Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$773

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

592

Trades

1,893

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 10-03 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

36% 13% -$294

Crypto

30% 73% -$240

Politics

24% 13% -$208

Sports

7% 12% -$8

Tech

3% 14% -$28

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anyone say bitcoin during south park e2 s29 20260930	5	$112	66	66	+0	No	-$11	09-28 00:40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	9	$93	66	66	+0	No	-$2	09-28 01:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:05 UTC	3	$80	90	0	+90	Up	+$10	07-13 00:08
will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the uptspt in 2026 954	5	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	09-28 10:43
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?	8	$72	72	72	+0	open	—	10-01 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:00 UTC	3	$70	87	0	+87	Down	+$18	07-12 23:02
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	8	$69	66	66	+0	No	-$3	10-02 16:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	8	$68	65	65	+0	open	—	10-01 19:23
Scorigami in Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	2	$62	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	09-30 12:08
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	7	$57	54	54	+0	open	—	10-01 11:23
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	3	$55	37	37	+0	Yes	-$1	09-21 01:19
Will there be an ace in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Grand Final?	3	$54	40	40	+0	Yes	-$12	09-22 19:13
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	6	$53	60	60	+0	No	-$3	10-01 23:46
will trump say bitcoin this week 20261004	5	$51	60	60	+0	No	-$12	09-28 13:13
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	6	$51	60	60	+0	open	—	10-02 20:25
Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?	6	$50	48	48	+0	open	—	09-27 19:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:55 UTC	1	$50	61	0	+61	Up	-$50	07-14 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:55 UTC	1	$50	65	0	+65	Up	-$50	07-14 06:57
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:00 UTC	1	$50	72	0	+72	Up	+$22	07-13 00:02
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 22:55 UTC	1	$50	55	0	+55	Up	+$6	07-12 22:57
will trump say peanut this week 20261004	2	$49	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	09-27 05:33
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	7	$48	62	57	+5	Yes	-$4	09-23 02:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:05 UTC	1	$48	54	0	+54	Down	-$48	07-12 23:07
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 15 starship	4	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 08:04
Will Kyren Williams finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	4	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	09-30 23:19
lula flips bolsonaro for brazil president by october 15	5	$48	40	40	+0	No	-$4	09-29 10:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?	7	$45	79	79	+0	open	—	09-21 06:05
Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	6	$45	50	50	+0	Yes	-$7	10-02 21:09
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 21 2026?	6	$45	51	51	+0	No	+$0	09-22 21:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?	5	$44	59	59	+0	open	—	09-21 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 00:13:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xe27080…
10-03 00:10:26	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0b98f8…
10-03 00:10:18	Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x5d721c…
10-02 23:56:41	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x9fff3c…
10-02 23:46:20	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x09940b…
10-02 23:38:32	Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe25d8f…
10-02 23:36:15	Will Palmeiras win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x573e9a…
10-02 23:14:54	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x6e059a…
10-02 22:35:39	Will zekken play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfdccdf…
10-02 22:34:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x41f092…
10-02 22:12:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x5cf18c…
10-02 22:09:18	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xea711b…
10-02 22:01:29	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xf97ca3…
10-02 21:49:54	Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0xb69841…
10-02 21:47:45	Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x89c576…
10-02 21:47:11	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xba37c1…
10-02 21:30:23	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,062,000 and $1,083,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1f9609…
10-02 21:19:05	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x058369…
10-02 21:09:26	Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x0e71d4…
10-02 20:39:09	Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before the midterms?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xb20667…
10-02 20:36:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	No	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x9d864a…
10-02 20:36:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3781f7…
10-02 20:32:17	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe6e317…
10-02 20:26:56	Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x9cb969…
10-02 20:26:56	Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x8e8a27…
10-02 20:25:30	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x0e0fd9…
10-02 20:21:59	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd5445f…
10-02 20:21:24	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4c20be…
10-02 20:09:21	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x50d9b3…
10-02 20:07:47	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x783d7a…
10-02 20:03:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x86c9e4…
10-02 20:02:05	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4738bd…
10-02 19:58:57	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 16 and October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x05798b…
10-02 19:53:14	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0b0147…
10-02 19:41:15	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x878189…
10-02 19:33:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x7741a5…
10-02 19:30:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x66168f…
10-02 19:30:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x1bdb20…
10-02 19:22:06	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xaafd48…
10-02 19:21:18	Will DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc3bc30…
10-02 18:59:08	Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xe3e9b8…
10-02 18:55:42	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3f6669…
10-02 18:53:30	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x3cecca…
10-02 18:52:24	Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xdc408f…
10-02 18:45:36	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x29938f…
10-02 18:41:30	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x4683d7…
10-02 18:38:39	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x681ecc…
10-02 18:31:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x1c9ad2…
10-02 18:20:39	Will Palmeiras win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6d7901…
10-02 18:17:08	Will Carlos Portinho win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x3018a8…
10-02 18:12:30	Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x603b08…
10-02 18:06:29	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x2235b4…
10-02 18:05:57	Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x381ab9…
10-02 18:05:56	Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb03ab7…
10-02 17:54:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf121b4…
10-02 17:54:24	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $515,000 and $519,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x622a8f…
10-02 17:53:14	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Claudia Sheinbaum by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xb91dbf…
10-02 17:53:12	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x76d9f5…
10-02 17:52:26	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfe4101…
10-02 17:52:05	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xede622…
10-02 17:51:41	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Claudia Sheinbaum by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x3f15cf…
10-02 17:49:29	Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3bd37d…
10-02 17:42:00	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xecf8bc…
10-02 17:39:12	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xdb76fd…
10-02 17:34:08	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5f3950…
10-02 17:30:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3c8fac…
10-02 17:30:42	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x0980a1…
10-02 17:19:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x016bb8…
10-02 17:16:50	Will Renato Casagrande win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x70c2fc…
10-02 17:10:45	Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xaa4781…
10-02 16:54:06	Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x5d4334…
10-02 16:53:47	Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xdcebee…
10-02 16:45:24	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb76bd0…
10-02 16:36:33	Will Carlos Portinho win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x03f18f…
10-02 16:30:09	Will Google be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xffa88e…
10-02 16:27:24	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xdec872…
10-02 16:18:48	Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa02b1b…
10-02 16:17:03	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x31439d…
10-02 16:14:51	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x88cc62…
10-02 16:14:51	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x13dd0c…
10-02 16:13:56	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x251db5…
10-02 16:10:39	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6550bc…
10-02 16:04:50	Will Federico Staksrud be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x197c24…
10-02 15:53:39	Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa55e18…
10-02 15:51:20	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xa47e1e…
10-02 15:47:53	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x725682…
10-02 15:47:45	Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x749020…
10-02 15:44:33	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xd985e1…
10-02 15:44:30	Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5f9aff…
10-02 15:37:51	Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x223ca2…
10-02 15:37:30	Will Federico Staksrud be Number 1 in the PPA 2026-27 Men's End of Year Rankings?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x57b7f3…
10-02 15:21:05	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x611ca8…
10-02 15:11:45	Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x9cfa40…
10-02 15:05:11	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xc5cee0…
10-02 15:04:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc1f4d0…
10-02 15:01:32	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 7?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xad9220…
10-02 15:01:21	Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1e6441…
10-02 14:59:47	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc3da62…
10-02 14:59:47	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc3da62…
10-02 14:59:47	Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x5875a8…