…
07-08 12:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0xc797c9…
07-08 12:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xe3fbdf…
07-08 12:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xeae506…
07-08 10:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x0692d2…
07-08 10:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3438b2…
07-08 09:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x361269…
07-08 09:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x05f5aa…
07-08 09:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x23c113…
07-08 09:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xcf970b…
07-08 09:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x2a00a6…
07-08 08:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x6b8b00…
07-08 08:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xdbb5fb…
07-08 08:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xa5e57b…
07-08 08:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xacb6bd…
07-08 08:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xd01550…
07-08 07:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x122301…
07-08 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x022d6b…
07-08 06:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa177bf…
07-08 05:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4fb91b…
07-08 05:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x009687…
07-08 05:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf76d44…
07-08 03:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x971ef6…
07-08 03:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x16cd43…
07-08 03:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 8?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x14c541…
07-08 03:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9561ac…
07-08 00:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7cc2ed…
07-07 23:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa322b5…
07-07 23:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x31935d…
07-07 23:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd66763…
07-07 23:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc52c30…
07-07 20:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf85e7d…
07-07 19:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3924fd…
07-07 18:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb3532e…
07-07 18:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xcd66e5…
07-07 18:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe156ef…
07-07 18:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x3d9ff2…
07-07 18:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf5f880…
07-07 18:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x965624…
07-07 17:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x36d73f…