Distorted-Tug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

506

lifetime

Volume

$791

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-18 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 80% +$1

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772708700	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-05 11:10
btc updown 5m 1771847700	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-23 12:00
btc updown 5m 1773188400	3	$10	7	4	+3	open	—	03-11 00:25
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	4	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	01-12 13:01
btc updown 15m 1770501600	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	02-07 22:12
btc updown 5m 1770909300	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	02-12 15:18
btc updown 5m 1771845300	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-23 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 17:54
btc updown 5m 1772909400	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-07 18:54
btc updown 5m 1772633400	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 14:14
btc updown 5m 1773159600	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-10 16:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-02 11:10
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	01-12 15:48
btc updown 5m 1772544900	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-03 13:39
btc updown 5m 1773150600	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 13:56
btc updown 5m 1772040600	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-25 17:35
btc updown 5m 1772124300	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-26 16:50
btc updown 5m 1772305500	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-28 19:10
btc updown 5m 1773141600	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 11:24
xrp above 1pt9 on january 20	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-20 16:30
btc updown 5m 1770918900	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-12 17:58
btc updown 15m 1770498900	3	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-07 21:29
btc updown 5m 1772650800	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-04 19:05
bitcoin above 92k on january 13	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	01-13 17:22
xrp above 2 on january 19	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	01-19 16:46
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 66 67f	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 18:56
btc updown 15m 1770826500	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-11 16:22
btc updown 5m 1770912900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-12 16:18
btc updown 5m 1772208900	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 16:20
xrp above 1pt9 on january 23	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	01-23 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 19:41:53	Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa380dc…
05-14 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9305ef…
05-13 17:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbf0e9b…
05-13 17:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x71bb25…
05-12 18:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a4094…
05-12 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcfdd1b…
05-11 17:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc061aa…
05-11 17:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x80e633…
05-11 17:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xaeff3c…
05-11 17:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xf3a9e1…
05-08 19:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x902206…
05-08 19:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x102db6…
05-08 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x379e91…
03-18 16:51:27	btc updown 5m 1773852600	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcf7e7d…
03-13 18:56:25	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x4a56a2…
03-13 10:41:45	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x7d91cf…
03-12 16:56:15	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x75f49b…
03-12 16:56:07	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x60bdc2…
03-11 16:57:05	highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b9edd…
03-11 13:02:43	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x54707b…
03-11 12:54:29	btc updown 5m 1773233400	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa5532d…
03-11 12:40:05	btc updown 5m 1773232500	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x25a1b9…
03-11 12:39:17	btc updown 5m 1773232500	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x945567…
03-11 11:40:07	btc updown 5m 1773228900	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdb01c9…
03-11 11:39:19	btc updown 5m 1773228900	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe53975…
03-11 00:25:13	btc updown 5m 1773188400	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb8db21…
03-11 00:25:01	btc updown 5m 1773188400	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x52faea…
03-11 00:23:11	btc updown 5m 1773188400	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x04d897…
03-11 00:19:17	btc updown 5m 1773188100	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa63253…
03-11 00:17:51	btc updown 5m 1773188100	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x384807…
03-10 19:22:33	btc updown 5m 1773170400	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x8a1242…
03-10 18:50:03	btc updown 5m 1773168300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf4e5d9…
03-10 18:49:41	btc updown 5m 1773168300	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4eae56…
03-10 17:55:07	btc updown 5m 1773165000	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc32d67…
03-10 17:54:01	btc updown 5m 1773165000	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfee5c9…
03-10 17:10:07	btc updown 5m 1773162300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7082db…
03-10 17:09:07	btc updown 5m 1773162300	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xeaf177…
03-10 16:35:09	btc updown 5m 1773160200	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe230e7…
03-10 16:33:45	btc updown 5m 1773160200	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9216da…
03-10 16:25:07	btc updown 5m 1773159600	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc44c9e…
03-10 16:24:41	btc updown 5m 1773159600	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x01d105…
03-10 13:56:03	btc updown 5m 1773150600	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x38b27f…
03-10 13:53:27	btc updown 5m 1773150600	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xecfc29…
03-10 13:21:55	btc updown 5m 1773148800	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x745307…
03-10 13:04:23	btc updown 5m 1773147600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe056d0…
03-10 13:03:53	btc updown 5m 1773147600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xece349…
03-10 12:49:57	btc updown 5m 1773146700	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e02ec…
03-10 12:46:53	btc updown 5m 1773146700	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb3a38a…
03-10 12:40:07	btc updown 5m 1773146100	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x58bf74…
03-10 12:38:35	btc updown 5m 1773146100	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbd46c8…
03-10 12:14:33	btc updown 5m 1773144600	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x92ca35…
03-10 12:13:35	btc updown 5m 1773144600	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0beb2a…
03-10 11:39:59	btc updown 5m 1773142500	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf287ae…
03-10 11:38:35	btc updown 5m 1773142500	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7ac11c…
03-10 11:24:49	btc updown 5m 1773141600	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc4c542…
03-10 11:24:17	btc updown 5m 1773141600	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x44cbec…
03-10 11:23:59	btc updown 5m 1773141600	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5605ab…
03-10 11:23:09	btc updown 5m 1773141600	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x04cedf…
03-07 19:18:31	btc updown 5m 1772910900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7f5c38…
03-07 18:54:25	btc updown 5m 1772909400	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc5e268…
03-07 18:53:39	btc updown 5m 1772909400	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcb944f…
03-07 18:51:27	btc updown 5m 1772909400	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xb4515a…
03-07 18:51:15	btc updown 5m 1772909400	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x043fbe…
03-07 18:34:05	btc updown 5m 1772908200	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8c5ef6…
03-07 18:33:21	btc updown 5m 1772908200	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8620b4…
03-07 18:27:35	btc updown 5m 1772907900	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x5ca2f2…
03-07 15:18:15	btc updown 5m 1772896500	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x69bbff…
03-07 15:00:07	btc updown 5m 1772895300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f0532…
03-07 14:59:45	btc updown 5m 1772895300	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3c46b0…
03-07 14:45:01	btc updown 5m 1772894400	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x364082…
03-07 14:44:25	btc updown 5m 1772894400	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd579f8…
03-07 14:35:09	btc updown 5m 1772893800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc1f643…
03-07 14:34:49	btc updown 5m 1772893800	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x91008a…
03-07 14:30:09	btc updown 5m 1772893500	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf8bc65…
03-07 14:29:57	btc updown 5m 1772893500	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c49ac…
03-06 20:32:35	btc updown 5m 1772829000	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb453b0…
03-06 19:55:09	btc updown 5m 1772826600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7eb15f…
03-06 19:52:53	btc updown 5m 1772826600	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3c7f4e…
03-06 18:59:23	btc updown 5m 1772823300	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3369db…
03-06 18:59:03	btc updown 5m 1772823300	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd2afff…
03-06 18:40:05	btc updown 5m 1772822100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e9a83…
03-06 18:38:15	btc updown 5m 1772822100	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x79a449…
03-06 15:44:59	btc updown 5m 1772811600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7c5252…
03-06 15:41:47	btc updown 5m 1772811600	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xac5ac2…
03-06 15:15:23	btc updown 5m 1772809800	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4618bf…
03-06 15:13:43	btc updown 5m 1772809800	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6e964d…
03-06 14:05:09	btc updown 5m 1772805600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48a6c7…
03-06 14:05:01	btc updown 5m 1772805600	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf527d5…
03-06 13:40:07	btc updown 5m 1772804100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5afce5…
03-06 13:39:21	btc updown 5m 1772804100	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb9e79c…
03-05 20:44:47	btc updown 5m 1772743200	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x76e6fb…
03-05 20:44:37	btc updown 5m 1772743200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xefefa8…
03-05 20:14:49	btc updown 5m 1772741400	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8e3006…
03-05 20:14:39	btc updown 5m 1772741400	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaf9bbf…
03-05 18:34:05	btc updown 5m 1772735400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x09bcd1…
03-05 18:33:05	btc updown 5m 1772735400	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa3dad…
03-05 18:29:37	btc updown 5m 1772735100	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x2dba28…
03-05 18:29:29	btc updown 5m 1772735100	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd3001c…
03-05 18:04:17	btc updown 5m 1772733600	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x82b14b…
03-05 18:03:39	btc updown 5m 1772733600	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xeef8c9…