(anonymous) 0xc5d461…f3560d Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$78
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
25
Trades
477
lifetime
Volume
$3.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$74
15 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-13 19:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
66% 56% -$39
Politics
31% 50% -$25
Tech
2% 0% -$15
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 240 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? No +25 $21 90¢ $23 +$1 11-10 12:57
Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? No +23 $18 82¢ $19 +$1 11-13 19:09
Will Jensen Huang post again on X by December 31? Yes +33 $22 44¢ $14 -$8 11-13 06:36
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? Yes +33 $8 22¢ $7 $0 11-13 15:31
Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? Yes +35 $7 18¢ $6 -$1 11-13 12:01
Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? Yes +22 $4 11¢ $2 -$1 11-10 13:04
Will China's monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November? Yes +33 $3 1¢ $0 -$2 11-13 01:25
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31? Yes +2 $5 30¢ $0 -$5 11-08 02:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $5 36¢ $0 -$5 11-07 21:50
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? Yes +4 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 11-08 01:48
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? No +1 $6 26¢ $0 -$6 11-08 02:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 11-04 01:03
Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 2.7%? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 11-12 10:01
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +0 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 11-08 01:48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +0 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 01:48