Cultured-Hive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$284

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

182

Trades

5,580

lifetime

Volume

$42.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-15 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 39% $-276

Other

19% 75% $-8

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 948 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$4.4K	3,945	3,945	+0	open	—	03-31 19:32
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	4	$1.4K	1,341	575	+766	open	—	03-21 15:29
mlb tor mil 2026 04 14	2	$399	238	237	+1	open	—	04-15 02:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$325	923	923	+0	open	—	03-19 04:15
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$321	171	171	+0	No	+$21	05-06 12:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$300	441	0	+441	open	—	04-27 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	1	$300	415	0	+415	open	—	04-27 21:27
btc updown 5m 1774461900	3	$219	313	310	+3	open	—	03-25 18:08
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$215	115	115	+0	Yes	+$15	05-07 21:30
btc updown 5m 1774454700	23	$214	338	337	+1	open	—	03-25 16:05
btc updown 5m 1774455600	3	$213	306	303	+3	open	—	03-25 16:21
lol dk gen 2026 04 11	1	$200	225	0	+225	open	—	04-11 03:36
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$200	286	0	+286	open	—	04-27 23:12
btc updown 5m 1774455000	12	$166	304	302	+2	open	—	03-25 16:12
btc updown 5m 1774536000	2	$154	272	270	+2	open	—	03-26 14:40
btc updown 5m 1774513500	3	$141	170	168	+2	open	—	03-26 08:26
btc updown 5m 1774512000	2	$137	161	159	+2	open	—	03-26 08:00
btc updown 5m 1774521600	3	$137	178	176	+2	open	—	03-26 10:40
btc updown 5m 1774508100	3	$136	185	183	+2	open	—	03-26 06:56
btc updown 5m 1774506300	3	$136	180	178	+2	open	—	03-26 06:27
btc updown 5m 1774476000	3	$136	199	197	+2	open	—	03-25 22:00
btc updown 5m 1774508400	3	$133	172	170	+2	open	—	03-26 07:03
btc updown 5m 1774475400	3	$133	206	204	+2	open	—	03-25 21:51
btc updown 5m 1774512300	10	$133	166	166	+0	open	—	03-26 08:06
btc updown 5m 1774526700	3	$132	164	162	+2	open	—	03-26 12:07
btc updown 5m 1774530600	2	$132	272	270	+2	open	—	03-26 13:13
btc updown 5m 1774521300	19	$132	175	175	+0	open	—	03-26 10:38
btc updown 5m 1774513200	3	$132	192	190	+2	open	—	03-26 08:21
btc updown 5m 1774507800	3	$131	167	159	+8	open	—	03-26 06:52
btc updown 5m 1774491900	3	$131	200	198	+2	open	—	03-26 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 21:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc44d5d…
05-15 21:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x881e39…
05-15 21:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xfa0c63…
05-15 21:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x4c3733…
05-15 21:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7060dc…
05-15 21:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x62c9a4…
05-15 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xe0a59a…
05-15 21:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x256406…
05-15 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd623e5…
05-15 21:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7d0e50…
05-15 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xebff2b…
05-15 21:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x07b443…
05-15 20:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8af712…
05-15 20:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x14ff8d…
05-15 20:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xbbe792…
05-15 20:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe07ec5…
05-15 20:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x660442…
05-15 20:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xff5e14…
05-15 20:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xae2395…
05-15 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x10123c…
05-15 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x0c4cb8…
05-15 20:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0x60ce36…
05-15 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x597bd9…
05-15 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x298b55…
05-15 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x8185a4…
05-15 20:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x60e4d8…
05-15 20:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x31b15d…
05-15 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x23de4e…
05-15 20:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xc78c5e…
05-15 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xad754e…
05-15 20:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x25285f…
05-15 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa2ca5b…
05-15 20:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe3d67d…
05-15 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x3cdee5…
05-15 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb6e79e…
05-15 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0xacaaae…
05-15 20:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xea7787…
05-15 20:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x316cb9…
05-15 20:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xbfd500…
05-15 20:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x78cfd4…
05-15 20:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x49ca87…
05-15 20:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x016488…
05-15 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbacb42…
05-15 20:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xb941e2…
05-15 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xb92d74…
05-15 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x9c142f…
05-15 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4bdd4f…
05-15 20:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x37c6d0…
05-15 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xc05161…
05-15 20:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe91b63…
05-15 20:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x67e9ef…
05-15 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xc2bf4a…
05-15 19:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe091d4…
05-15 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xbc61eb…
05-15 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb0c5e8…
05-15 19:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x832174…
05-15 19:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xb18281…
05-15 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8432ac…
05-15 19:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x99ae88…
05-15 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x063c0a…
05-15 19:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x3b8f13…
05-15 19:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x5685a6…
05-15 19:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x5c61bc…
05-15 19:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0x12b5dd…
05-15 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x6b2ea0…
05-15 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x4df920…
05-15 19:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x7bbd32…
05-15 19:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xcc825c…
05-15 19:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x2f6dfa…
05-15 19:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x3c17bd…
05-15 19:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb484fb…
05-15 19:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xb39935…
05-15 19:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xc80d73…
05-15 19:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0d5b59…
05-15 19:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb491bf…
05-15 19:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xddc5d6…
05-15 19:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x76d71c…
05-15 19:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xcff8ed…
05-15 19:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x197b0b…
05-15 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0x432a2c…
05-15 19:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x089ab1…
05-15 19:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$7	0x4542e0…
05-15 19:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x2bfa90…
05-15 19:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x07cbbf…
05-15 19:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xea2101…
05-15 19:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xe4ff1d…
05-15 19:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5355f4…
05-15 19:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7f508a…
05-15 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xe706fe…
05-15 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb88000…
05-15 19:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x76d849…
05-15 19:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xd72220…
05-15 19:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0x44c952…
05-15 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xafff36…
05-15 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0xeb262f…
05-15 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x6f4dbb…
05-15 19:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x0aa9b3…
05-15 19:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2e8925…
05-15 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x647243…
05-15 19:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4a36da…